Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 81%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 29, 4:02 AM.
141 total supply: a relatively rare item.
Only 4.3% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~11.8 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
Average price up 315% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 83% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Up 326pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Trading 85% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
The median sale price sits 110% above the best standing bid of $0.21; you could not actually sell there right now.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The 275.6% seven-day gain (95th percentile for return, and 329.8% ahead of the market median) is the headline here, but in this single-regime market sharp spikes have tended to fade, so it reads as fade-risk rather than continuation, which the momentum score of 17 echoes. The order book is the bigger problem: the $1.79 ask sits against a best standing bid of $0.21 and a cumulative bid floor of $0.17, a 158% spread, with the $0.44 median sale printing 110% above that top bid. Supply is genuinely thin at 140 units total and 6 live listings in the current observation, and the model reads price 85.1% below fair value, but with liquidity at 24/100 the displayed floor is doing more work than real demand.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 13h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +323.8% | 95 | 95 |
| Return (14d) | +423.5% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +212.3% | 84 | 79 |
| Return (60d) | -82.8% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Return (all) | -82.8% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +144.4% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +165.5% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +113.9% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -176.0% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -176.0% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $1.78 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $1.79 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $2.12 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $2.12 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $2.12 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $10.35 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $10.35 | — | — |
| High (all) | $10.35 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $1.78 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $1.78 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.32 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.17 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.17 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.17 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.17 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $1.78 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $1.78 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $1.49 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.92 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.67 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $1.52 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $1.52 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $1.52 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $1.78 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $1.78 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $1.78 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.40 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +404.8% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +562.5% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +1147.1% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +5988.2% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +5988.2% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +5988.2% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 81 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 83 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 16 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 16 | 13 | 10 |
| Position in range (all) | 16 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -16.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -16.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -16.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -82.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -82.8% | 7 | 8 |
| Distance from high (all) | -82.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +323.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +456.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +947.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +947.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +947.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +947.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +19.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +92.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +164.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +17.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +17.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | +17.2% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 5 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 10 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 10 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 10 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 13 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 19 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 19 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 19 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 56 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 34 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 34 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 34 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $1.49 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | +19.5% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | $0.92 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | +92.5% | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $1.49 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | +19.5% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | $0.92 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | +92.5% | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +16.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +7.3% | 95 | 95 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -6.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -6.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -6.8% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.67× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.40× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.21× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.21× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.21× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 8.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +67.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +45.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +42.5% | 94 | 93 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +46.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +46.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +46.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +13.1% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +20.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +20.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +70.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +98.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +98.4% | 95 | 95 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +98.4% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +82.8% | 93 | 92 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +82.8% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 41d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 41d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 1.36× | 85 | 85 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.40× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 3.99 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 4.21 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 17.52 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 20.95 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +404.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +404.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +404.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +404.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +404.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +16.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +16.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +45.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +69.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +69.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +4.3% | 95 | 95 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 35 | 95 | 95 |
| Listings on book | 6 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +157.8% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +8.5% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +19.7% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +150.0% | 95 | 94 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +13900.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +13900.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 1.83 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 2.9 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 23d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 11.75× | 58 | 57 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +1.4% | 21 | 25 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +8.5% | 33 | 36 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 8.05 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 0 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 48d | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -85.5% | 5 | 5 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.03× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +88.2% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.17 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 50 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +326.4% | 95 | 95 |
| Momentum pillar | 24 | 5 | 9 |
| Scarcity pillar | 67 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 24 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 89 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 34 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 53 | 85 | 88 |
| Data completeness | +81.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -6.70× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -1.43× | 5 | 5 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.38× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.30× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.13× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.04× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +375.1% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +28.2% | 84 | 78 |
| Return vs market (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 4 | 75 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 5 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 5 | 95 | 95 |
| Dump days (60d) | 10 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 10 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +14.1% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -1.6% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -1.6% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -5 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -5 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.