S&box Market Report — Week 21, 2026

Market Overview

Face Tattoos tearing +202.1% is the kind of print that makes you reload the page twice — especially since the same item showed up in our Week 19 notes and has now decided it's a momentum play. The tracker expanded to 94 skins and the board flipped green at +35.7%, though total listings value of $50,571

We're tracking 94 unique S&box skins across the Steam Community Market.

Top Momentum This Week

Our composite momentum score blends 7-day and 30-day price trends, volume surges, supply contraction, holder concentration, and store-rotation signals. Items ranking high have multiple indicators pointing the same way — not just a one-off spike.

1. Face Tattoos — momentum 71.3 — Up 202.1% over 7 days; Trend is accelerating, not just drifting
2. Neck Tattoo — momentum 70.8 — Up 158.9% over 7 days; Trend is accelerating, not just drifting
3. Sneakers Gravity — momentum 64.6 — Up 24.2% over 7 days; Leaving the store within 14 days; Scarcity score 83/100
4. Sneakers Gravity Led Blue — momentum 64.6 — Up 28.2% over 7 days; Leaving the store within 14 days; Scarcity score 93/100
5. Grand Ball Gown — momentum 63.2 — Up 40.0% over 7 days; Volume 4.6× its 30-day baseline; Trend is accelerating, not just drifting
6. Propane Helmet — momentum 61.5 — Up 26.7% over 7 days; Trend is accelerating, not just drifting; Scarcity score 78/100

Top Gainers

1. Face Tattoos — $604.64 → $1,826.80 (+202.1%)
2. Neck Tattoo — $695.20 → $1,800.00 (+158.9%)
3. Chef Shirt — $0.81 → $1.15 (+42.0%)
4. Grand Ball Gown — $0.85 → $1.19 (+40.0%)
5. Wizard Hat — $17.53 → $22.62 (+29.0%)

Top Losers

1. Black Modern Watch — $0.76 → $0.30 (-60.5%)
2. Love Heart Boxers — $0.47 → $0.19 (-59.6%)
3. Fisherman — $3.41 → $1.55 (-54.5%)
4. Cowboy Hat — $3.52 → $1.78 (-49.4%)
5. Bandana Mask — $1.64 → $0.87 (-47.0%)

Category Breakdown

- Accessories — 37 items · avg $61.18 · listings value $26,745.65 - clothing — 21 items · avg $38.17 · listings value $9,533.90 - Clothing — 23 items · avg $6.42 · listings value $7,015.62 - accessory — 8 items · avg $467.16 · listings value $6,673.00 - Face — 4 items · avg $1.82 · listings value $598.80 - character — 1 items · avg $1.55 · listings value $4.65

Volume Leaders

Most listed on the Steam Community Market right now. Deep order books → easier to buy/sell at market.

1. Punk Helmet — 624 listings · $1.04
2. Easter Bunny Hat 2026 — 592 listings · $1.63
3. Plague Doctor Mask — 483 listings · $2.99
4. The Loving Look — 446 listings · $1.24
5. Black Modern Watch — 219 listings · $0.30

Busiest Past 24h

Actual sales — not listings. The skins people are actively trading.

1. Sports Bandage — 119 sold past 24h
2. Siren Hands — 25 sold past 24h
3. Tactical Backpack — 17 sold past 24h
4. Surgical Face Mask — 16 sold past 24h
5. Mob Boss Waistcoat & Shirt — 14 sold past 24h

Leaving the Store Soon

Items in the S&box store that rotate out within 3 weeks. Historically, store rotations drive a spike in secondary-market price — worth watching these.

- Fanny Pack — leaves in 10d - Cat Balaclava — leaves in 10d - Leather Coat — leaves in 10d - Sneakers Gravity — leaves in 10d - Paper 3D Glasses — leaves in 10d

Rarest Skins by Scarcity Score

Tightest distribution and thinnest liquidity right now.

1. Shark Head — scarcity 98/100 · $13.00
2. Reindeer Top 2025 — scarcity 98/100 · $16.81
3. SWAG Chain — scarcity 97/100 · $6.32
4. Siren Hands — scarcity 95/100 · $2.19
5. Easter Bunny Nose 2026 — scarcity 94/100 · $0.81

What This Means

Two consecutive red weeks after a green Week 19 print suggests the post-Easter air pocket isn't done deflating — the tracker keeps adding items faster than buyers are absorbing them, and listings value can't catch up to that supply curve. That's not a crash, that's a market doing math. The interesting tension is between the holiday skins still bleeding off their event premium and the year-round basics that should, in theory, set a floor.

Watch whether listing counts on the seasonal cohort start thinning next week. If sellers begin pulling unsold Easter and winter pieces rather than re-pricing them, that's the first real signal of a supply-side capitulation — and the cleaner setup for a Week

For live data, check Trends and set price alerts on items you're watching. Get this report in your inbox every Friday — subscribe to the newsletter (we also do a Monday forward-looking outlook).

Auto-generated from our market data every Friday. Signals pulled from the Steam Community Market, sbox.dev, and our own daily supply snapshots.