Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 76%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 8:02 AM.
Price down 4.2% in 24h: a mild downward trend.
Down 15.0% in the last 6 hours: near-term weakness.
Only 2.4% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~15.5 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 65% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading 69% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Unique owners up 6% this week; new holders are arriving.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 467% above the best standing bid of $0.12; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline here is structural, not directional: the $0.23 ask sits 467% above the best standing bid of $0.12, a 62.9% spread that makes the quoted price largely notional. Liquidity scores 15 out of 100 across 35 live listings, so the $0.68 median sale is a thin reference point rather than a clearing level. Against that, the fact pack reads cheap: 68.6% below modelled fair value, a value score of 89, fixed supply after delisting, and a 7d return 12.3 percentage points ahead of the market median despite the item itself falling 11.6% over that week and 15.0% in six hours. Ownership is concentrated at 95 holders over 1,449 units (95th percentile for copies per owner), and risk scores 30. Any entry here is best judged against the $0.12 bid, not the ask.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 17h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -4.2% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -4.2% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -4.2% | 46 | 46 |
| Return (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -53.1% | 13 | 16 |
| Return (60d) | +9.5% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -65.2% | 21 | 22 |
| Return (all) | -99.3% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -4.3% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -4.3% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -4.3% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -75.6% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +9.1% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -105.4% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -496.6% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.50 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.61 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $0.66 | — | — |
| High (all) | $33.00 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.21 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.21 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.21 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.21 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.21 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.33 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.39 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.43 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $1.59 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.29 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.45 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.49 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +4.3% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +4.3% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +14.3% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +138.1% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +190.5% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +214.3% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +15614.3% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 67 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 7 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 4 | 34 | 33 |
| Position in range (all) | 0 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -4.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -4.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -4.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -54.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -62.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -65.2% | 39 | 41 |
| Distance from high (all) | -99.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +9.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +9.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +9.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +9.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +9.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -2.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -3.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -30.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -40.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -46.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -85.5% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 11 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 20 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 31 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 14 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 23 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 33 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 66 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 18 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 32 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 32 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -4.2% | 9 | 14 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -3.0% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.04× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.88× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.31× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.42× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.26× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 3.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +2.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +5.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +6.6% | 16 | 18 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +19.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +18.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +23.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +5.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +9.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +10.9% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +58.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +65.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +68.2% | 54 | 50 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +99.4% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +65.2% | 61 | 59 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +99.3% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 88d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 134d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.55× | 5 | 6 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.04× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | -0.2 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 3.58 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 3 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 20.25 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +14.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +14.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +133.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +133.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +4.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +8.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +17.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +44.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +44.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +2.4% | 71 | 69 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 21 | 72 | 70 |
| Listings on book | 35 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +54.5% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +33.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +1.6% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +2.8% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +4.8% | 65 | 58 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +11.2% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +27.4% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +5.6% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +6.7% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +6.7% | 63 | 64 |
| Owner growth (60d) | +14.5% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | +37.7% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 3.83 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 2.28 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 446d | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 15.46× | 91 | 95 |
| Top-1 holder share | +4.4% | 63 | 71 |
| Top-10 holder share | +7.4% | 28 | 32 |
| HHI (top-10) | 21.05 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 3 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +2.0% | 65 | 66 |
| Absorption (60d) | +3.3% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | +10.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -68.6% | 14 | 13 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.01× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +47.8% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.12 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 64 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -1.6% | 46 | 46 |
| Momentum pillar | 36 | 12 | 17 |
| Scarcity pillar | 42 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 15 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 89 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 30 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 49 | 60 | 60 |
| Data completeness | +76.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.51× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.34× | 52 | 52 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.22× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.38× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.22× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.05× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -38.1% | 14 | 16 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -53.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Spike days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 5 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 50 | 75 |
| Dump days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 9 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | — | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -6.5% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -4.2% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -4 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.