Lunar Mask 2026full analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 258 values across 7 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 91%.

Overall rating

?Fixed supply

Insight Engine v2

34/ 100

Momentum40

Scarcity20

Liquidity21

Value42

Risk43

Recomputed each sync: last updated Jul 9, 10:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Slightly bullish

Strong upward momentum !!!

Price up 27.9% in 24h: significant bullish movement.

Elevated supply

5,966 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.

Low scarcity score

Scarcity score 20/100: abundant and liquid.

Holders are holding !!

Only 1.7% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Illiquid

No sales in the last 24h; it may be hard to buy or sell at the quoted price.

Concentrated ownership

~8.4 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Delisted from store !!

No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

The most striking figure here is the model's fair-value gap: the current ask of $5.63 sits 92% above modelled fair value, even as the item posts a 24h gain of 27.9% and a 7-day return of -15.7%. That combination reads as fade-risk rather than continuation, consistent with the pack's contrarian momentum flag, especially with turnover at the 5th percentile and only 1 executed sale and 0 units traded in the last 24h. The order book shows a 34.1% bid/ask spread, with the best standing bid at just $3.99, well below the ask. Fixed supply (5966 units, delisted from store) and concentrated ownership (713 owners) support the floor, but thin liquidity means the spike may not hold.

AI-generated from live market data · updated 6h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

108/113 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return (24h)	+27.9%	—	—
Return (3d)	+27.1%	—	—
Return (7d)	+19.0%	83	89
Return (14d)

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.

Trend

30/38 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
SMA (7)	$4.73	—	—
Price vs SMA (7)	+19.0%	—	—
SMA (14)	$5.17	—	—
Price vs SMA (14)	+8.9%	—	—
SMA (21)	$5.76	—	—
Price vs SMA (21)	-2.3%	—	—
SMA (30)	$6.36	—	—
Price vs SMA (30)	-11.4%	77	78
SMA (50)	$7.11	—	—
Price vs SMA (50)	-20.9%	—	—
SMA (90)	$12.07	—	—
Price vs SMA (90)	-53.4%	—	—
SMA (100)	—	—	—
Price vs SMA (100)	—	—	—
EMA (7)	$4.73	—	—
Price vs EMA (7)	+19.0%	—	—
EMA (14)	$5.17	—	—
Price vs EMA (14)	+8.9%	—	—
EMA (30)	$6.36	—	—
Price vs EMA (30)	-11.4%	—	—
RSI (7)	—	—	—
RSI (14)	—	—	—
RSI (21)	—	—	—
RSI (30)	—	—	—
RSI (50)	—	—	—
RSI (100)	—	—	—
Trend slope (14d)	-2.2%	—	—
Trend slope (30d)	-2.1%	48	40
Trend slope (60d)	-1.3%	—	—
Trend slope (90d)	-2.0%	—	—
Trend slope (all)	-2.0%	—	—
Trend fit R² (14d)	0.47×	—	—
Trend fit R² (30d)	0.89×	—	—
Trend fit R² (60d)	0.81×	—	—
Trend fit R² (90d)	0.81×	—	—
Trend fit R² (all)	0.81×	—	—
SMA 7/30 cross	-25.6%	32	31
Days since trend flip	0.0d	—	—

