6,212

Supply

554

Owners

Scarcity

accessoryIn store · permanent

Black Modern Watch

$0.16▼ -15.79% 24h

Lowest current ask on the Steam Community Market · Store price $0.99

Black Modern Watch — an S&box accessory, one of the cheaper S&box skins around and trading on the Steam Community Market. Made for S&box, the Facepunch Studios sandbox game (the team behind Garry's Mod and Rust). Live price, 24h change, full buy/sell order book, total supply, and the price chart for Black Modern Watch are all below — synced from Steam every 15–30 minutes.

View on Steam MarketCompare

S&box Metrics

Lowest ask

$0.40

Sold (24h median)

$0.40

Spread

-$0.24-60.0%

Listings

188

Released

May 16, 20251.3y ago

About Black Modern Watch

Black Modern Watch is an S&box accessory skin. It is currently available in the S&box store for $1.00. There are 6,212 in circulation across 554 owners. It trades around $0.16 on the Steam Community Market, down 15.8% in the last 24 hours.

Price history

Steam Community Market · USD

High

$2.41

Low

$0.16

Avg

$0.70

Change

-92.1%

2302 data points

Order book

PRICE · QTY

Loading order book…

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

Black Modern Watch is trading at $0.19, roughly 81.2% below the model's fair value and in the 5th percentile of its 90-day range, after a 31.3% weekly decline. The contrarian read on that drop is a possible recovery setup rather than a trend to extrapolate, and the deep drawdown, near all-time-low positioning and sub-store pricing (original store price $1.00, median sale $0.40) all point the same way. The offsetting case is structural: 6,212 units against 554 owners, 188 live listings, a scarcity score of 12 and liquidity at 33. The order book is thin, with a 20.7% spread and the listing floating 208% above the $0.13 best bid, so execution near the quoted ask looks uncertain.

AI-generated from live market data · updated 11h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price signals

Bearish

Sharp decline !!!

Price down 15.8% in 24h: significant selling pressure.

Elevated supply

6,212 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.

Low scarcity score

Scarcity score 12/100: abundant and liquid.

Holders are holding !!

Only 3.0% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Concentrated ownership

~11.2 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Below store price

Trading at a 84% discount to the store price.

Near all-time low !!

Trading within 5% of its lowest recorded price.

Weekly downtrend !!

Average price down 33% over the past week versus the prior week.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Deep drawdown

Down 70% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.

Lagging the market !!

15pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.

Below modelled fair value !!

Trading 83% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.

Capped at store price !!

Permanently in the store at $1.00 — anyone can mint another at that price forever, so there's no scarcity premium and limited upside above the store price.

Phantom price !!

The listed price sits 208% above the best standing bid of $0.13; you could not actually sell there right now.

Market-wide fear

The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.

Signals are informational only, not financial advice. Based on current market data and item properties.