Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 77%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 8:02 AM.
2,276 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Only 0.7% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~5.0 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 62% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading 142% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 127% above the best standing bid of $5.06; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The most notable thing here is the structural gap in the order book: the $7.86 ask sits 130% above the best standing bid of $5.00, with a 44.5% bid/ask spread and a cumulative bid floor of $4.71. Liquidity scores 5 of 100, so the quoted price is thin rather than tested. Against that, the item trades 142.4% above the model's fair value, which frames the recent drift (+0.4% on 24h, +1.6% on 7d, +1.5% versus the market median) as noise rather than a trend. The constructive side is genuine: supply is fixed at 2,276 units post-delisting, 450 owners hold them, and copies per owner sits in the 5th percentile of the cohort. With an overall 39 of 100 and a 26 safety score, patience toward the bid side looks better supported than the ask.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 17h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -4.0% | 47 | 47 |
| Return (14d) | +1.2% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -57.4% | 10 | 13 |
| Return (60d) | -40.5% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -49.3% | 35 | 32 |
| Return (all) | -89.6% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -4.1% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +1.2% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -85.4% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -52.0% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -67.9% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -226.2% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $7.86 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $8.19 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $8.19 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $18.46 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $18.60 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $20.53 | — | — |
| High (all) | $102.01 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $7.83 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $7.83 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $7.52 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $7.52 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $6.99 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $6.99 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $6.99 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $7.85 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $7.92 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $7.80 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $10.25 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $11.03 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $12.45 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $27.59 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $7.85 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $7.86 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $7.83 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $7.99 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $10.06 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $12.00 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $15.79 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +4.6% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +8.9% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +145.5% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +166.1% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +193.8% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1359.4% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 51 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 3 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 7 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 6 | 38 | 37 |
| Position in range (all) | 1 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -4.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -4.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -57.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -57.7% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -61.7% | 44 | 46 |
| Distance from high (all) | -92.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +4.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +4.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +12.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +12.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +12.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +0.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -23.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -28.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -36.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -71.5% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 15 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 36 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 6 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 17 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 33 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 54 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 125 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 100 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 25 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 40 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 19 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 20 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 22 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 22 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -4.2% | 9 | 13 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.7% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.27× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.63× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.11× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.30× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.69× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +2.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +2.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +7.1% | 19 | 21 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +17.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +15.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +13.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +6.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +7.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +7.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +59.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +59.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +66.0% | 51 | 47 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +93.1% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +61.7% | 55 | 54 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +92.3% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 76d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 178d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.48× | 7 | 9 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.07× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | -1.58 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 6.1 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 1.54 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 46.1 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +3.2% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +3.2% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +165.2% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +165.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +3.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +3.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +20.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +27.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +27.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +0.7% | 15 | 15 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 7 | 15 | 15 |
| Listings on book | 17 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +42.9% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -3.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.8% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +0.0% | 21 | 25 |
| Owner growth (60d) | -0.7% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | -1.3% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 5.05× | 7 | 5 |
| Top-1 holder share | +8.8% | 89 | 94 |
| Top-10 holder share | +21.0% | 78 | 84 |
| HHI (top-10) | 107.79 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +0.0% | 41 | 42 |
| Absorption (60d) | -0.7% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | -2.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 602d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 2.25× | 90 | 91 |
| Store-price ratio | 2.25× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +142.4% | 79 | 84 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.16× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +35.6% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $5.02 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 35 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -1.5% | 47 | 47 |
| Momentum pillar | 55 | 68 | 67 |
| Scarcity pillar | 49 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 5 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 37 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 26 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 39 | 24 | 24 |
| Data completeness | +77.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.14× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.45× | 57 | 56 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.40× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.24× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.27× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.11× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +1.5% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -42.5% | 11 | 13 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -37.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Spike days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 5 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 50 | 75 |
| Dump days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 5 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | — | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 0 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.