Volatility & risk

33/33 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return stdev (7d)	+10.6%	—	—
Return stdev (14d)	+12.6%	—	—
Return stdev (30d)	+8.6%	26	38
Return stdev (60d)	+7.9%	—	—
Return stdev (90d)	+9.4%	—	—
Return stdev (all)	+10.2%	—	—
Downside deviation (30d)	+5.3%	—	—
Downside deviation (60d)	+4.7%	—	—
Downside deviation (90d)	+6.2%	—	—
Max drawdown (30d)	+47.7%	—	—
Max drawdown (60d)	+63.2%	—	—
Max drawdown (90d)	+86.1%	47	52
Max drawdown (all)	+86.1%	—	—
Current drawdown (90d)	+82.3%	42	47
Current drawdown (all)	+82.3%	—	—
Drawdown duration (90d)	88d	—	—
Drawdown duration (all)	88d	—	—
Sortino ratio (30d)	-0.19×	57	51
Sortino ratio (90d)	-0.23×	—	—
Return skew (30d)	1.47	—	—
Return skew (90d)	0.95	—	—
Excess kurtosis (30d)	5.12	—	—
Excess kurtosis (90d)	5.12	—	—
Largest up day (7d)	+27.7%	—	—
Largest up day (14d)	+27.7%	—	—
Largest up day (30d)	+27.7%	—	—
Largest up day (60d)	+27.7%	—	—
Largest up day (90d)	+37.4%	—	—
Largest down day (7d)	+3.1%	—	—
Largest down day (14d)	+21.0%	—	—
Largest down day (30d)	+21.0%	—	—
Largest down day (60d)	+21.0%	—	—
Largest down day (90d)	+32.0%	—	—

Liquidity

11/20 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Turnover %	+0.0%	5	5
On-market %	+1.8%	49	51
Days to clear listings	—	—	—
Lifetime sales / day	37.55	—	—
Liquidity score	26	57	59
Listings on book	105	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Listings trend (7d)	-3.8%	—	—
Listings trend (14d)	+5.3%	—	—
Listings trend (30d)	+5.3%	46	54
Listings trend (60d)	-8.7%	—	—
Bid-ask spread %	+31.2%	—	—
Near-mid bid imbalance	—	—	—
Bid-depth trend (7d)	—	—	—
Bid-floor migration (7d)	+15.0%	—	—

Supply & ownership

20/21 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Supply growth (7d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (14d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (30d)	+0.0%	25	50
Supply growth (60d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (90d)	+0.0%	—	—
Owner growth (7d)	+0.1%	—	—
Owner growth (14d)	-0.4%	—	—
Owner growth (30d)	+0.1%	28	41
Owner growth (60d)	+15.6%	—	—
Owner growth (90d)	+95.9%	—	—
Mint rate (7d)	0	—	—
Mint rate (30d)	0	—	—
Supply doubling time	—	—	—
Copies per owner	8.37×	24	23
Top-1 holder share	+3.2%	50	46
Top-10 holder share	+14.5%	61	50
HHI (top-10)	28.9	—	—
Whale count (≥5)	10	—	—
Absorption (30d)	+0.1%	40	50
Absorption (60d)	+15.6%	—	—
Absorption (90d)	+95.9%	—	—

Lifecycle & value

16/18 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Age	159d	—	—
Days since fixation	—	—	—
Days until leaving storen/s	—	—	—
Release-price multiple	0.56×	36	36
Store-price ratio	0.56×	—	—
Fair-value residual	+92.0%	71	62
Price per scarcity point	0.28×	—	—
Instant-sell discount	+29.0%	—	—
Bid-floor backing	$3.99	—	—
Accumulation score	46	—	—
Market-relative 7d return	+26.8%	84	90
Momentum pillar	40	30	34
Scarcity pillar	20	—	—
Liquidity pillar	21	—	—
Value pillar	42	—	—
Risk pillar	43	—	—
Overall rating	39	21	24
Data completeness	+90.6%	—	—

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Spike days (30d)	2	75	50
Spike days (60d)	3	—	—
Spike days (90d)	4	—	—
Dump days (30d)	1	25	25
Dump days (60d)	1	—	—
Dump days (90d)	3	—	—
Post-spike reversion (30d)	-12.3%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (60d)	-6.7%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (90d)	-7.5%	—	—
Listing shocks (30d)	0	—	—
Listing shocks (60d)	0	—	—
Listing shocks (90d)	1	—	—
Net spike bias (30d)	1	—	—
Net spike bias (60d)	2	—	—
Net spike bias (90d)	1	—	—