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The dedicated S&box cosmetics market tracker. Live prices, drops and supply for every sbox skin on the Steam Community Market.

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Back to Vacation Shirt

Vacation Shirtfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 74%.

Overall rating

?
Insight Engine v2
40/ 100
C
Momentum49
Scarcity33
Liquidity15
Value67
Risk27

Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 13, 2:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Slightly bearish
Elevated supply

3,421 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.

Holders are holding !!

Only 1.1% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Concentrated ownership

~14.4 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Weekly downtrend !!

Average price down 24% over the past week versus the prior week.

Oversold (RSI) !!

RSI 25: beaten down and due for a potential bounce.

Deep drawdown

Down 45% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.

Phantom price !!

The listed price sits 150% above the best standing bid of $0.78; you could not actually sell there right now.

Market-wide fear

The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.

Signals are informational only: not financial advice.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

The headline number is a 23.7% weekly decline, and in this single-regime market sharp drops like this have tended to recover, which is why the oversold RSI and deep-drawdown signals read constructively rather than as a breakdown (90d max drawdown sits in the 9th percentile versus the market). The offsetting problem is structural: liquidity scores 7 of 100, the bid/ask spread is 41.6%, and the $1.19 ask floats 150% above the best standing bid of $0.78, with the cumulative bid floor lower still at $0.63. At +4.3% to the fair-value model and with 35 listings against 237 owners holding 3421 units, the discount to the $1.95 median sale is less real than it appears, so patience for a genuine bid-side print may be warranted. Grade C, 40 of 100 overall.

AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 23h ago Β· Not financial advice β€” automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

96/113 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Return (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Return (7d)+2.6%
65
77
Return (14d)-20.7%β€”β€”
Return (30d)-28.3%
31
34
Return (60d)-39.6%β€”β€”
Return (90d)-30.8%
87
86
Return (all)-70.7%β€”β€”
Log return (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Log return (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Log return (7d)+2.6%β€”β€”
Log return (14d)-23.2%β€”β€”
Log return (30d)-33.3%β€”β€”
Log return (60d)-50.4%β€”β€”
Log return (90d)-36.8%β€”β€”
Log return (all)-122.7%β€”β€”
High (24h)β€”β€”β€”
High (3d)$1.19β€”β€”
High (7d)$1.19β€”β€”
High (14d)$1.50β€”β€”
High (30d)$1.67β€”β€”
High (60d)$1.97β€”β€”
High (90d)$2.18β€”β€”
High (all)$4.06β€”β€”
Low (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Low (3d)$1.19β€”β€”
Low (7d)$1.16β€”β€”
Low (14d)$1.16β€”β€”
Low (30d)$1.16β€”β€”
Low (60d)$1.16β€”β€”
Low (90d)$1.16β€”β€”
Low (all)$1.16β€”β€”
Mean price (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Mean price (3d)$1.19β€”β€”
Mean price (7d)$1.17β€”β€”
Mean price (14d)$1.26β€”β€”
Mean price (30d)$1.47β€”β€”
Mean price (60d)$1.62β€”β€”
Mean price (90d)$1.67β€”β€”
Mean price (all)$1.74β€”β€”
Median price (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Median price (3d)$1.19β€”β€”
Median price (7d)$1.17β€”β€”
Median price (14d)$1.19β€”β€”
Median price (30d)$1.52β€”β€”
Median price (60d)$1.67β€”β€”
Median price (90d)$1.67β€”β€”
Median price (all)$1.67β€”β€”
Range % (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (7d)+2.6%β€”β€”
Range % (14d)+29.3%β€”β€”
Range % (30d)+44.0%β€”β€”
Range % (60d)+69.8%β€”β€”
Range % (90d)+87.9%β€”β€”
Range % (all)+250.0%β€”β€”
Position in range (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (14d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (30d)6β€”β€”
Position in range (60d)4β€”β€”
Position in range (90d)3
34
35
Position in range (all)1β€”β€”
Distance from high (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Distance from high (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (14d)-20.7%β€”β€”
Distance from high (30d)-28.7%β€”β€”
Distance from high (60d)-39.6%β€”β€”
Distance from high (90d)-45.4%
82
78
Distance from high (all)-70.7%β€”β€”
Distance from low (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Distance from low (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (7d)+2.6%β€”β€”
Distance from low (14d)+2.6%β€”β€”
Distance from low (30d)+2.6%β€”β€”
Distance from low (60d)+2.6%β€”β€”
Distance from low (90d)+2.6%β€”β€”
Distance from low (all)+2.6%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs mean (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (7d)+1.5%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (14d)-5.3%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (30d)-19.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (60d)-26.7%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (90d)-28.6%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (all)-31.8%β€”β€”
Up days (24h)0β€”β€”
Up days (3d)0β€”β€”
Up days (7d)2β€”β€”
Up days (14d)2β€”β€”
Up days (30d)4β€”β€”
Up days (60d)8β€”β€”
Up days (90d)18β€”β€”
Up days (all)20β€”β€”
Down days (24h)0β€”β€”
Down days (3d)0β€”β€”
Down days (7d)0β€”β€”
Down days (14d)2β€”β€”
Down days (30d)6β€”β€”
Down days (60d)24β€”β€”
Down days (90d)37β€”β€”
Down days (all)43β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (7d)100β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (14d)50β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (30d)40β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (60d)25β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (90d)33β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (all)32β€”β€”
Up-day streak2.0dβ€”β€”

