Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 78%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 3:02 AM.
6,189 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Only 0.8% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~8.4 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Trading 191% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
Real buy support at $5.01: cumulative standing bids you could sell a few copies into without the price collapsing.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline number here is valuation: at $5.53 against a median sale of $5.54, Wizard Gown trades 190.6% above the fair-value model, and the D grade (39/100) with a value score of 28/100 reflects that stretch. Supply is the counterweight in both directions: the store delisting fixes the pool at 6,189 units, but 46 active listings and a liquidity score of 28/100 point to a thin book, and 739 unique owners concentrate the float. The 8.9% spread sits above a $5.06 bid floor. Movement has been muted (0.0% over 6h, -1.4% on the day, +1.8% on the week), so the premium, not momentum, is the operative risk.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 11h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -2.0% | 56 | 56 |
| Return (14d) | +19.2% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -26.5% | 40 | 37 |
| Return (60d) | -23.2% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -26.5% | 65 | 59 |
| Return (all) | -85.4% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -2.0% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +17.5% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -30.7% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -26.4% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -30.7% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -192.2% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $5.61 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $5.64 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $5.70 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $7.52 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $7.64 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $7.64 | — | — |
| High (all) | $67.99 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $5.53 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $5.14 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $4.64 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $4.64 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $4.64 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $4.64 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $4.64 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $5.57 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $5.51 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $5.42 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $5.65 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $6.36 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $6.67 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $15.29 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $5.57 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $5.61 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $5.61 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $5.69 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $6.18 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $6.99 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $7.63 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +1.4% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +9.7% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +22.7% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +62.1% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +64.7% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +64.7% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1365.4% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 84 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 31 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 30 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 30 | 72 | 63 |
| Position in range (all) | 1 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -2.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -2.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -26.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -27.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -27.6% | 87 | 79 |
| Distance from high (all) | -91.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +7.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +19.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +19.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +19.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +19.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +19.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -0.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +2.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -2.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -13.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -17.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -63.8% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 5 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 18 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 28 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 56 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 10 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 19 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 35 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 97 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 49 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 44 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 37 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +1.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -0.7% | 54 | 50 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.23× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.20× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.63× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.55× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.65× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +7.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +6.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +9.5% | 33 | 33 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +9.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +7.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +10.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +8.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +7.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +6.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +38.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +39.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +39.3% | 5 | 8 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +93.2% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +27.6% | 13 | 20 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +91.9% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 51d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 178d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.12× | 34 | 36 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.02× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | -0.56 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 0.11 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 0.69 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 4.41 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +9.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +14.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +14.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +29.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +29.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +8.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +8.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +20.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +23.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +23.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +0.8% | 15 | 15 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 7 | 15 | 15 |
| Listings on book | 47 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +8.0% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | 0.56× | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +10.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.9% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | -0.3% | 14 | 15 |
| Owner growth (60d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 8.37× | 24 | 23 |
| Top-1 holder share | +1.4% | 23 | 29 |
| Top-10 holder share | +7.6% | 29 | 34 |
| HHI (top-10) | 7.5 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | -0.3% | 32 | 32 |
| Absorption (60d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 433d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 1.85× | 87 | 90 |
| Store-price ratio | 1.85× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +191.1% | 83 | 90 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.25× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +9.4% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $5.01 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 50 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +0.6% | 56 | 56 |
| Momentum pillar | 51 | 54 | 55 |
| Scarcity pillar | 22 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 29 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 28 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 55 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 39 | 24 | 24 |
| Data completeness | +77.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -0.20× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.81× | 74 | 72 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.17× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.11× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.36× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.13× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +19.5% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -11.5% | 40 | 39 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -9.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Spike days (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 1 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 3 | 90 | 83 |
| Dump days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 4 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | — | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -3 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.