Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 80%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 14, 4:02 AM.
Price down 32.3% in 24h: significant selling pressure.
Up 10.5% in the last 6 hours and accelerating.
389 total supply: a relatively rare item.
Only 2.8% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~10.8 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (389 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Average price up 21% over the past week versus the prior week.
RSI 3: beaten down and due for a potential bounce.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 100% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
65pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.
Trading 90% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Unique owners up 6% this week; new holders are arriving.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline here is the order book, not the tape: at a $0.21 ask against a $0.12 best bid, the listed price floats 75% above any real demand, and the 70.3% spread leaves a liquidity score of 19/100 to match. That context reframes the +45.2% weekly gain, which the contrarian momentum read treats as fade-risk rather than continuation, and the 16% declines over both the last 24h and the last 6h suggest that fade may already be underway. The value case is the counterweight: 86.2% below modelled fair value, 380 units across 36 owners, and a cumulative bid floor at $0.11. With 7d and 90d returns both in the 5th percentile, patience near the bid side looks more defensible than chasing the current ask.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 13h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -32.3% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -60.4% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -63.2% | 5 | 5 |
| Return (14d) | -22.2% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -22.2% | 27 | 28 |
| Return (60d) | -61.8% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -100.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Return (all) | -100.0% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -38.9% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -92.6% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -99.9% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -25.1% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -25.1% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -96.3% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -836.8% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -836.8% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $0.19 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.53 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.57 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.57 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.57 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.85 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $904.50 | — | — |
| High (all) | $904.50 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $0.19 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.19 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.19 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.19 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.19 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.16 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.16 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.16 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $0.19 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.32 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.44 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.43 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.37 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.37 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $13.24 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $13.24 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $0.19 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.25 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.54 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.51 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.30 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.32 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.41 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.41 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +178.9% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +200.0% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +200.0% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +200.0% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +431.3% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +565212.5% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +565212.5% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| Position in range (all) | 0 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +10.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -60.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -63.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -63.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -63.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -75.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -100.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Distance from high (all) | -100.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +10.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +10.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +10.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +10.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +10.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +31.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +31.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +31.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +10.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -35.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -52.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -51.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -43.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -42.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -98.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -98.4% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 6 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 10 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 15 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 15 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 4 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 11 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 26 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 36 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 36 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 43 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 35 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 28 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 29 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 29 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -1.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +2.2% | 88 | 89 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -8.0% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -8.0% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.03× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.18× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.00× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.04× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.04× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +31.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +32.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +32.2% | 90 | 87 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +26.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +75.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +75.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +19.2% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +16.0% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +21.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +66.7% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +81.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +100.0% | 95 | 95 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +100.0% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +100.0% | 95 | 95 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +100.0% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 84d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 84d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.18× | 58 | 58 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.08× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.53 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 0.82 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 4.91 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 5.98 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +37.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +117.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +117.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +117.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +52.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +52.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +52.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +52.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +99.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | +0.3% | 66 | 76 |
| On-market % | +2.8% | 76 | 76 |
| Days to clear listings | 11d | 53 | 58 |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 18 | 65 | 65 |
| Listings on book | 11 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +53.3% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +4.7% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +13.9% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +30.3% | 91 | 86 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +77.5% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +4100.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +5.9% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +12.5% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +28.6% | 90 | 85 |
| Owner growth (60d) | +50.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 2.83 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 3.03 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 78d | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 10.81× | 48 | 45 |
| Top-1 holder share | +2.6% | 42 | 51 |
| Top-10 holder share | +5.9% | 20 | 23 |
| HHI (top-10) | 8.13 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 1 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | -1.8% | 17 | 23 |
| Absorption (60d) | -27.5% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 91d | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -89.8% | 5 | 5 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.00× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +47.6% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.08 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 50 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -65.3% | 5 | 5 |
| Momentum pillar | 53 | 65 | 71 |
| Scarcity pillar | 69 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 12 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 97 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 41 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 61 | 92 | 91 |
| Data completeness | +79.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -0.61× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.06× | 20 | 24 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.56× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.20× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.01× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.11× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -68.0% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -50.8% | 23 | 27 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -127.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 5 | 95 | 95 |
| Spike days (60d) | 8 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 11 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 4 | 90 | 90 |
| Dump days (60d) | 7 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 13 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +4.1% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -2.1% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -2 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.