Varsity Jacketfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 258 values across 7 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 90%.

Overall rating

?Fixed supply

Insight Engine v2

44/ 100

Momentum62

Scarcity36

Liquidity20

Value47

Risk44

Recomputed each sync: last updated Jul 9, 10:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Slightly bullish

Elevated supply

4,494 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.

Holders are holding !!

Only 0.6% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Illiquid

No sales in the last 24h; it may be hard to buy or sell at the quoted price.

Concentrated ownership

~11.5 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Delisted from store !!

No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.

Weekly downtrend !!

Average price down 19% over the past week versus the prior week.

Oversold (RSI) !!

RSI 28: beaten down and due for a potential bounce.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

The Varsity Jacket presents a striking gap between its $6.57 ask and a fair-value model reading 75.8% above that price, yet the tape behind it is thin: just 1 executed sale in the last 24 hours, 0 units traded, and only 28 listings on a market of 4,494 total units held by 392 owners. The 7-day slide of 18.8% (8.9% worse than the market median) fits the "oversold" and "deep drawdown" flags, and in this single-regime market such sharp drops have tended to recover, making the current level a plausible recovery setup rather than a broken trend. Ownership concentration and a 33% bid-ask spread (best bid $4.71) underline the illiquidity, so any read on direction here carries more noise than usual.

AI-generated from live market data · updated 6h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

108/113 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return (24h)	+0.1%	—	—
Return (3d)	-0.2%	—	—
Return (7d)	-5.1%	54	54
Return (14d)

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.

Trend

30/38 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
SMA (7)	$6.68	—	—
Price vs SMA (7)	-1.7%	—	—
SMA (14)	$7.45	—	—
Price vs SMA (14)	-11.9%	—	—
SMA (21)	$8.55	—	—
Price vs SMA (21)	-23.1%	—	—
SMA (30)	$8.39	—	—
Price vs SMA (30)	-21.7%	51	55
SMA (50)	$9.05	—	—
Price vs SMA (50)	-27.4%	—	—
SMA (90)	$16.82	—	—
Price vs SMA (90)	-60.9%	—	—
SMA (100)	—	—	—
Price vs SMA (100)	—	—	—
EMA (7)	$6.68	—	—
Price vs EMA (7)	-1.7%	—	—
EMA (14)	$7.45	—	—
Price vs EMA (14)	-11.9%	—	—
EMA (30)	$8.39	—	—
Price vs EMA (30)	-21.7%	—	—
RSI (7)	—	—	—
RSI (14)	—	—	—
RSI (21)	—	—	—
RSI (30)	—	—	—
RSI (50)	—	—	—
RSI (100)	—	—	—
Trend slope (14d)	-2.6%	—	—
Trend slope (30d)	-0.8%	82	86
Trend slope (60d)	-1.5%	—	—
Trend slope (90d)	-2.1%	—	—
Trend slope (all)	-2.0%	—	—
Trend fit R² (14d)	0.91×	—	—
Trend fit R² (30d)	0.15×	—	—
Trend fit R² (60d)	0.59×	—	—
Trend fit R² (90d)	0.82×	—	—
Trend fit R² (all)	0.83×	—	—
SMA 7/30 cross	-20.3%	48	53
Days since trend flip	13d	—	—

