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Back to Varsity Jacket

Varsity Jacketfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 76%.

Overall rating

?Fixed supply
Insight Engine v2
35/ 100
D
Momentum48
Scarcity34
Liquidity5
Value52
Risk26

Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 8:02 AM.

Signal narrative

Bullish
6-hour dip !!

Down 12.2% in the last 6 hours: near-term weakness.

Elevated supply

4,494 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.

Holders are holding !!

Only 0.7% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Concentrated ownership

~11.3 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Delisted from store !!

No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.

Weekly uptrend !!

Average price up 26% over the past week versus the prior week.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Deep drawdown

Down 57% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.

Fixed supply

Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.

Phantom price !!

The listed price sits 205% above the best standing bid of $1.56; you could not actually sell there right now.

Bids accumulating !!

Order-book support has been building (accumulation score 66/100), with bid depth, value and floor all rising over the past week.

Market-wide fear

The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.

Signals are informational only: not financial advice.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

The order book is the story here: the $2.81 ask floats 183% above the best standing bid of $1.68, a 46.9% spread with a cumulative bid floor of just $1.57, and a liquidity score of 5 out of 100 says that listed price is largely theoretical. Layered on that, the 7d gain of +26.5% has already begun unwinding (-12.2% over six hours), and in this single-regime market sharp spikes have tended to fade rather than extend. The model reads the jacket 24.5% rich despite fixed supply after delisting and 4,494 units against only 397 owners. With dump days in the 90th percentile and a D grade (39/100), the real clearing level likely sits nearer the bids than the ask.

AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 17h ago Β· Not financial advice β€” automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

96/113 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return (24h)-0.7%β€”β€”
Return (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Return (7d)-0.4%
72
72
Return (14d)+41.9%β€”β€”
Return (30d)+7.7%
82
72
Return (60d)-30.4%β€”β€”
Return (90d)-57.1%
25
25
Return (all)-90.6%β€”β€”
Log return (24h)-0.7%β€”β€”
Log return (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Log return (7d)-0.4%β€”β€”
Log return (14d)+35.0%β€”β€”
Log return (30d)+7.4%β€”β€”
Log return (60d)-36.3%β€”β€”
Log return (90d)-84.6%β€”β€”
Log return (all)-236.9%β€”β€”
High (24h)β€”β€”β€”
High (3d)$2.81β€”β€”
High (7d)$2.83β€”β€”
High (14d)$2.83β€”β€”
High (30d)$2.83β€”β€”
High (60d)$4.04β€”β€”
High (90d)$6.55β€”β€”
High (all)$40.77β€”β€”
Low (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Low (3d)$2.81β€”β€”
Low (7d)$2.81β€”β€”
Low (14d)$1.96β€”β€”
Low (30d)$1.54β€”β€”
Low (60d)$1.54β€”β€”
Low (90d)$1.54β€”β€”
Low (all)$1.54β€”β€”
Mean price (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Mean price (3d)$2.81β€”β€”
Mean price (7d)$2.82β€”β€”
Mean price (14d)$2.44β€”β€”
Mean price (30d)$2.36β€”β€”
Mean price (60d)$2.68β€”β€”
Mean price (90d)$3.80β€”β€”
Mean price (all)$11.57β€”β€”
Median price (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Median price (3d)$2.81β€”β€”
Median price (7d)$2.82β€”β€”
Median price (14d)$2.78β€”β€”
Median price (30d)$2.61β€”β€”
Median price (60d)$2.73β€”β€”
Median price (90d)$3.50β€”β€”
Median price (all)$7.87β€”β€”
Range % (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (7d)+0.7%β€”β€”
Range % (14d)+44.4%β€”β€”
Range % (30d)+83.8%β€”β€”
Range % (60d)+162.3%β€”β€”
Range % (90d)+325.3%β€”β€”
Range % (all)+2547.2%β€”β€”
Position in range (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (14d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (30d)98β€”β€”
Position in range (60d)51β€”β€”
Position in range (90d)25
67
60
Position in range (all)3β€”β€”
Distance from high (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Distance from high (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (7d)-0.7%β€”β€”
Distance from high (14d)-0.7%β€”β€”
Distance from high (30d)-0.7%β€”β€”
Distance from high (60d)-30.4%β€”β€”
Distance from high (90d)-57.1%
51
51
Distance from high (all)-93.1%β€”β€”
Distance from low (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Distance from low (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (14d)+43.4%β€”β€”
Distance from low (30d)+82.5%β€”β€”
Distance from low (60d)+82.5%β€”β€”
Distance from low (90d)+82.5%β€”β€”
Distance from low (all)+82.5%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs mean (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (7d)-0.4%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (14d)+15.2%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (30d)+19.1%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (60d)+4.8%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (90d)-26.1%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (all)-75.7%β€”β€”
Up days (24h)0β€”β€”
Up days (3d)0β€”β€”
Up days (7d)1β€”β€”
Up days (14d)4β€”β€”
Up days (30d)9β€”β€”
Up days (60d)12β€”β€”
Up days (90d)14β€”β€”
Up days (all)39β€”β€”
Down days (24h)0β€”β€”
Down days (3d)0β€”β€”
Down days (7d)1β€”β€”
Down days (14d)3β€”β€”
Down days (30d)10β€”β€”
Down days (60d)26β€”β€”
Down days (90d)50β€”β€”
Down days (all)116β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (7d)50β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (14d)57β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (30d)47β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (60d)32β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (90d)22β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (all)25β€”β€”
Up-day streak0.0dβ€”β€”

