S&sboxskins.gg
BrowseNewCompareTrendsLeaderboardMarketStoreSetsWhalesHub
S&sboxskins.gg

The dedicated S&box cosmetics market tracker. Live prices, drops and supply for every sbox skin on the Steam Community Market.

Browse
All SkinsNew DropsClothingAccessoriesOutfitsOutfit SetsMarket TrendsLeaderboardWhalesCompare Skins
Tools
MarketplaceTrading BoardInventory CheckerWatchlistMarket ReportsExport Data (CSV)
Info
FAQContactClaude Bridge

Not affiliated with Facepunch Studios or Valve Corporation. S&box is a trademark of Facepunch Studios. Market data may be delayed.

Β© 2026 sboxskins.gg

Back to Turtleneck Red

Turtleneck Redfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 79%.

Overall rating

?Maturing drop
Insight Engine v2
58/ 100
B
Momentum50
Scarcity68
Liquidity41
Value76
Risk55

Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 13, 10:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Bullish
Strong upward momentum !!!

Price up 18.8% in 24h: significant bullish movement.

6-hour surge !!

Up 18.8% in the last 6 hours and accelerating.

Low supply !!

339 total supply: a relatively rare item.

Holders are holding !!

Only 4.7% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Concentrated ownership

~12.1 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Item drop !!

A random in-game drop (339 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Deep drawdown

Down 98% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.

Signals are informational only: not financial advice.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

Turtleneck Red sits in the 5th percentile for 90d return, 90d position in range and 30d absorption, which is the clearest fact in this pack: the item is pinned near its lows and absorbing little. The $0.16 ask is 32.3% below the fair-value model and down 3.8% over 7d, lagging the market median by 26.1%, and signals flag both a deep drawdown and market-wide fear. Supply is genuinely thin at 337 units, but 28 unique owners triggers a concentrated-ownership warning, and liquidity scores just 42/100 against a 20.7% spread ($0.13 bid versus $0.16 ask). For patient holders the discount is real; the absorption percentile suggests any re-rating would be slow.

AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 1d ago Β· Not financial advice β€” automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

107/113 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return (24h)+18.8%β€”β€”
Return (3d)+18.8%β€”β€”
Return (7d)+0.0%
50
50
Return (14d)+11.8%β€”β€”
Return (30d)-61.2%
5
10
Return (60d)-5.0%β€”β€”
Return (90d)-98.1%
5
5
Return (all)-98.1%β€”β€”
Log return (24h)+17.2%β€”β€”
Log return (3d)+17.2%β€”β€”
Log return (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Log return (14d)+11.1%β€”β€”
Log return (30d)-94.7%β€”β€”
Log return (60d)-5.1%β€”β€”
Log return (90d)-394.3%β€”β€”
Log return (all)-394.3%β€”β€”
High (24h)$0.16β€”β€”
High (3d)$0.16β€”β€”
High (7d)$0.19β€”β€”
High (14d)$0.23β€”β€”
High (30d)$0.49β€”β€”
High (60d)$0.71β€”β€”
High (90d)$9.80β€”β€”
High (all)$9.80β€”β€”
Low (24h)$0.16β€”β€”
Low (3d)$0.16β€”β€”
Low (7d)$0.16β€”β€”
Low (14d)$0.16β€”β€”
Low (30d)$0.16β€”β€”
Low (60d)$0.16β€”β€”
Low (90d)$0.16β€”β€”
Low (all)$0.16β€”β€”
Mean price (24h)$0.16β€”β€”
Mean price (3d)$0.16β€”β€”
Mean price (7d)$0.18β€”β€”
Mean price (14d)$0.19β€”β€”
Mean price (30d)$0.27β€”β€”
Mean price (60d)$0.35β€”β€”
Mean price (90d)$0.56β€”β€”
Mean price (all)$0.56β€”β€”
Median price (24h)$0.16β€”β€”
Median price (3d)$0.16β€”β€”
Median price (7d)$0.19β€”β€”
Median price (14d)$0.19β€”β€”
Median price (30d)$0.23β€”β€”
Median price (60d)$0.27β€”β€”
Median price (90d)$0.32β€”β€”
Median price (all)$0.32β€”β€”
Range % (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Range % (7d)+18.8%β€”β€”
Range % (14d)+43.8%β€”β€”
Range % (30d)+206.2%β€”β€”
Range % (60d)+343.7%β€”β€”
Range % (90d)+6025.0%β€”β€”
Range % (all)+6025.0%β€”β€”
Position in range (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (14d)0β€”β€”
Position in range (30d)0β€”β€”
Position in range (60d)0β€”β€”
Position in range (90d)0
5
5
Position in range (all)0β€”β€”
Distance from high (24h)+18.8%β€”β€”
Distance from high (3d)+18.8%β€”β€”
Distance from high (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (14d)-17.4%β€”β€”
Distance from high (30d)-61.2%β€”β€”
Distance from high (60d)-73.2%β€”β€”
Distance from high (90d)-98.1%
5
7
Distance from high (all)-98.1%β€”β€”
Distance from low (24h)+18.8%β€”β€”
Distance from low (3d)+18.8%β€”β€”
Distance from low (7d)+18.8%β€”β€”
Distance from low (14d)+18.8%β€”β€”
Distance from low (30d)+18.8%β€”β€”
Distance from low (60d)+18.8%β€”β€”
Distance from low (90d)+18.8%β€”β€”
Distance from low (all)+18.8%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (24h)+18.8%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (3d)+18.8%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (7d)+5.6%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (14d)-0.3%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (30d)-29.4%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (60d)-45.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (90d)-66.3%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (all)-66.3%β€”β€”
Up days (24h)0β€”β€”
Up days (3d)0β€”β€”
Up days (7d)0β€”β€”
Up days (14d)2β€”β€”
Up days (30d)3β€”β€”
Up days (60d)8β€”β€”
Up days (90d)11β€”β€”
Up days (all)11β€”β€”
Down days (24h)0β€”β€”
Down days (3d)0β€”β€”
Down days (7d)1β€”β€”
Down days (14d)2β€”β€”
Down days (30d)7β€”β€”
Down days (60d)18β€”β€”
Down days (90d)31β€”β€”
Down days (all)31β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (7d)0β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (14d)50β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (30d)30β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (60d)31β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (90d)26β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (all)26β€”β€”
Up-day streak0.0dβ€”β€”

