Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 80%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 28, 9:02 PM.
Only 0.9% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~11.0 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Trading within 5% of its highest recorded price: historically stretched, with limited room to run.
Average price up 84% over the past week versus the prior week.
RSI 77: stretched to the upside and prone to a pullback.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Trading 34% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed (delisted Aug 3, 2026); every new owner must buy on the market.
The median sale price sits 355% above the best standing bid of $1.38; you could not actually sell there right now.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline here is a structural one: the median sale price of $6.28 sits 355% above the best standing bid of $1.38, with a bid/ask spread of 127.6% and a liquidity score of just 6/100, so the displayed $6.24 ask is floating well above demonstrated demand. That context matters because the 7d move of +83.9% has pushed the item into the 90th percentile for position in its 90-day range and the 95th percentile for 90-day return, and in this single-regime market sharp spikes have tended to fade rather than extend. Supply is fixed at 1,044 units after delisting, and the model reads price 32.7% below fair value, but with a risk score of 28/100 and a C grade, the cheap-versus-model signal and the phantom-price signal are pulling in opposite directions.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 6h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -1.0% | 59 | 49 |
| Return (14d) | +123.3% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +77.0% | 49 | 47 |
| Return (60d) | +234.9% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | +332.6% | 95 | 92 |
| Return (all) | +332.6% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +80.3% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +57.1% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +120.9% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | +146.5% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | +146.5% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $6.24 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $6.27 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $6.45 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $6.45 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $6.45 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $6.45 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $6.45 | — | — |
| High (all) | $6.45 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $6.24 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $6.24 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $6.24 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $2.79 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $1.31 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $1.31 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $1.30 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $1.30 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $6.24 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $6.26 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $6.30 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $4.86 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $3.87 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $3.05 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $2.65 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $2.65 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $6.24 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $6.26 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $6.28 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $6.25 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $2.83 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $2.76 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $2.12 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $2.12 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +3.4% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +131.2% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +392.4% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +392.4% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +396.2% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +396.2% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 94 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 96 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 96 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 96 | 90 | 86 |
| Position in range (all) | 96 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -3.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -3.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -3.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -3.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -3.4% | 86 | 83 |
| Distance from high (all) | -3.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +123.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +375.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +375.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +379.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +379.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +28.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +60.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +104.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +135.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | +135.3% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 6 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 9 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 17 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 21 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 21 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 12 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 21 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 35 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 35 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 17 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 55 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 43 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 45 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $6.30 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | -1.0% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | $4.86 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | +28.2% | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $6.30 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | -1.0% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | $4.86 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | +28.2% | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +7.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +4.5% | 80 | 79 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +2.7% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | +1.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | +1.8% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.76× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.63× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.61× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.50× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.50× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +1.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +16.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +26.4% | 76 | 76 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +21.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +22.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +22.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +15.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +12.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +12.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +62.8% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +63.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +64.3% | 57 | 53 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +64.3% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +3.3% | 13 | 17 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +3.3% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 4.0d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 4.0d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.38× | 33 | 32 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.42× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 2.16 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 3.43 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 7.25 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 16.04 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +2.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +73.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +115.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +115.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +171.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +2.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +2.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +54.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +54.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +54.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +0.9% | 38 | 42 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 8 | 43 | 45 |
| Listings on book | 9 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +127.6% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +176.9% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 10.99× | 49 | 47 |
| Top-1 holder share | +2.1% | 34 | 38 |
| Top-10 holder share | +11.4% | 48 | 49 |
| HHI (top-10) | 15.75 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (60d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 94d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | 86d | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | -86d | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | 6.23× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -34.0% | 32 | 27 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.10× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +77.8% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $1.29 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 34 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +2.3% | 60 | 50 |
| Momentum pillar | 53 | 50 | 59 |
| Scarcity pillar | 61 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 6 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 42 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 28 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 45 | 64 | 68 |
| Data completeness | +80.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.56× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.54× | 44 | 51 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.42× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.14× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.14× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.09× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +68.0% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -100.4% | 47 | 46 |
| Return vs market (90d) | +203.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 4 | 75 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 7 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 10 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Dump days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 6 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +17.9% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +7.2% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 4 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.