1,771
Supply
137
Owners
44
Scarcity
AccessoriesHatCapNot in store
Balloon Hat
$5.55+0.00% 24h
Lowest current ask on the Steam Community Market · Store price $2.99
Basic... But you have to start somewhere. until 29 June 2026.
Lowest ask
$4.11
Sold (24h median)
$3.00
Spread
$1.44+35.0%
Listings
29
Released
Jun 23, 20263mo ago
About Balloon Hat
Balloon Hat is a Cap-tier S&box accessory skin. It was first released in June 2026. There are 1,771 in circulation across 137 owners. It trades around $5.55 on the Steam Community Market.
Price history
Steam Community Market · USD
High
$47.22
Low
$2.72
Avg
$4.91
Change
-6.4%
383 data points
Order book
PRICE · QTYLoading order book…
Signal Analysis
Insight EngineThe ask sits at $5.55 against a $3.00 median sale, exactly the original store price, which puts the listing 54.8% above the model's fair value. That gap is reinforced by a 40.5% bid/ask spread, with the best standing bid only $3.68, and a liquidity score of 11/100, so the quoted price is unlikely to be where trades actually clear. The structural case is real: the hat is delisted with supply fixed at 1771 units, and 90d return ranks in the 95th percentile, 55.3% ahead of the market median over seven days. But 137 owners across that supply flags concentration, the overall grade is C at 42/100, and the 7d move is already -8.7%. Patience on entry looks better supported than chasing the ask.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 20h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
Price signals
Bullish
Holders are holding !!
Only 1.6% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
Concentrated ownership
~12.9 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
Delisted from store !!
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
High volatility
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Deep drawdown
Down 84% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Outperforming the market !!
Up 39pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Above modelled fair value !!
Trading 55% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Fixed supply
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
Market-wide fear
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only, not financial advice. Based on current market data and item properties.
Order book intelligence
Reading the order book…
Recent price observations
from tracked price historyPRICEWHEN
$5.551d ago
$5.551d ago
$5.552d ago
$5.663d ago
$5.673d ago
$5.673d ago
$5.714d ago
Supply & scarcity
On market29 / 1,771
Unique owners137
Scarcity score44 / 100
—
Steam sales 24h
$9.8K
Market cap
Overall rating
?Fixed supply35/ 100
DMomentum27
Scarcity44
Liquidity11
Value50
Risk39
Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 24, 11:02 AM.
Shareable snapshot
Clean, screenshot-ready card with Balloon Hat's price, supply, and momentum. Great for posting on Discord, Twitter, or Reddit.
