Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 76%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 12:02 PM.
2,906 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Only 0.7% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~5.7 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Trading 300% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 90% above the best standing bid of $10.53; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The dominant fact is valuation: at $15.42 the lowest ask sits 300% above the fair-value model, a 95th-percentile residual, and the listed price floats 91% above the best standing bid of $10.50. A 29.1% bid/ask spread and a liquidity score of 13/100 mean the 7d move of +11.5% rests on a thin book of 19 listings rather than depth, and the 24h print has already given back 2.1%. Structure is more supportive: the item is delisted with supply fixed at 2,906 units, 30d supply growth sits in the 5th percentile, and dump days are equally rare. Overall grade is D (36/100), with the cumulative bid floor near $8.01 marking where real demand actually sits.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 21h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -2.1% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -3.9% | 49 | 56 |
| Return (14d) | +18.6% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -8.5% | 66 | 71 |
| Return (60d) | -21.8% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -23.5% | 70 | 75 |
| Return (all) | -83.4% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -2.1% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -4.0% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +17.1% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -8.9% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -24.6% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -26.8% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -179.3% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $15.42 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $16.05 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $16.05 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $16.86 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $19.72 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $24.08 | — | — |
| High (all) | $158.30 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $15.42 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $15.42 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $12.95 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $12.90 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $10.99 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $10.99 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $10.99 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $15.42 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $15.74 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $14.08 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $14.32 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $15.11 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $17.38 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $39.75 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $15.42 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $15.75 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $13.02 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $13.63 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $13.92 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $16.94 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $23.50 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | — | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +4.1% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +23.9% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +30.7% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +79.4% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +119.1% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1340.4% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 80 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 64 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 51 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 34 | 77 | 80 |
| Position in range (all) | 3 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -3.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -3.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -8.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -21.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -36.0% | 79 | 82 |
| Distance from high (all) | -90.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +19.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +19.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +40.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +40.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +40.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -2.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +9.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +7.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +2.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -11.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -61.2% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 11 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 18 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 46 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 14 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 28 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 45 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 110 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 18 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 28 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 29 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 29 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +2.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -0.4% | 60 | 63 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.7% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.5% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.67× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.08× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.36× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.74× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.65× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 3.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +1.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +7.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +5.8% | 12 | 12 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +7.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +6.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +10.0% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +3.0% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +5.2% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +4.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +23.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +44.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +54.4% | 25 | 23 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +93.1% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +36.0% | 21 | 18 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +90.3% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 82d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 178d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.08× | 41 | 39 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.03× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 2.87 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 1.29 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 11.94 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 5.64 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +23.9% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +23.9% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +27.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +27.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +2.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +2.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +9.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +20.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +20.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +0.7% | 10 | 12 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 6 | 10 | 12 |
| Listings on book | 19 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +28.1% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -3.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +0.2% | 27 | 29 |
| Owner growth (60d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 5.71× | 9 | 10 |
| Top-1 holder share | +6.9% | 80 | 77 |
| Top-10 holder share | +21.3% | 78 | 76 |
| HHI (top-10) | 77.04 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +0.2% | 48 | 49 |
| Absorption (60d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 603d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 2.06× | 90 | 90 |
| Store-price ratio | 2.06× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +300.0% | 95 | 95 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.34× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +31.7% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $10.41 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 57 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -0.3% | 49 | 56 |
| Momentum pillar | 56 | 68 | 64 |
| Scarcity pillar | 45 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 13 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 27 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 40 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 39 | 22 | 17 |
| Data completeness | +75.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.97× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.27× | 48 | 47 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.13× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.42× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.18× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.11× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +13.8% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +2.1% | 60 | 64 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -16.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Spike days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 3 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Dump days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 2 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -1.8% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -1.1% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -2.1% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.