Trend

11/38 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (7)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (14)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (21)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (50)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (100)β€”β€”β€”
Trend slope (14d)-3.2%β€”β€”
Trend slope (30d)-2.2%
18
18
Trend slope (60d)-0.8%β€”β€”
Trend slope (90d)-0.2%β€”β€”
Trend slope (all)-0.4%β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (14d)0.61Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (30d)0.85Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (60d)0.64Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (90d)0.12Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (all)0.25Γ—β€”β€”
SMA 7/30 crossβ€”β€”β€”
Days since trend flip29dβ€”β€”

Volatility & risk

32/33 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return stdev (7d)+0.9%β€”β€”
Return stdev (14d)+7.2%β€”β€”
Return stdev (30d)+4.7%
14
10
Return stdev (60d)+7.8%β€”β€”
Return stdev (90d)+7.4%β€”β€”
Return stdev (all)+11.4%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (30d)+6.3%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (60d)+6.4%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (90d)+5.7%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (30d)+30.5%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (60d)+41.1%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (90d)+46.8%
9
10
Max drawdown (all)+71.4%β€”β€”
Current drawdown (90d)+45.4%
18
22
Current drawdown (all)+70.7%β€”β€”
Drawdown duration (90d)68dβ€”β€”
Drawdown duration (all)96dβ€”β€”
Sortino ratio (30d)-0.24Γ—
21
20
Sortino ratio (90d)-0.04Γ—β€”β€”
Return skew (30d)-3.29β€”β€”
Return skew (90d)1.04β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (30d)12β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (90d)6.84β€”β€”
Largest up day (7d)+1.7%β€”β€”
Largest up day (14d)+1.7%β€”β€”
Largest up day (30d)+1.7%β€”β€”
Largest up day (60d)+25.8%β€”β€”
Largest up day (90d)+30.5%β€”β€”
Largest down day (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Largest down day (14d)+18.0%β€”β€”
Largest down day (30d)+18.0%β€”β€”
Largest down day (60d)+25.6%β€”β€”
Largest down day (90d)+25.6%β€”β€”

Liquidity

5/20 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Turnover %β€”β€”β€”
On-market %+1.1%
25
24
Days to clear listingsβ€”β€”β€”
Lifetime sales / dayneeds provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime salesβ€”β€”
Liquidity score10
25
24
Listings on book37β€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (7d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (14d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Bid-ask spread %+29.5%β€”β€”
Near-mid bid imbalanceβ€”β€”β€”
Bid-depth trend (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Bid-floor migration (7d)-19.2%β€”β€”

Supply & ownership

16/21 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Supply growth (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (14d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (30d)+0.0%
5
5
Supply growth (60d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (90d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (7d)n/s+0.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (14d)n/s+0.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (30d)n/s+0.0%
41
42
Owner growth (60d)n/s+0.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (90d)n/s+8.7%β€”β€”
Mint rate (7d)0β€”β€”
Mint rate (30d)0β€”β€”
Supply doubling timeβ€”β€”β€”
Copies per ownern/s14.43Γ—
83
88
Top-1 holder sharen/sneeds top-holder data (sbox.dev enrichment pending)β€”β€”
Top-10 holder sharen/sneeds top-holder data (sbox.dev enrichment pending)β€”β€”
HHI (top-10)n/sneeds top-holder data (sbox.dev enrichment pending)β€”β€”
Whale count (β‰₯5)n/sneeds top-holder data (sbox.dev enrichment pending)β€”β€”
Absorption (30d)n/s+0.0%
61
68
Absorption (60d)n/s+0.0%β€”β€”
Absorption (90d)n/s+8.7%β€”β€”

Lifecycle & value

16/18 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Age104dβ€”β€”
Days since fixationn/sβ€”β€”β€”
Days until leaving storen/sβ€”β€”β€”
Release-price multiple0.80Γ—
54
52
Store-price ratio0.79Γ—β€”β€”
Fair-value residual+6.7%
52
58
Price per scarcity point0.04Γ—β€”β€”
Instant-sell discount+34.5%β€”β€”
Bid-floor backing$0.63β€”β€”
Accumulation score39β€”β€”
Market-relative 7d return+5.9%
65
77
Momentum pillar49
40
33
Scarcity pillar33β€”β€”
Liquidity pillar15β€”β€”
Value pillar67β€”β€”
Risk pillar27β€”β€”
Overall rating41
19
18
Data completeness+74.1%β€”β€”

Relative to market

9/9 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Beta vs market (14d)0.53Γ—β€”β€”
Beta vs market (30d)0.14Γ—
51
52
Beta vs market (90d)0.12Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (14d)0.38Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (30d)0.14Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (90d)0.11Γ—β€”β€”
Return vs market (14d)-38.7%β€”β€”
Return vs market (30d)-33.7%
32
34
Return vs market (90d)+4.4%β€”β€”

Events

11/15 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Spike days (30d)0
5
5
Spike days (60d)3β€”β€”
Spike days (90d)4β€”β€”
Dump days (30d)1
50
50
Dump days (60d)3β€”β€”
Dump days (90d)4β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (30d)β€”β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (60d)-4.1%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (90d)-3.1%β€”β€”
Listing shocks (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Net spike bias (30d)-1β€”β€”
Net spike bias (60d)0β€”β€”
Net spike bias (90d)0β€”β€”

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. β€œn/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.