Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 75%.
Overall rating
?Store · permanent
Insight Engine v2
58/ 100
B
Momentum57
Scarcity12
Liquidity33
Value95
Risk36
Recomputed each sync: last updated Aug 25, 3:02 AM.
Signal narrative
Bearish
Sharp decline !!!
Price down 15.8% in 24h: significant selling pressure.
Elevated supply
6,212 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Low scarcity score
Scarcity score 12/100: abundant and liquid.
Holders are holding !!
Only 3.0% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
Concentrated ownership
~11.2 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
Below store price
Trading at a 84% discount to the store price.
Near all-time low !!
Trading within 5% of its lowest recorded price.
Signal Analysis
Insight Engine
Black Modern Watch is trading at $0.19, roughly 81.2% below the model's fair value and in the 5th percentile of its 90-day range, after a 31.3% weekly decline. The contrarian read on that drop is a possible recovery setup rather than a trend to extrapolate, and the deep drawdown, near all-time-low positioning and sub-store pricing (original store price $1.00, median sale $0.40) all point the same way. The offsetting case is structural: 6,212 units against 554 owners, 188 live listings, a scarcity score of 12 and liquidity at 33. The order book is thin, with a 20.7% spread and the listing floating 208% above the $0.13 best bid, so execution near the quoted ask looks uncertain.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 12h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
Price action
97/113 populated
Indicator
Value
vs market
vs cohort
Return (24h)
-15.8%
—
—
Return (3d)
—
—
—
Return (7d)
-15.8%
20
21
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.
Weekly downtrend !!
Average price down 33% over the past week versus the prior week.
High volatility
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Deep drawdown
Down 70% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Lagging the market !!
15pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.
Below modelled fair value !!
Trading 83% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Capped at store price !!
Permanently in the store at $1.00 — anyone can mint another at that price forever, so there's no scarcity premium and limited upside above the store price.
Phantom price !!
The listed price sits 208% above the best standing bid of $0.13; you could not actually sell there right now.
Market-wide fear
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.