Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 82%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 29, 6:02 PM.
Price up 130.3% in 24h: significant bullish movement.
234 total supply: a relatively rare item.
Only 0.9% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~14.6 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
Average price up 225% over the past week versus the prior week.
Buyers actually paid a median of $1.62 across 5 recent sales — the current ask is 120% above what trades are really printing at.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 82% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Up 124pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Trading 85% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
The median sale price sits 913% above the best standing bid of $0.16; you could not actually sell there right now.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline number here is structural, not directional: the bid/ask spread sits at 162.6%, with the best standing bid at $0.16 against a $1.55 lowest ask, and the $0.66 median sale price floats 313% above that best bid. That phantom-price gap frames the rest. The +142.2% 24h and +318.0% 7d moves look dramatic, but in this single-regime market sharp spikes have tended to fade, and the 6h change has already flattened to 0.0% on a single recorded sale in 24h. Volatility is extreme (95th percentile on both 30d return stdev and 90d max drawdown), liquidity scores 15/100, and the overall grade is C at 47/100. The -17.8% discount to fair value is real but hard to realize against a $0.14 cumulative bid floor.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 1d ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +130.3% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +457.8% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +120.4% | 93 | 90 |
| Return (14d) | +1328.0% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +158.7% | 75 | 72 |
| Return (60d) | -83.6% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Return (all) | -83.6% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +83.4% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +171.9% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +79.0% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +265.9% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +95.0% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -181.0% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -181.0% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $4.00 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $4.00 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $4.00 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $4.00 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $4.00 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $21.82 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $21.82 | — | — |
| High (all) | $21.82 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $4.00 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.64 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.64 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.14 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.14 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.14 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.14 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $4.00 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $2.06 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $1.67 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $1.09 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.79 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $2.79 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $2.79 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $2.79 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $4.00 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $1.55 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $1.57 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.65 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.43 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.74 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.74 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.74 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +525.0% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +525.0% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +1639.1% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +2757.1% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +15485.7% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +15485.7% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +15485.7% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 100 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 100 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 18 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 18 | 15 | 11 |
| Position in range (all) | 18 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | -10.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -10.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -10.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -10.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -10.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -83.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -83.6% | 5 | 8 |
| Distance from high (all) | -83.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | -10.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +457.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +457.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +1452.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +2450.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +2450.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +2450.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +2450.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | -10.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +73.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +114.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +227.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +351.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +28.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +28.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | +28.2% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 6 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 7 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 8 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 14 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 21 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 21 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 21 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 100 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 55 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 28 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 28 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 28 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 2.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $1.67 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | +114.3% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | $1.09 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | +227.7% | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $1.67 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | +114.3% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | $1.09 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | +227.7% | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +15.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +6.3% | 95 | 92 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -9.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -9.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -9.9% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.48× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.23× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.24× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.24× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.24× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +68.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +58.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +48.8% | 95 | 95 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +54.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +54.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +54.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +18.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +22.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +22.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +89.9% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +99.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +99.4% | 95 | 95 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +99.4% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +81.7% | 93 | 91 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +81.7% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 41d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 41d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.99× | 76 | 75 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.43× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 2.25 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 2.38 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 5.56 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 7.06 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +158.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +276.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +276.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +276.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +276.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +58.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +58.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +58.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +84.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +84.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | +2.1% | 95 | 95 |
| On-market % | +0.9% | 36 | 38 |
| Days to clear listings | 0.4d | 5 | 5 |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 41 | 95 | 95 |
| Listings on book | 2 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +182.8% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +9.9% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +33.7% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +169.0% | 95 | 95 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +5750.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +5750.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 3.5 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 5.07 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 21d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 14.63× | 86 | 88 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +0.9% | 6 | 8 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +5.1% | 11 | 16 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 2.92 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 0 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 49d | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +85.3% | 74 | 76 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.08× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +95.5% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.14 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 49 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +124.1% | 93 | 90 |
| Momentum pillar | 23 | 5 | 7 |
| Scarcity pillar | 44 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 28 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 37 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 35 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 38 | 38 | 43 |
| Data completeness | +82.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -4.67× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.26× | 8 | 10 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.21× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.25× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.03× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.02× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +1451.5% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +5.8% | 81 | 76 |
| Return vs market (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 6 | 95 | 95 |
| Spike days (60d) | 7 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 7 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 6 | 95 | 95 |
| Dump days (60d) | 10 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 10 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +87.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +68.7% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +68.7% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -3 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.