Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 80%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 29, 9:02 AM.
188 total supply: a relatively rare item.
Only 1.1% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~11.1 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
Average price up 67% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 58% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Up 154pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Trading 29% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
The median sale price sits 300% above the best standing bid of $0.17; you could not actually sell there right now.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline number here is the gap between display and demand: the median sale price of $0.68 sits 300% above the best standing bid of $0.17, with a 162.8% bid/ask spread and a lowest ask of $1.66. That phantom-price structure undercuts the bullish surface read. The 7d move of +38.3% lands in the 95th percentile and beats the market median by 155.1%, but in this single-regime market sharp spikes have tended to fade, so that gain reads as fade risk. Scarcity scores 70/100 on 188 units, yet liquidity is 7/100 and safety 29/100. The model's -23.7% discount is real but hard to realize against a $0.09 cumulative bid floor.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 18h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +144.1% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +151.5% | 95 | 90 |
| Return (14d) | +232.0% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +591.7% | 95 | 95 |
| Return (60d) | -58.1% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Return (all) | -58.1% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +89.2% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +92.2% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +120.0% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +193.4% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -86.9% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -86.9% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $1.66 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $1.66 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $1.66 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $1.66 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $1.66 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $3.96 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $3.96 | — | — |
| High (all) | $3.96 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $1.66 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.68 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.37 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.37 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $1.66 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $1.33 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.82 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.66 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.53 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.98 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.98 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $0.98 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $1.66 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $1.66 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.66 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.45 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.40 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.40 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.40 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.40 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +144.1% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +348.6% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +348.6% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +730.0% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +1880.0% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +1880.0% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1880.0% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 100 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 100 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 39 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 39 | 30 | 24 |
| Position in range (all) | 39 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -58.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -58.1% | 19 | 19 |
| Distance from high (all) | -58.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +144.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +348.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +348.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +730.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +730.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +730.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +730.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +24.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +101.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +152.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +214.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +69.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +69.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | +69.8% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 8 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 6 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 13 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 13 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 13 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 100 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 67 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 57 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $0.82 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | +101.4% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | $0.66 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | +152.1% | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $0.82 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | +101.4% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | $0.66 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | +152.1% | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +10.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +6.6% | 95 | 94 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -6.0% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -6.0% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -6.0% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.39× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.42× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.22× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.22× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.22× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +52.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +38.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +35.7% | 90 | 88 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +43.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +43.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +43.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +13.0% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +23.0% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +23.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +46.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +94.9% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +94.9% | 94 | 91 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +94.9% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +58.1% | 81 | 81 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +58.1% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 41d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 41d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 1.23× | 82 | 82 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.26× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.39 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 1.31 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 1.4 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 2.33 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +144.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +144.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +144.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +144.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +144.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +43.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +43.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +43.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +77.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +77.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +1.1% | 48 | 50 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 10 | 51 | 51 |
| Listings on book | 2 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +162.8% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +13.3% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +27.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +154.1% | 95 | 95 |
| Supply growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 3.67 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 3.93 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 22d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 11.06× | 49 | 48 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +1.6% | 25 | 29 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +6.9% | 25 | 28 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 5.94 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 0 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 49d | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -29.2% | 35 | 31 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.02× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +89.8% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.09 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 49 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +154.2% | 95 | 90 |
| Momentum pillar | 22 | 5 | 5 |
| Scarcity pillar | 70 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 7 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 63 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 29 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 44 | 61 | 63 |
| Data completeness | +80.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -2.59× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.19× | 9 | 13 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.81× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.25× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.03× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.14× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +183.5% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +407.6% | 95 | 95 |
| Return vs market (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 6 | 95 | 95 |
| Spike days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 6 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 5 | 95 | 95 |
| Dump days (60d) | 8 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 8 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +14.3% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +14.3% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +14.3% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -2 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.