Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 80%.
Overall rating
?Fixed supply
Insight Engine v2
36/ 100
D
Momentum57
Scarcity22
Liquidity10
Value40
Risk38
Recomputed each sync: last updated Aug 24, 10:02 PM.
Signal narrative
Slightly bullish
Negative momentum
Price down 8.3% in 24h: a mild downward trend.
Elevated supply
5,326 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Holders are holding !!
Only 0.9% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
Concentrated ownership
~9.6 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
Item drop !!
A random in-game drop (22 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Oversold (RSI) !!
RSI 21: beaten down and due for a potential bounce.
Deep drawdown
Down 48% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Signal Analysis
Insight Engine
The clearest number here is the fair-value residual: at +300% above the model, Pumpkin Head 2025 sits in the 95th percentile of the market, and the order book supports that read rather than contradicting it. The $17.97 ask stands 43% above the best standing bid of $11.66, with a 34.8% spread and a liquidity score of just 10/100 across 48 live listings, so the quoted price is largely aspirational. Supply is fixed at 5,326 units among 552 owners, which explains the bullish holding and scarcity-adjacent signals, but concentration cuts both ways. Oversold and deep-drawdown flags argue for patience; the 7d decline of 5.9% still outperformed the market median by 1.5%. Overall grade D, 38/100.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 7h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
Price action
108/113 populated
Indicator
Value
vs market
vs cohort
Return (24h)
-8.3%
—
—
Return (3d)
-8.3%
—
—
Return (7d)
-8.4%
40
40
Return (14d)
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.
Above modelled fair value !!
Trading 300% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Fixed supply
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
Phantom price !!
The listed price sits 43% above the best standing bid of $11.66; you could not actually sell there right now.
Market-wide fear
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.