Lowest current ask on the Steam Community Market · Store price $9.99
Lunar Mask 2026 — an S&box accessory (Steam lists it as a Workshop Item), comfortably mid-range and trading on the Steam Community Market. Made for S&box, the Facepunch Studios sandbox game (the team behind Garry's Mod and Rust). Live price, 24h change, full buy/sell order book, total supply, and the price chart for Lunar Mask 2026 are all below — synced from Steam every 15–30 minutes.
Lunar Mask 2026 is a Costume-tier S&box accessory skin. It was first released in February 2026. There are 5,966 in circulation across 713 owners. It trades around $5.63 on the Steam Community Market, up 27.9% in the last 24 hours.
The most striking figure here is the model's fair-value gap: the current ask of $5.63 sits 92% above modelled fair value, even as the item posts a 24h gain of 27.9% and a 7-day return of -15.7%. That combination reads as fade-risk rather than continuation, consistent with the pack's contrarian momentum flag, especially with turnover at the 5th percentile and only 1 executed sale and 0 units traded in the last 24h. The order book shows a 34.1% bid/ask spread, with the best standing bid at just $3.99, well below the ask. Fixed supply (5966 units, delisted from store) and concentrated ownership (713 owners) support the floor, but thin liquidity means the spike may not hold.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 5h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
Price up 27.9% in 24h: significant bullish movement.
5,966 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Scarcity score 20/100: abundant and liquid.
Only 1.7% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
No sales in the last 24h; it may be hard to buy or sell at the quoted price.
~8.4 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Average price down 16% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 82% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Up 27pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Trading 92% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
Buy-side depth dropped sharply in the last 48h while the price held; the floor is being pulled before price has caught down to it.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only, not financial advice. Based on current market data and item properties.
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Recomputed each sync: last updated Jul 9, 10:02 PM.
Vol: 660