Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 75%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 8:02 AM.
6,219 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Scarcity score 12/100: abundant and liquid.
Only 2.4% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~11.2 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
Trading at a 87% discount to the store price.
Trading within 5% of its lowest recorded price.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 68% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
29pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.
Trading 78% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Permanently in the store at $1.00 — anyone can mint another at that price forever, so there's no scarcity premium and limited upside above the store price.
The listed price sits 233% above the best standing bid of $0.12; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
At $0.13 the lowest ask sits 78% below the model's fair value and in the 5th percentile of its 90-day range, but the order book undercuts that discount: the best standing bid is $0.10, a 62.1% spread, meaning the listed price floats 300% above real demand. Supply is the structural problem, with 6,219 units in existence, 6,190 sold through the permanent store, 153 active listings and a scarcity score of 12. Liquidity scores 15. The 7d return of -6.3% lags the market median by 28.8 points, placing it in the 6th cohort percentile, so the cheapness here reads as capped upside against a $1.00 store ceiling rather than a clean recovery setup.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 17h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -31.6% | 8 | 8 |
| Return (14d) | -31.6% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -31.6% | 32 | 29 |
| Return (60d) | -58.1% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -62.3% | 22 | 25 |
| Return (all) | -93.1% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -37.9% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -37.9% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -37.9% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -86.9% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -97.6% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -266.7% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.13 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.19 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.19 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.19 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.31 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $0.40 | — | — |
| High (all) | $1.88 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.13 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.13 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.13 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.13 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.13 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.13 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.13 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.13 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.16 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.17 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.25 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $0.51 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.13 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.16 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.19 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.19 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.19 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.39 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | — | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +46.2% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +46.2% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +46.2% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +138.5% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +207.7% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1342.3% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Position in range (all) | 0 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -31.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -31.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -31.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -58.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -67.5% | 36 | 33 |
| Distance from high (all) | -93.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -18.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -24.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -27.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -33.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -47.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -74.3% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 6 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 12 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 22 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 49 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 6 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 16 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 25 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 74 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 43 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 47 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 40 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -2.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -0.6% | 56 | 59 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.30× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.19× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.35× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.74× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.77× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +21.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +14.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +10.1% | 37 | 37 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +10.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +12.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +12.0% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +10.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +8.0% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +9.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +31.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +58.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +67.5% | 53 | 56 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +93.1% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +67.5% | 64 | 67 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +93.1% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 83d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 180d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.11× | 35 | 32 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.05× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | -1.75 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 0.64 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 5.01 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 4.39 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +11.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +11.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +29.2% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +50.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +31.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +31.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +31.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +31.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +35.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +2.4% | 70 | 73 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 21 | 70 | 73 |
| Listings on book | 147 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +45.2% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -9.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.1% | 50 | 51 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.7% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | +0.2% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | +0.2% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | -0.2% | 16 | 17 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | +0.2% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | +0.5% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0.33 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0.17 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 25854d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 11.23× | 52 | 54 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +1.8% | 31 | 25 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +8.1% | 31 | 24 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 7.99 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | -0.3% | 32 | 33 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | +0.0% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | -0.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 510d | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.13× | 10 | 11 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.13× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -78.0% | 9 | 9 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.01× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +7.7% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.10 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 46 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -29.0% | 8 | 8 |
| Momentum pillar | 60 | 81 | 83 |
| Scarcity pillar | 12 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 15 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 93 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 25 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 52 | 74 | 74 |
| Data completeness | +74.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -0.75× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.17× | 25 | 22 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.10× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.21× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.07× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.05× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -36.4% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -21.0% | 27 | 25 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -55.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Spike days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 5 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 50 | 50 |
| Dump days (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 8 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | — | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -7.9% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -3 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.