Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 76%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 14, 1:02 PM.
Only 1.0% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~12.1 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 44% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Up 20pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Trading 56% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed (delisted Aug 3, 2026); every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 56% above the best standing bid of $1.31; you could not actually sell there right now.
Order-book support has been building (accumulation score 75/100), with bid depth, value and floor all rising over the past week.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
Tie (Red) screens 57.1% below its fair-value model, but the order book complicates that read: the $2.20 lowest ask sits 68% above the best standing bid of $1.31, with a 32.1% spread and a liquidity score of 12/100. Supply is fixed at 1,044 units after delisting, held by only 86 owners. A 12.4% seven-day gain, outperforming the market median by 20.4%, leaves the price in the 93rd percentile of its 90-day range, so the ask may overstate realistic clearing prices. With market-wide fear flagged and a 39/100 safety score, waiting to see whether accumulating bids narrow the gap may be worth considering.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 21h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +12.7% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +9.1% | 94 | 95 |
| Return (14d) | +8.2% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +3.0% | 69 | 63 |
| Return (60d) | +41.7% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Return (all) | +41.7% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +12.0% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +8.7% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +7.9% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +3.0% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +34.8% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (all) | +34.8% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $2.04 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $2.04 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $2.20 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $2.20 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $2.20 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $3.64 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $3.64 | — | — |
| High (all) | $3.64 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $2.04 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $1.81 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $1.81 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $1.81 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $1.66 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $1.30 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $1.30 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $1.30 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $2.04 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $1.93 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $1.98 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $1.93 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $1.83 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $1.85 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $1.85 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $1.85 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $2.04 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $1.93 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $1.96 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $1.88 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $1.86 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $1.86 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $1.86 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $1.86 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +12.7% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +21.5% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +21.5% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +32.5% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +180.0% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +180.0% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +180.0% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 70 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 32 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 32 | 90 | 88 |
| Position in range (all) | 32 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -7.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -7.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -7.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -44.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -44.0% | 83 | 81 |
| Distance from high (all) | -44.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +12.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +12.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +12.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +22.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +56.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +56.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +56.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +6.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +3.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +5.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +11.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +10.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +10.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | +10.3% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 7 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 7 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 7 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 8 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 17 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 17 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 17 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 100 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 67 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 40 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 29 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 29 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 29 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +1.0% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +0.4% | 67 | 64 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.15× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.14× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.00× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.00× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.00× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 15d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +19.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +11.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +7.1% | 26 | 24 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +22.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +22.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +22.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +6.0% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +10.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +10.8% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +17.7% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +64.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +64.3% | 34 | 34 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +64.3% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +44.0% | 13 | 19 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +44.0% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 40d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 40d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.06× | 57 | 54 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.38× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 0.29 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 4.38 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 2.74 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 22.81 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +17.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +17.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +17.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +171.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +171.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +17.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +17.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +17.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +39.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +39.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +1.0% | 20 | 19 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 9 | 20 | 19 |
| Listings on book | 10 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +43.6% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +8.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +1.2% | 56 | 54 |
| Owner growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 12.14× | 60 | 61 |
| Top-1 holder share | +2.1% | 35 | 37 |
| Top-10 holder share | +9.6% | 40 | 41 |
| HHI (top-10) | 12.68 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +1.2% | 80 | 79 |
| Absorption (60d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 50d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | 42d | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | -42d | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | 2.04× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -56.4% | 22 | 20 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.03× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +35.8% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $1.31 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 75 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +20.2% | 94 | 95 |
| Momentum pillar | 48 | 29 | 24 |
| Scarcity pillar | 61 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 6 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 74 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 28 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 51 | 56 | 52 |
| Data completeness | +75.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | — | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.66× | 15 | 16 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.13× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | — | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.42× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.02× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -3.8% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -2.3% | 70 | 64 |
| Return vs market (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 1 | 50 | 50 |
| Spike days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 1 | 50 | 25 |
| Dump days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 3 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -17.7% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -15.7% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -15.7% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.