WW1 Helmetfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 258 values across 7 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 90%.

Overall rating

?Store · permanent

Insight Engine v2

38/ 100

Momentum52

Scarcity29

Liquidity14

Value39

Risk43

Recomputed each sync: last updated Jul 9, 10:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Neutral

Elevated supply

2,113 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.

Holders are holding !!

Only 3.0% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Illiquid

No sales in the last 24h; it may be hard to buy or sell at the quoted price.

Concentrated ownership

~6.4 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Item drop !!

A random in-game drop (17 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.

Deep drawdown

Down 78% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.

Above modelled fair value !!

Trading 214% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

The WW1 Helmet's most striking figure is its 213.6% premium over the fair-value model, a gap the order book echoes with a 54.3% bid/ask spread between the $1.10 ask and $0.63 best bid. Trading has gone quiet: zero units moved in the last 24 hours, just one executed sale, and turnover sits at the 5th percentile market-wide, consistent with the illiquid and concentrated-ownership flags (63 listings against only 332 owners for 2113 units). Price has slid 4.3% over 24 hours and 6.5% over seven days, even as it still edged out the market median by 3.2%. With holders largely not selling and supply capped by drop-only availability despite permanent mintability, this reads as a thin, cheap-to-move market where the current ask sits well ahead of where trades are actually clearing.

AI-generated from live market data · updated 8h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

108/113 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return (24h)	+0.0%	—	—
Return (3d)	-4.3%	—	—
Return (7d)	-4.3%	55	56
Return (14d)

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.

Trend

30/38 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
SMA (7)	$1.14	—	—
Price vs SMA (7)	-3.7%	—	—
SMA (14)	$1.18	—	—
Price vs SMA (14)	-7.0%	—	—
SMA (21)	$1.26	—	—
Price vs SMA (21)	-12.6%	—	—
SMA (30)	$1.29	—	—
Price vs SMA (30)	-14.6%	71	70
SMA (50)	$1.28	—	—
Price vs SMA (50)	-14.3%	—	—
SMA (90)	$2.17	—	—
Price vs SMA (90)	-49.3%	—	—
SMA (100)	—	—	—
Price vs SMA (100)	—	—	—
EMA (7)	$1.14	—	—
Price vs EMA (7)	-3.7%	—	—
EMA (14)	$1.18	—	—
Price vs EMA (14)	-7.0%	—	—
EMA (30)	$1.29	—	—
Price vs EMA (30)	-14.6%	—	—
RSI (7)	—	—	—
RSI (14)	—	—	—
RSI (21)	—	—	—
RSI (30)	—	—	—
RSI (50)	—	—	—
RSI (100)	—	—	—
Trend slope (14d)	-0.9%	—	—
Trend slope (30d)	-0.8%	81	76
Trend slope (60d)	-0.8%	—	—
Trend slope (90d)	-1.9%	—	—
Trend slope (all)	-1.9%	—	—
Trend fit R² (14d)	0.76×	—	—
Trend fit R² (30d)	0.70×	—	—
Trend fit R² (60d)	0.47×	—	—
Trend fit R² (90d)	0.74×	—	—
Trend fit R² (all)	0.77×	—	—
SMA 7/30 cross	-11.3%	77	72
Days since trend flip	14d	—	—