Trend

11/38 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (7)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (14)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (21)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (50)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (100)β€”β€”β€”
Trend slope (14d)-2.1%β€”β€”
Trend slope (30d)-4.7%
8
13
Trend slope (60d)-1.6%β€”β€”
Trend slope (90d)-3.6%β€”β€”
Trend slope (all)-3.6%β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (14d)0.24Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (30d)0.54Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (60d)0.20Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (90d)0.12Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (all)0.12Γ—β€”β€”
SMA 7/30 crossβ€”β€”β€”
Days since trend flip3.0dβ€”β€”

Volatility & risk

32/33 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return stdev (7d)+7.7%β€”β€”
Return stdev (14d)+11.8%β€”β€”
Return stdev (30d)+24.6%
83
80
Return stdev (60d)+36.5%β€”β€”
Return stdev (90d)+44.8%β€”β€”
Return stdev (all)+44.8%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (30d)+17.4%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (60d)+15.5%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (90d)+19.8%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (30d)+67.3%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (60d)+77.5%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (90d)+98.4%
95
91
Max drawdown (all)+98.4%β€”β€”
Current drawdown (90d)+98.4%
95
94
Current drawdown (all)+98.4%β€”β€”
Drawdown duration (90d)83dβ€”β€”
Drawdown duration (all)83dβ€”β€”
Sortino ratio (30d)-0.11Γ—
33
35
Sortino ratio (90d)0.19Γ—β€”β€”
Return skew (30d)1.73β€”β€”
Return skew (90d)3.49β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (30d)7.52β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (90d)14.73β€”β€”
Largest up day (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Largest up day (14d)+17.9%β€”β€”
Largest up day (30d)+88.5%β€”β€”
Largest up day (60d)+283.8%β€”β€”
Largest up day (90d)+283.8%β€”β€”
Largest down day (7d)+15.8%β€”β€”
Largest down day (14d)+17.4%β€”β€”
Largest down day (30d)+45.8%β€”β€”
Largest down day (60d)+45.8%β€”β€”
Largest down day (90d)+89.7%β€”β€”

Liquidity

6/20 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Turnover %β€”β€”β€”
On-market %+4.7%
88
89
Days to clear listingsβ€”β€”β€”
Lifetime sales / dayneeds provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime salesβ€”β€”
Liquidity score38
90
89
Listings on book16β€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (7d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (14d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Bid-ask spread %+20.7%β€”β€”
Near-mid bid imbalanceβ€”β€”β€”
Bid-depth trend (7d)-100.0%β€”β€”
Bid-floor migration (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”

Supply & ownership

19/21 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Supply growth (7d)+5.3%β€”β€”
Supply growth (14d)+14.2%β€”β€”
Supply growth (30d)+32.0%
92
88
Supply growth (60d)+102.4%β€”β€”
Supply growth (90d)+6660.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (14d)+12.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (30d)+21.7%
85
81
Owner growth (60d)+100.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (90d)β€”β€”β€”
Mint rate (7d)2.83β€”β€”
Mint rate (30d)2.83β€”β€”
Supply doubling time75dβ€”β€”
Copies per owner12.11Γ—
64
62
Top-1 holder share+2.7%
43
51
Top-10 holder share+7.4%
28
31
HHI (top-10)10.7β€”β€”
Whale count (β‰₯5)1β€”β€”
Absorption (30d)-10.3%
5
8
Absorption (60d)-2.4%β€”β€”
Absorption (90d)β€”β€”β€”

Lifecycle & value

14/18 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Age91dβ€”β€”
Days since fixationn/sβ€”β€”β€”
Days until leaving storen/sβ€”β€”β€”
Release-price multipleβ€”β€”β€”
Store-price ratioβ€”β€”β€”
Fair-value residual-20.7%
41
42
Price per scarcity point0.00Γ—β€”β€”
Instant-sell discount+31.6%β€”β€”
Bid-floor backing$0.13β€”β€”
Accumulation score30β€”β€”
Market-relative 7d return+0.0%
50
50
Momentum pillar50
43
45
Scarcity pillar68β€”β€”
Liquidity pillar41β€”β€”
Value pillar76β€”β€”
Risk pillar55β€”β€”
Overall rating63
94
92
Data completeness+79.2%β€”β€”

Relative to market

9/9 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Beta vs market (14d)-0.16Γ—β€”β€”
Beta vs market (30d)0.11Γ—
48
51
Beta vs market (90d)0.34Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (14d)-0.10Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (30d)0.02Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (90d)0.03Γ—β€”β€”
Return vs market (14d)-24.9%β€”β€”
Return vs market (30d)-64.4%
5
9
Return vs market (90d)-107.6%β€”β€”

Events

12/15 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Spike days (30d)2
75
63
Spike days (60d)6β€”β€”
Spike days (90d)8β€”β€”
Dump days (30d)5
95
95
Dump days (60d)11β€”β€”
Dump days (90d)17β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (30d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (60d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (90d)-8.1%β€”β€”
Listing shocks (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Net spike bias (30d)-3β€”β€”
Net spike bias (60d)-5β€”β€”
Net spike bias (90d)-9β€”β€”

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. β€œn/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.