S&box Market Report — Week 24, 2026

Market Overview

After three straight green weeks the board finally exhaled: -16.0% to $50,367, even with three fresh items pushing the tracker to 106. Short Parted Hair led the gainers at +53.5%, but the headline is Snapback Black cratering -96.6% — the kind of print that usually means someone undercut a thin order book into oblivion rather than a real revaluation. Momentum readings, for what it's worth, are pointing at Valentines Bear Head 2025.

We're tracking 106 unique S&box skins across the Steam Community Market.

Top Momentum This Week

Our composite momentum score blends 7-day and 30-day price trends, volume surges, supply contraction, holder concentration, and store-rotation signals. Items ranking high have multiple indicators pointing the same way — not just a one-off spike.

1. Valentines Bear Head 2025 — momentum 68.6 — Up 23.8% over 7 days; Trend is accelerating, not just drifting; Scarcity score 79/100
2. Vacation Shirt — momentum 67.0 — Volume 2.8× its 30-day baseline
3. Scientist Gloves — momentum 67.0 — Up 35.0% over 7 days; Scarcity score 90/100
4. Bandana Mask — momentum 66.0 — Up 47.5% over 7 days; Trend is accelerating, not just drifting; Scarcity score 93/100
5. WW1 Helmet — momentum 62.6 — Up 29.4% over 7 days; Trend is accelerating, not just drifting
6. Leather Coat (Brown) — momentum 61.5 — Volume 4.3× its 30-day baseline; Scarcity score 81/100

Top Gainers

1. Short Parted Hair — $0.43 → $0.66 (+53.5%)
2. Bandana Mask — $0.80 → $1.18 (+47.5%)
3. Scientist Gloves — $1.00 → $1.35 (+35.0%)
4. WW1 Helmet — $1.09 → $1.41 (+29.4%)
5. Valentines Bear Head 2025 — $27.44 → $33.98 (+23.8%)

Top Losers

1. Snapback Black — $91.95 → $3.12 (-96.6%)
2. Snapback Camo — $18.20 → $1.77 (-90.3%)
3. Scientist Respirator — $668.87 → $115.00 (-82.8%)
4. Snapback Orange — $4.16 → $1.18 (-71.6%)
5. Sausage Survivors 2 Tshirt — $2.32 → $0.83 (-64.2%)

Category Breakdown

- Accessories — 36 items · avg $12.89 · listings value $23,607.19 - Clothing — 33 items · avg $24.42 · listings value $9,892.82 - accessory — 14 items · avg $245.56 · listings value $9,749.21 - clothing — 19 items · avg $10.74 · listings value $6,533.61 - Face — 4 items · avg $1.58 · listings value $584.84

Volume Leaders

Most listed on the Steam Community Market right now. Deep order books → easier to buy/sell at market.

1. Easter Bunny Nose 2026 — 870 listings · $0.80
2. Easter Bunny Hat 2026 — 708 listings · $1.74
3. The Loving Look — 586 listings · $0.82
4. Sports Bandage — 468 listings · $1.01
5. Plague Doctor Mask — 461 listings · $1.88

Busiest Past 24h

Actual sales — not listings. The skins people are actively trading.

1. Easter Bunny Hat 2026 — 50 sold past 24h
2. Lunar Mask 2026 — 33 sold past 24h
3. Easter Bunny Nose 2026 — 31 sold past 24h
4. Bag — 30 sold past 24h
5. Reindeer Trousers 2025 — 27 sold past 24h

Leaving the Store Soon

Items in the S&box store that rotate out within 3 weeks. Historically, store rotations drive a spike in secondary-market price — worth watching these.

- Cat Balaclava — leaves in -11d

Rarest Skins by Scarcity Score

Tightest distribution and thinnest liquidity right now.

1. Lumberjack Shirt — scarcity 98/100 · $2.33
2. Wizard Beard — scarcity 98/100 · $6.75
3. Halloween Jeans 2025 — scarcity 96/100 · $5.72
4. Pink Scientist Gloves — scarcity 96/100 · $1.44
5. Balaclava Yellow Black — scarcity 95/100 · $4.14

What This Means

Three weeks of Respirator dominance starts to look less like a meme and more like a thin float doing what thin floats do — a couple of motivated buyers can drag the print wherever they want until somebody decides to take liquidity. That makes the indices look healthier than the underlying breadth probably is, since one item is doing a disproportionate amount of the lifting. Worth watching next week: whether listing count on the Respirator climbs back toward where it sat in Week 22. If sellers start re-papering the book, the +303% victory lap unwinds fast. If they don't, assume someone's accumulating and act accordingly.

For live data, check Trends and set price alerts on items you're watching. Get this report in your inbox every Friday — subscribe to the newsletter (we also do a Monday forward-looking outlook).

Auto-generated from our market data every Friday. Signals pulled from the Steam Community Market, sbox.dev, and our own daily supply snapshots.