Volatility & risk

32/33 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return stdev (7d)	+1.8%	—	—
Return stdev (14d)	+3.2%	—	—
Return stdev (30d)	+3.6%	5	6
Return stdev (60d)	+5.5%	—	—
Return stdev (90d)	+7.6%	—	—
Return stdev (all)	+7.5%	—	—
Downside deviation (30d)	+3.0%	—	—
Downside deviation (60d)	+4.1%	—	—
Downside deviation (90d)	+5.0%	—	—
Max drawdown (30d)	+23.1%	—	—
Max drawdown (60d)	+53.3%	—	—
Max drawdown (90d)	+79.8%	26	25
Max drawdown (all)	+79.9%	—	—
Current drawdown (90d)	+78.0%	30	32
Current drawdown (all)	+78.1%	—	—
Drawdown duration (90d)	88d	—	—
Drawdown duration (all)	90d	—	—
Sortino ratio (30d)	-0.28×	44	41
Sortino ratio (90d)	-0.27×	—	—
Return skew (30d)	-0.36	—	—
Return skew (90d)	1.49	—	—
Excess kurtosis (30d)	2.69	—	—
Excess kurtosis (90d)	5.77	—	—
Largest up day (7d)	—	—	—
Largest up day (14d)	+4.2%	—	—
Largest up day (30d)	+8.6%	—	—
Largest up day (60d)	+21.2%	—	—
Largest up day (90d)	+32.5%	—	—
Largest down day (7d)	+4.3%	—	—
Largest down day (14d)	+7.3%	—	—
Largest down day (30d)	+10.8%	—	—
Largest down day (60d)	+18.5%	—	—
Largest down day (90d)	+18.6%	—	—

Liquidity

11/20 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Turnover %	+0.0%	5	5
On-market %	+3.0%	70	76
Days to clear listings	—	—	—
Lifetime sales / day	3.9	—	—
Liquidity score	20	19	19
Listings on book	63	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Listings trend (7d)	+0.0%	—	—
Listings trend (14d)	-1.6%	—	—
Listings trend (30d)	-3.1%	31	45
Listings trend (60d)	+13.5%	—	—
Bid-ask spread %	+61.9%	—	—
Near-mid bid imbalance	—	—	—
Bid-depth trend (7d)	—	—	—
Bid-floor migration (7d)	+0.0%	—	—

Supply & ownership

21/21 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Supply growth (7d)	+0.1%	—	—
Supply growth (14d)	+0.4%	—	—
Supply growth (30d)	+1.7%	51	75
Supply growth (60d)	+6.9%	—	—
Supply growth (90d)	+52.1%	—	—
Owner growth (7d)n/s	-0.3%	—	—
Owner growth (14d)n/s	-0.3%	—	—
Owner growth (30d)n/s	+0.9%	42	54
Owner growth (60d)n/s	+18.6%	—	—
Owner growth (90d)n/s	+111.5%	—	—
Mint rate (7d)	0.5	—	—
Mint rate (30d)	1.24	—	—
Supply doubling time	1210d	—	—
Copies per ownern/s	6.36×	11	9
Top-1 holder sharen/s	+1.3%	25	18
Top-10 holder sharen/s	+6.5%	29	19
HHI (top-10)n/s	5.04	—	—
Whale count (≥5)n/s	10	—	—
Absorption (30d)n/s	-0.8%	24	29
Absorption (60d)n/s	+11.6%	—	—
Absorption (90d)n/s	+59.3%	—	—

Lifecycle & value

16/18 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Age	539d	—	—
Days since fixationn/s	—	—	—
Days until leaving storen/s	—	—	—
Release-price multiple	0.28×	18	19
Store-price ratio	0.28×	—	—
Fair-value residual	+213.6%	83	74
Price per scarcity point	0.04×	—	—
Instant-sell discount	+47.3%	—	—
Bid-floor backing	$0.58	—	—
Accumulation score	49	—	—
Market-relative 7d return	+3.2%	55	56
Momentum pillar	52	69	68
Scarcity pillar	29	—	—
Liquidity pillar	14	—	—
Value pillar	39	—	—
Risk pillar	43	—	—
Overall rating	37	17	18
Data completeness	+90.1%	—	—

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Spike days (30d)	0	5	5
Spike days (60d)	2	—	—
Spike days (90d)	5	—	—
Dump days (30d)	0	5	5
Dump days (60d)	1	—	—
Dump days (90d)	3	—	—
Post-spike reversion (30d)	—	—	—
Post-spike reversion (60d)	+10.6%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (90d)	-1.6%	—	—
Listing shocks (30d)	0	—	—
Listing shocks (60d)	0	—	—
Listing shocks (90d)	1	—	—
Net spike bias (30d)	0	—	—
Net spike bias (60d)	1	—	—
Net spike bias (90d)	2	—	—