Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 76%.
Overall rating
?Fixed supply
Insight Engine v2
35/ 100
D
Momentum48
Scarcity24
Liquidity15
Value40
Risk40
Recomputed each sync: last updated Aug 25, 12:02 AM.
Signal narrative
Neutral
6-hour dip !!
Down 12.5% in the last 6 hours: near-term weakness.
Elevated supply
7,384 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Holders are holding !!
Only 0.5% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
Concentrated ownership
~9.9 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
Delisted from store !!
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Deep drawdown
Down 65% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Outperforming the market !!
Up 12pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Signal Analysis
Insight Engine
Wizard Beard is trading 87.2% above the model's fair value, and that gap is the dominant fact here. The $3.88 ask sits 44% above the best standing bid of $3.00, with a 25.6% bid/ask spread and a cumulative bid floor of $2.96, so the quoted price rests on thin support rather than live demand. Liquidity scores 15/100 (5th percentile) across 40 active listings. The structural side is more constructive: supply is fixed at 7,384 units after delisting, and 745 unique owners suggest concentrated holding. But with the 6h move at -12.5% and 7d at -6.9%, and an overall grade of D (36/100), patience on entry looks better supported than chasing the current ask.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 9h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
Price action
97/113 populated
Indicator
Value
vs market
vs cohort
Return (24h)
+0.0%
—
—
Return (3d)
—
—
—
Return (7d)
+11.5%
83
83
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.
Above modelled fair value !!
Trading 93% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Fixed supply
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
Phantom price !!
The listed price sits 44% above the best standing bid of $3.01; you could not actually sell there right now.
Market-wide fear
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.