5,326
Supply
554
Owners
25
Scarcity
AccessoriesHatCostumeNot in store
Pumpkin Head 2025
$11.79+0.00% 24h
Lowest current ask on the Steam Community Market · Store price $9.99
Pumpkin Head 2025 — an S&box accessory (Steam lists it as a Workshop Item), comfortably mid-range and trading on the Steam Community Market. Made for S&box, the Facepunch Studios sandbox game (the team behind Garry's Mod and Rust). Live price, 24h change, full buy/sell order book, total supply, and the price chart for Pumpkin Head 2025 are all below — synced from Steam every 15–30 minutes.
Lowest ask
$19.90
Sold (24h median)
$16.73
Spread
-$8.11-40.8%
Listings
44
Released
Oct 15, 202511mo ago
About Pumpkin Head 2025
Pumpkin Head 2025 is a Costume-tier S&box accessory skin. It is an in-game drop first released in October 2025. There are 5,326 in circulation across 554 owners. It trades around $11.79 on the Steam Community Market.
Price history
Steam Community Market · USD
High
$119.70
Low
$10.00
Avg
$42.62
Change
-86.8%
2343 data points
Order book
PRICE · QTYLoading order book…
Signal Analysis
Insight EngineThe clearest read here is the gap between quoted and real demand: the $11.79 ask sits 79% above the best standing bid of $9.33, with a 23.3% spread and a cumulative bid floor down at $7.04, which puts the phantom-price flag ahead of everything else in this pack. The model agrees, placing the item 300% above modelled fair value, a 95th-percentile residual. Supply context is mixed: 5,326 units are now fixed with 30d supply growth in the 5th percentile, but only 554 unique owners hold them and 44 listings are live against a liquidity score of 18. Price is flat over 24h and down 8.7% on the week. With beta in the 87th cohort percentile, patience for a bid-side print closer to $9.33 looks better supported than the current ask.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 13h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
Price signals
Slightly bearish
Elevated supply
5,326 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Holders are holding !!
Only 0.8% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
Concentrated ownership
~9.6 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
Item drop !!
A random in-game drop (22 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
High volatility
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Deep drawdown
Down 49% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Above modelled fair value !!
Trading 300% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Fixed supply
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
Phantom price !!
The listed price sits 79% above the best standing bid of $9.33; you could not actually sell there right now.
Bid support withdrawing !!
Buy-side depth dropped sharply in the last 48h while the price held; the floor is being pulled before price has caught down to it.
Market-wide fear
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only, not financial advice. Based on current market data and item properties.
Order book intelligence
Reading the order book…
Recent price observations
from tracked price historyPRICEWHEN
$11.7918h ago
$11.792d ago
$11.792d ago
$11.793d ago
$12.244d ago
$12.244d ago
$11.356d ago
Supply & scarcity
On market44 / 5,326
Unique owners554
Scarcity score25 / 100
—
Steam sales 24h
$62.8K
Market cap
Top holders
554 unique owners
Overall rating
?Fixed supply35/ 100
DMomentum49
Scarcity25
Liquidity21
Value35
Risk38
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 4:02 AM.
Shareable snapshot
Clean, screenshot-ready card with Pumpkin Head 2025's price, supply, and momentum. Great for posting on Discord, Twitter, or Reddit.
