S&box Market Report — Week 20, 2026

Market Overview

A 36.4% nosedive to $54,950 in listings value wipes out last week's green print and then some, even with the tracker still sitting at 88 items. The Grand Ball Gown led the bleed at -66.8%, while Reindeer Head 2025 ran the other direction at +24.2% — a holiday cosmetic catching a bid in mid-May is the kind of thing we'd usually flag as noise, but the momentum score (60.7) says someone's actually buying.

We're tracking 88 unique S&box skins across the Steam Community Market.

Top Momentum This Week

Our composite momentum score blends 7-day and 30-day price trends, volume surges, supply contraction, holder concentration, and store-rotation signals. Items ranking high have multiple indicators pointing the same way — not just a one-off spike.

1. Reindeer Head 2025 — momentum 60.7 — Up 24.2% over 7 days; Trend is accelerating, not just drifting; Scarcity score 88/100
2. Hard Hat — momentum 59.3
3. Surgical Face Mask — momentum 56.5 — Up 12.6% over 7 days; Trend is accelerating, not just drifting; Scarcity score 96/100
4. Lifejacket — momentum 55.2 — Up 9.8% over 7 days; Trend is accelerating, not just drifting; Scarcity score 80/100
5. Bandana Mask — momentum 53.9 — Trend is accelerating, not just drifting; Scarcity score 93/100; Sales velocity well above its lifetime average
6. Police Hat — momentum 53.8 — Sales velocity well above its lifetime average

Top Gainers

1. Reindeer Head 2025 — $27.05 → $33.59 (+24.2%)
2. Surgical Face Mask — $2.61 → $2.94 (+12.6%)
3. Lifejacket — $10.62 → $11.66 (+9.8%)
4. Leather Coat — $2.59 → $2.82 (+8.9%)
5. Bandana Mask — $1.56 → $1.64 (+5.1%)

Top Losers

1. Grand Ball Gown — $2.56 → $0.85 (-66.8%)
2. Chef Hat — $2.30 → $0.93 (-59.6%)
3. Love Heart Boxers — $0.82 → $0.38 (-53.7%)
4. Chef Shirt — $1.58 → $0.75 (-52.5%)
5. Fisherman Cap — $26.57 → $12.82 (-51.8%)

Category Breakdown

- Accessories — 37 items · avg $62.47 · listings value $31,201.90 - accessory — 6 items · avg $236.45 · listings value $10,097.40 - Clothing — 23 items · avg $6.78 · listings value $9,983.90 - clothing — 17 items · avg $24.44 · listings value $3,446.12 - Face — 4 items · avg $1.98 · listings value $192.88 - character — 1 items · avg $3.54 · listings value $28.32

Volume Leaders

Most listed on the Steam Community Market right now. Deep order books → easier to buy/sell at market.

1. Easter Bunny Hat 2026 — 713 listings · $2.09
2. Punk Helmet — 659 listings · $1.01
3. Easter Bunny Nose 2026 — 550 listings · $1.49
4. The Loving Look — 502 listings · $1.16
5. Sports Bandage — 463 listings · $1.93

Busiest Past 24h

Actual sales — not listings. The skins people are actively trading.

1. Easter Bunny Hat 2026 — 81 sold past 24h
2. SWAG Chain — 73 sold past 24h
3. Easter Bunny Nose 2026 — 59 sold past 24h
4. The Loving Look — 55 sold past 24h
5. Crossbody Bag Shirt — 49 sold past 24h

Leaving the Store Soon

Items in the S&box store that rotate out within 3 weeks. Historically, store rotations drive a spike in secondary-market price — worth watching these.

- Cat Balaclava — leaves in 17d - Fanny Pack — leaves in 17d - Leather Coat — leaves in 17d - Sneakers Gravity — leaves in 17d - Sneakers Gravity Led Blue — leaves in 17d

Rarest Skins by Scarcity Score

Tightest distribution and thinnest liquidity right now.

1. Shark Head — scarcity 99/100 · $14.37
2. Wizard Trousers — scarcity 99/100 · $11.50
3. Mob Boss Waistcoat & Shirt — scarcity 98/100 · $2.43
4. Pumpkin Head 2025 — scarcity 98/100 · $46.58
5. Varsity Jacket — scarcity 98/100 · $19.86

What This Means

Four weeks of whipsaw — +4.

For live data, check Trends and set price alerts on items you're watching. Get this report in your inbox every Friday — subscribe to the newsletter (we also do a Monday forward-looking outlook).

Auto-generated from our market data every Friday. Signals pulled from the Steam Community Market, sbox.dev, and our own daily supply snapshots.