Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 76%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 10:02 PM.
2,143 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Scarcity score 12/100: abundant and liquid.
Only 2.8% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~6.4 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
Trading at a 80% discount to the store price.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Trading 234% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Permanently in the store at $4.00 — anyone can mint another at that price forever, so there's no scarcity premium and limited upside above the store price.
The listed price sits 74% above the best standing bid of $0.34; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline number here is the order book, not the price: an $0.80 ask against a best standing bid of $0.32 is an 85.7% spread, with the listed price floating 84% above any real demand. That phantom structure matters more because the model puts the helmet 234.4% above fair value, and 67 active listings against 2,143 units in existence and only 337 owners explains the 12/100 scarcity and 19/100 liquidity scores. The +7.1% seven-day move (flat over 24h and 6h) sits near cohort highs, 90th percentile on distance-from-high and 10th on drawdown, which reads as fade risk rather than a base. Overall rating 23/100, grade D, 5th percentile market-wide.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 1d ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +0.0% | 75 | 75 |
| Return (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -2.4% | 75 | 78 |
| Return (60d) | -16.7% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -27.3% | 65 | 70 |
| Return (all) | -83.8% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -2.5% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -18.2% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -31.8% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -182.0% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.80 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.80 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.80 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.82 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.97 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $1.10 | — | — |
| High (all) | $5.02 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.80 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.80 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.71 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.48 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.48 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.48 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.48 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.80 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.80 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.79 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.79 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.82 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.89 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $1.66 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.80 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.80 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.80 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.80 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.82 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.85 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $1.10 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +12.7% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +70.8% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +102.1% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +129.2% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +945.8% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 100 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 94 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 65 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 52 | 87 | 91 |
| Position in range (all) | 7 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -2.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -17.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -27.3% | 88 | 90 |
| Distance from high (all) | -84.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +12.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +66.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +66.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +66.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +66.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +1.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +1.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -2.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -10.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -51.7% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 11 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 29 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 10 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 21 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 75 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 44 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 34 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 28 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -0.1% | 70 | 75 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.16× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.00× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.17× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.55× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.64× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 6.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +5.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +14.5% | 58 | 57 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +12.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +12.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +10.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +11.2% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +11.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +11.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +41.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +50.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +56.4% | 29 | 28 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +90.4% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +27.3% | 12 | 10 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +84.1% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 88d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 179d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.09× | 71 | 75 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.04× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 3.11 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 2.64 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 13.89 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 13.68 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +12.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +70.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +70.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +70.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +11.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +26.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +32.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +36.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +2.8% | 76 | 77 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 24 | 77 | 77 |
| Listings on book | 60 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +80.7% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.1% | 50 | 51 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +1.4% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | +0.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | -0.3% | 15 | 15 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | +0.6% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | +1.5% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0.1 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 14844d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 6.36× | 12 | 13 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +1.3% | 20 | 13 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +6.1% | 21 | 13 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 4.65 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | -0.4% | 29 | 29 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | +0.3% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | +0.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 629d | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.20× | 22 | 25 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.20× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +234.1% | 87 | 86 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.07× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +57.5% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.32 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 50 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +3.6% | 75 | 75 |
| Momentum pillar | 47 | 33 | 31 |
| Scarcity pillar | 12 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 17 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 19 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 26 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 22 | 5 | 5 |
| Data completeness | +75.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -0.32× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.75× | 71 | 70 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.61× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.21× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.17× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.26× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +12.5% | 73 | 76 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -15.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Spike days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 3 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 50 | 50 |
| Dump days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 4 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.