Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 77%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 8:02 AM.
Price down 4.6% in 24h: a mild downward trend.
Up 13.9% in the last 6 hours and accelerating.
5,966 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Scarcity score 20/100: abundant and liquid.
Only 1.5% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~8.5 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Trading within 5% of its lowest recorded price.
Average price down 20% over the past week versus the prior week.
RSI 30: beaten down and due for a potential bounce.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 60% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading 39% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 351% above the best standing bid of $1.21; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
Lunar Mask 2026 sits in the 5th percentile of its 90-day range at a $2.70 ask, yet the model still reads it as 39.2% above fair value, which is the tension that defines this item. The 7d decline of 19.9% and oversold RSI read as a possible recovery setup rather than a breakdown, and the 6h bounce of 13.9% hints at that, but the order book undercuts the quoted price: the best standing bid is $2.02, a 28.8% spread, leaving the listing 170% above any real buyer. With 86 active listings against 5966 fixed-supply units held by 702 owners, liquidity scores 18 and scarcity 20. Grade C, 43/100.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 17h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -4.6% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -4.6% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -4.4% | 46 | 49 |
| Return (14d) | -18.9% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -22.4% | 46 | 46 |
| Return (60d) | -41.8% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -50.7% | 34 | 39 |
| Return (all) | -86.7% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -4.7% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -4.7% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -4.5% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -21.0% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -25.4% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -54.1% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -70.8% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -201.4% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $2.83 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $2.83 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $3.33 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $4.17 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $6.80 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $6.80 | — | — |
| High (all) | $31.81 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $2.70 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $2.70 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $2.70 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $2.70 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $2.70 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $2.70 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $2.70 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $2.77 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $2.80 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $2.93 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $3.48 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $4.12 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $4.43 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $8.86 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $2.77 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $2.83 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $2.83 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $3.48 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $4.02 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $4.54 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $5.73 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +4.8% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +4.8% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +23.3% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +54.4% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +151.9% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +151.9% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1078.1% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Position in range (all) | 0 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -4.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -4.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -18.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -35.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -60.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -60.3% | 47 | 46 |
| Distance from high (all) | -91.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -2.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -3.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -7.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -22.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -34.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -39.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -69.5% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 6 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 9 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 16 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 42 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 11 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 31 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 49 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 113 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 29 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 35 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 23 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 25 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 27 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -1.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -1.6% | 35 | 27 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -1.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.7% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.3% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.68× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.62× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.76× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.67× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.67× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +2.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +3.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +9.0% | 30 | 30 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +9.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +8.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +9.1% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +7.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +5.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +5.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +35.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +60.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +60.3% | 39 | 40 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +91.5% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +60.3% | 53 | 54 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +91.5% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 55d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 177d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.09× | 40 | 37 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.10× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 0.73 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 2.4 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 4.63 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 14.28 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +27.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +47.2% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +47.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +4.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +9.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +22.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +22.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +22.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +1.5% | 46 | 49 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 14 | 46 | 49 |
| Listings on book | 89 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +49.2% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -40.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | -0.6% | 7 | 7 |
| Owner growth (60d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | -1.5% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 8.50× | 25 | 25 |
| Top-1 holder share | +3.2% | 51 | 44 |
| Top-10 holder share | +16.0% | 62 | 52 |
| HHI (top-10) | 33.17 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | -0.6% | 25 | 25 |
| Absorption (60d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | -1.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.27× | 27 | 29 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.27× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +39.4% | 59 | 60 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.14× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +55.2% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $1.21 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 37 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -1.8% | 46 | 49 |
| Momentum pillar | 54 | 65 | 67 |
| Scarcity pillar | 20 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 10 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 58 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 29 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 40 | 29 | 28 |
| Data completeness | +77.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.75× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.71× | 70 | 70 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.11× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.84× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.30× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.08× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -18.6% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -7.5% | 46 | 47 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -39.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 3 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 50 | 50 |
| Dump days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 4 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -4.3% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -4.3% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.