Volatility & risk

33/33 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return stdev (7d)	+0.8%	—	—
Return stdev (14d)	+3.8%	—	—
Return stdev (30d)	+6.4%	9	5
Return stdev (60d)	+8.0%	—	—
Return stdev (90d)	+10.0%	—	—
Return stdev (all)	+10.4%	—	—
Downside deviation (30d)	+5.1%	—	—
Downside deviation (60d)	+5.3%	—	—
Downside deviation (90d)	+7.1%	—	—
Max drawdown (30d)	+42.5%	—	—
Max drawdown (60d)	+66.9%	—	—
Max drawdown (90d)	+83.0%	37	34
Max drawdown (all)	+83.9%	—	—
Current drawdown (90d)	+83.0%	44	42
Current drawdown (all)	+83.9%	—	—
Drawdown duration (90d)	89d	—	—
Drawdown duration (all)	91d	—	—
Sortino ratio (30d)	-0.11×	73	76
Sortino ratio (90d)	-0.21×	—	—
Return skew (30d)	-0.64	—	—
Return skew (90d)	0.77	—	—
Excess kurtosis (30d)	4.41	—	—
Excess kurtosis (90d)	5.23	—	—
Largest up day (7d)	+0.2%	—	—
Largest up day (14d)	+0.5%	—	—
Largest up day (30d)	+12.8%	—	—
Largest up day (60d)	+37.7%	—	—
Largest up day (90d)	+37.7%	—	—
Largest down day (7d)	+1.6%	—	—
Largest down day (14d)	+12.1%	—	—
Largest down day (30d)	+20.6%	—	—
Largest down day (60d)	+20.6%	—	—
Largest down day (90d)	+30.6%	—	—

Liquidity

11/20 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Turnover %	+0.0%	5	5
On-market %	+0.6%	7	5
Days to clear listings	—	—	—
Lifetime sales / day	16.65	—	—
Liquidity score	21	24	24
Listings on book	28	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Listings trend (7d)	-6.7%	—	—
Listings trend (14d)	+16.7%	—	—
Listings trend (30d)	-25.3%	7	5
Listings trend (60d)	-39.1%	—	—
Bid-ask spread %	+33.0%	—	—
Near-mid bid imbalance	—	—	—
Bid-depth trend (7d)	—	—	—
Bid-floor migration (7d)	+9.3%	—	—

Supply & ownership

20/21 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Supply growth (7d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (14d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (30d)	+0.0%	25	25
Supply growth (60d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (90d)	+0.0%	—	—
Owner growth (7d)	+0.3%	—	—
Owner growth (14d)	+0.0%	—	—
Owner growth (30d)	+1.6%	50	41
Owner growth (60d)	+25.6%	—	—
Owner growth (90d)	+95.0%	—	—
Mint rate (7d)	0	—	—
Mint rate (30d)	0	—	—
Supply doubling time	—	—	—
Copies per owner	11.46×	51	49
Top-1 holder share	+7.9%	82	82
Top-10 holder share	+21.3%	83	83
HHI (top-10)	101.85	—	—
Whale count (≥5)	10	—	—
Absorption (30d)	+1.6%	54	50
Absorption (60d)	+25.6%	—	—
Absorption (90d)	+95.0%	—	—

Lifecycle & value

16/18 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Age	270d	—	—
Days since fixation	—	—	—
Days until leaving storen/s	—	—	—
Release-price multiple	1.65×	75	76
Store-price ratio	1.65×	—	—
Fair-value residual	+75.8%	68	72
Price per scarcity point	0.18×	—	—
Instant-sell discount	+28.3%	—	—
Bid-floor backing	$4.71	—	—
Accumulation score	56	—	—
Market-relative 7d return	-8.9%	33	31
Momentum pillar	62	90	92
Scarcity pillar	36	—	—
Liquidity pillar	20	—	—
Value pillar	47	—	—
Risk pillar	44	—	—
Overall rating	49	59	58
Data completeness	+90.2%	—	—

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Spike days (30d)	0	5	5
Spike days (60d)	1	—	—
Spike days (90d)	3	—	—
Dump days (30d)	1	25	5
Dump days (60d)	2	—	—
Dump days (90d)	5	—	—
Post-spike reversion (30d)	—	—	—
Post-spike reversion (60d)	-0.6%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (90d)	+1.4%	—	—
Listing shocks (30d)	0	—	—
Listing shocks (60d)	0	—	—
Listing shocks (90d)	1	—	—
Net spike bias (30d)	-1	—	—
Net spike bias (60d)	-1	—	—
Net spike bias (90d)	-2	—	—