Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 78%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 7:02 AM.
Price down 4.6% in 24h: a mild downward trend.
6,035 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Only 0.4% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~8.3 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Trading 62% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 110% above the best standing bid of $1.76; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The order book is the story here: 23 active listings sit against a best standing bid of $1.76, leaving the $3.26 ask floating 110% above any real buyer and a 59.8% bid/ask spread. That gap, plus a liquidity score of 3/100 (5th percentile), means the recent strength is thinly supported. The item has outperformed, up 5.9% over seven days and 30.9% against the market median, but it is also 63.3% above modelled fair value, so the move reads as fade risk rather than a trend to extend. Supply is fixed at 6,035 units with 730 owners, which is constructive long term, though the overall grade of D and 27/100 safety score reflect the concentration and volatility warnings.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 1d ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -4.6% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -4.6% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -3.7% | 47 | 47 |
| Return (14d) | +35.2% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +10.3% | 84 | 75 |
| Return (60d) | -12.9% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -17.3% | 75 | 75 |
| Return (all) | -86.5% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -4.7% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -4.7% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -3.8% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +30.2% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +9.8% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -13.8% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -19.0% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -199.9% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $3.26 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $3.27 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $3.27 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $3.27 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $3.57 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $3.76 | — | — |
| High (all) | $34.41 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $3.11 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $2.00 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $2.00 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $2.00 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $2.00 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $2.00 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $2.00 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $3.18 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $2.97 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $2.72 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $2.73 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $2.75 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $3.04 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $7.91 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $3.18 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $3.23 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $2.59 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $2.76 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $2.76 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $3.10 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $3.81 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +4.8% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +63.5% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +63.5% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +63.5% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +78.5% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +88.0% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1620.5% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 87 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 87 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 71 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 63 | 92 | 90 |
| Position in range (all) | 3 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -4.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -4.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -4.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -4.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -12.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -17.3% | 94 | 90 |
| Distance from high (all) | -91.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +55.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +55.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +55.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +55.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +55.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +55.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -2.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +4.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +14.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +13.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +13.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +2.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -60.7% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 5 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 10 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 16 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 50 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 13 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 25 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 42 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 100 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 25 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 44 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 28 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 29 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 28 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +3.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +0.2% | 75 | 70 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.6% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.41× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.01× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.06× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.53× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.67× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 4.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +39.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +26.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +17.7% | 70 | 69 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +13.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +11.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +10.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +11.1% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +9.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +7.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +38.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +44.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +46.8% | 14 | 19 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +94.2% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +17.3% | 6 | 10 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +91.0% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 88d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 179d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.18× | 78 | 75 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.05× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.45 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 1.95 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 5.56 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 12.82 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +63.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +63.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +63.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +63.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +63.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +38.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +38.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +38.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +38.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +38.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +0.4% | 5 | 5 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| Listings on book | 26 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +53.3% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +3.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.9% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.8% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +0.7% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +0.4% | 28 | 29 |
| Owner growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 8.28× | 24 | 22 |
| Top-1 holder share | +4.3% | 62 | 70 |
| Top-10 holder share | +12.2% | 49 | 56 |
| HHI (top-10) | 27.73 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +0.4% | 51 | 52 |
| Absorption (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 433d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 1.56× | 81 | 82 |
| Store-price ratio | 1.56× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +61.6% | 65 | 72 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.09× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +43.4% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $1.76 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 47 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -1.1% | 47 | 47 |
| Momentum pillar | 41 | 21 | 24 |
| Scarcity pillar | 34 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 3 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 26 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 27 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 28 | 5 | 8 |
| Data completeness | +77.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 2.82× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 2.21× | 95 | 94 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.19× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.40× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.45× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.09× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +35.5% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +25.2% | 85 | 77 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -4.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 3 | 95 | 90 |
| Spike days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 7 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 50 | 75 |
| Dump days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 4 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -13.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -3.7% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -3.3% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 3 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.