Trend

11/38 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (7)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (14)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (21)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (50)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (100)β€”β€”β€”
Trend slope (14d)+5.7%β€”β€”
Trend slope (30d)+0.4%
77
74
Trend slope (60d)-1.1%β€”β€”
Trend slope (90d)-1.7%β€”β€”
Trend slope (all)-1.7%β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (14d)0.75Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (30d)0.02Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (60d)0.35Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (90d)0.83Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (all)0.76Γ—β€”β€”
SMA 7/30 crossβ€”β€”β€”
Days since trend flip7.0dβ€”β€”

Volatility & risk

33/33 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return stdev (7d)+0.5%β€”β€”
Return stdev (14d)+12.4%β€”β€”
Return stdev (30d)+15.2%
61
60
Return stdev (60d)+18.7%β€”β€”
Return stdev (90d)+14.9%β€”β€”
Return stdev (all)+12.5%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (30d)+9.9%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (60d)+11.7%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (90d)+9.1%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (30d)+43.0%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (60d)+61.9%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (90d)+76.5%
68
62
Max drawdown (all)+96.2%β€”β€”
Current drawdown (90d)+57.1%
49
49
Current drawdown (all)+93.1%β€”β€”
Drawdown duration (90d)87dβ€”β€”
Drawdown duration (all)179dβ€”β€”
Sortino ratio (30d)0.15Γ—
77
72
Sortino ratio (90d)-0.01Γ—β€”β€”
Return skew (30d)0.99β€”β€”
Return skew (90d)2.19β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (30d)1.94β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (90d)11.13β€”β€”
Largest up day (7d)+0.4%β€”β€”
Largest up day (14d)+41.8%β€”β€”
Largest up day (30d)+41.8%β€”β€”
Largest up day (60d)+82.4%β€”β€”
Largest up day (90d)+82.4%β€”β€”
Largest down day (7d)+0.7%β€”β€”
Largest down day (14d)+1.0%β€”β€”
Largest down day (30d)+25.4%β€”β€”
Largest down day (60d)+43.8%β€”β€”
Largest down day (90d)+43.8%β€”β€”

Liquidity

5/20 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Turnover %β€”β€”β€”
On-market %+0.7%
12
11
Days to clear listingsβ€”β€”β€”
Lifetime sales / dayneeds provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime salesβ€”β€”
Liquidity score7
12
11
Listings on book31β€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (7d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (14d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Bid-ask spread %+53.5%β€”β€”
Near-mid bid imbalanceβ€”β€”β€”
Bid-depth trend (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Bid-floor migration (7d)+16.4%β€”β€”

Supply & ownership

20/21 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Supply growth (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (14d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (30d)+0.0%
5
5
Supply growth (60d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (90d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (7d)+0.8%β€”β€”
Owner growth (14d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (30d)-0.5%
8
9
Owner growth (60d)+0.8%β€”β€”
Owner growth (90d)+1.3%β€”β€”
Mint rate (7d)0β€”β€”
Mint rate (30d)0β€”β€”
Supply doubling timeβ€”β€”β€”
Copies per owner11.32Γ—
53
52
Top-1 holder share+7.9%
85
89
Top-10 holder share+22.0%
80
87
HHI (top-10)103.28β€”β€”
Whale count (β‰₯5)10β€”β€”
Absorption (30d)-0.5%
25
25
Absorption (60d)+0.8%β€”β€”
Absorption (90d)+1.3%β€”β€”

Lifecycle & value

16/18 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Age359dβ€”β€”
Days since fixationβ€”β€”β€”
Days until leaving storen/sβ€”β€”β€”
Release-price multiple0.70Γ—
53
51
Store-price ratio0.70Γ—β€”β€”
Fair-value residual+24.7%
55
57
Price per scarcity point0.08Γ—β€”β€”
Instant-sell discount+44.5%β€”β€”
Bid-floor backing$1.56β€”β€”
Accumulation score66β€”β€”
Market-relative 7d return+2.2%
72
72
Momentum pillar48
44
47
Scarcity pillar34β€”β€”
Liquidity pillar5β€”β€”
Value pillar52β€”β€”
Risk pillar26β€”β€”
Overall rating39
25
25
Data completeness+75.8%β€”β€”

Relative to market

9/9 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Beta vs market (14d)0.13Γ—β€”β€”
Beta vs market (30d)0.72Γ—
70
68
Beta vs market (90d)-0.11Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (14d)0.03Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (30d)0.17Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (90d)-0.04Γ—β€”β€”
Return vs market (14d)+37.1%β€”β€”
Return vs market (30d)+18.3%
79
72
Return vs market (90d)-47.2%β€”β€”

Events

12/15 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Spike days (30d)2
75
75
Spike days (60d)4β€”β€”
Spike days (90d)5β€”β€”
Dump days (30d)3
90
83
Dump days (60d)5β€”β€”
Dump days (90d)6β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (30d)+0.3%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (60d)-0.9%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (90d)-1.0%β€”β€”
Listing shocks (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Net spike bias (30d)-1β€”β€”
Net spike bias (60d)-1β€”β€”
Net spike bias (90d)-1β€”β€”

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. β€œn/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.