Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 80%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 14, 4:02 AM.
Up 15.4% in the last 6 hours and accelerating.
293 total supply: a relatively rare item.
~9.8 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (293 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 93% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
27pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.
Trading 45% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
The listed price sits 63% above the best standing bid of $0.08; you could not actually sell there right now.
Buy-side depth dropped sharply in the last 48h while the price held; the floor is being pulled before price has caught down to it.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The standout tension here is a 42.7% discount to modelled fair value sitting alongside a 30-day return in the 5th percentile, with price down 10.1% over the week and flat across both the 6h and 24h windows. The drawdown is doing the work, not momentum: owner growth and absorption both rank in the 95th percentile, so the 30 holders of 291 total units have been accumulating into weakness rather than away from it. Liquidity is the constraint at 28/100, and the order book shows it, a 60.9% spread between the $0.08 best bid and the $0.15 ask against an $0.11 median sale. Concentrated ownership and market-wide fear temper the B grade; patient fills near the bid look more defensible than chasing the ask.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 13h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -25.0% | 5 | 11 |
| Return (14d) | -25.0% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -62.5% | 5 | 9 |
| Return (60d) | +7.1% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -92.9% | 5 | 10 |
| Return (all) | -92.9% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -28.8% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -28.8% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -98.1% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +6.9% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -264.9% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -264.9% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $0.15 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.15 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.40 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.87 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $2.12 | — | — |
| High (all) | $2.12 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $0.15 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.15 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.15 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.15 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.15 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.14 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.14 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.14 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $0.15 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.15 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.17 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.25 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.36 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.49 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $0.49 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $0.15 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.15 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.17 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.21 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.25 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.25 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.25 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +33.3% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +33.3% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +166.7% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +521.4% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +1414.3% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1414.3% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 1 | 11 | 13 |
| Position in range (all) | 1 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -25.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -25.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -62.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -82.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -92.9% | 8 | 13 |
| Distance from high (all) | -92.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +7.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +7.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +7.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -13.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -17.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -39.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -58.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -69.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -69.4% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 10 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 14 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 14 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 9 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 18 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 32 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 32 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 40 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 31 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 36 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 30 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 30 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -2.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -4.2% | 9 | 13 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -1.7% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -2.7% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -2.7% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.53× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.69× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.12× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.31× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.31× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 5.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +13.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +14.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +17.6% | 62 | 59 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +41.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +39.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +39.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +10.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +18.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +18.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +62.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +82.8% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +93.4% | 90 | 86 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +93.4% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +92.9% | 91 | 87 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +92.9% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 83d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 83d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.26× | 14 | 15 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.34× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 0.68 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 5.68 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 1.09 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 36.72 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +5.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +25.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +42.9% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +514.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +514.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +25.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +25.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +28.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +70.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +70.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | +0.3% | 76 | 80 |
| On-market % | +5.1% | 91 | 91 |
| Days to clear listings | 15d | 61 | 66 |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 26 | 80 | 80 |
| Listings on book | 15 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +60.9% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -27.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +4.3% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +16.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +33.6% | 92 | 89 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +102.8% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +2130.8% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +20.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +66.7% | 95 | 95 |
| Owner growth (60d) | +114.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 2.52 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 72d | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 9.77× | 38 | 35 |
| Top-1 holder share | +1.4% | 21 | 25 |
| Top-10 holder share | +4.8% | 12 | 13 |
| HHI (top-10) | 3.26 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 0 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +33.0% | 95 | 95 |
| Absorption (60d) | +11.5% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 91d | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -44.9% | 30 | 27 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.00× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +46.7% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.08 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 14 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -27.1% | 5 | 11 |
| Momentum pillar | 53 | 65 | 72 |
| Scarcity pillar | 70 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 18 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 83 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 32 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 58 | 89 | 85 |
| Data completeness | +79.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -0.57× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.19× | 10 | 16 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 1.27× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.35× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.07× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.10× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -57.0% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -83.7% | 5 | 10 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -123.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 3 | 75 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 7 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 10 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 6 | 95 | 95 |
| Dump days (60d) | 9 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 16 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -1.7% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +24.6% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +13.4% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -6 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.