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S&sboxskins.gg

The dedicated S&box cosmetics market tracker. Live prices, drops and supply for every sbox skin on the Steam Community Market.

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Not affiliated with Facepunch Studios or Valve Corporation. S&box is a trademark of Facepunch Studios. Market data may be delayed.

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Back to Tie (Green)

Tie (Green)full analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 80%.

Overall rating

?Fixed supply
Insight Engine v2
46/ 100
C
Momentum54
Scarcity58
Liquidity9
Value59
Risk40

Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 29, 12:02 AM.

Signal narrative

Bullish
Holders are holding !!

Only 1.4% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Concentrated ownership

~10.6 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Delisted from store !!

No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.

Weekly uptrend !!

Average price up 36% over the past week versus the prior week.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Below modelled fair value !!

Trading 50% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.

Fixed supply

Supply is fixed (delisted Aug 3, 2026); every new owner must buy on the market.

Bid support withdrawing !!

Buy-side depth dropped sharply in the last 48h while the price held; the floor is being pulled before price has caught down to it.

Signals are informational only: not financial advice.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

The 93.2% bid/ask spread is the defining feature here: the lowest ask sits at $4.80 while the best standing bid is $1.77 and the cumulative bid floor is $1.75, against a median sale price of $1.80. That gap, paired with a liquidity score of 9/100 and 14 active listings in the current observation, means the headline +48.1% weekly gain rests on thin ground, and the overbought RSI signal frames it as fade-risk rather than continuation. Supply is fixed at 1010 units across 283 lifetime buyers, with 30d supply growth and dump days both in the 5th percentile. The model reads price 49.4% below fair value, but execution, not valuation, is the binding constraint.

AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 9h ago Β· Not financial advice β€” automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

108/113 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return (24h)-1.4%β€”β€”
Return (3d)-1.8%β€”β€”
Return (7d)-3.8%
47
35
Return (14d)+57.6%β€”β€”
Return (30d)+38.0%
28
25
Return (60d)+181.8%β€”β€”
Return (90d)+265.6%
92
87
Return (all)+265.6%β€”β€”
Log return (24h)-1.5%β€”β€”
Log return (3d)-1.9%β€”β€”
Log return (7d)-3.9%β€”β€”
Log return (14d)+45.5%β€”β€”
Log return (30d)+32.2%β€”β€”
Log return (60d)+103.6%β€”β€”
Log return (90d)+129.7%β€”β€”
Log return (all)+129.7%β€”β€”
High (24h)$4.79β€”β€”
High (3d)$4.88β€”β€”
High (7d)$4.98β€”β€”
High (14d)$5.00β€”β€”
High (30d)$5.00β€”β€”
High (60d)$6.76β€”β€”
High (90d)$6.76β€”β€”
High (all)$6.76β€”β€”
Low (24h)$4.79β€”β€”
Low (3d)$4.79β€”β€”
Low (7d)$4.79β€”β€”
Low (14d)$3.04β€”β€”
Low (30d)$3.04β€”β€”
Low (60d)$1.57β€”β€”
Low (90d)$1.27β€”β€”
Low (all)$1.27β€”β€”
Mean price (24h)$4.79β€”β€”
Mean price (3d)$4.82β€”β€”
Mean price (7d)$4.89β€”β€”
Mean price (14d)$4.25β€”β€”
Mean price (30d)$3.73β€”β€”
Mean price (60d)$2.90β€”β€”
Mean price (90d)$2.57β€”β€”
Mean price (all)$2.57β€”β€”
Median price (24h)$4.79β€”β€”
Median price (3d)$4.80β€”β€”
Median price (7d)$4.89β€”β€”
Median price (14d)$4.84β€”β€”
Median price (30d)$3.10β€”β€”
Median price (60d)$3.04β€”β€”
Median price (90d)$1.88β€”β€”
Median price (all)$1.88β€”β€”
Range % (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (3d)+1.9%β€”β€”
Range % (7d)+4.0%β€”β€”
Range % (14d)+64.5%β€”β€”
Range % (30d)+64.5%β€”β€”
Range % (60d)+330.6%β€”β€”
Range % (90d)+432.3%β€”β€”
Range % (all)+432.3%β€”β€”
Position in range (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (14d)89β€”β€”
Position in range (30d)89β€”β€”
Position in range (60d)62β€”β€”
Position in range (90d)64
58
49
Position in range (all)64β€”β€”
Distance from high (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (3d)-1.8%β€”β€”
Distance from high (7d)-3.8%β€”β€”
Distance from high (14d)-4.2%β€”β€”
Distance from high (30d)-4.2%β€”β€”
Distance from high (60d)-29.1%β€”β€”
Distance from high (90d)-29.1%
51
44
Distance from high (all)-29.1%β€”β€”
Distance from low (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (14d)+57.6%β€”β€”
Distance from low (30d)+57.6%β€”β€”
Distance from low (60d)+205.1%β€”β€”
Distance from low (90d)+277.2%β€”β€”
Distance from low (all)+277.2%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (3d)-0.7%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (7d)-2.1%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (14d)+12.8%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (30d)+28.4%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (60d)+65.3%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (90d)+86.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (all)+86.0%β€”β€”
Up days (24h)0β€”β€”
Up days (3d)0β€”β€”
Up days (7d)0β€”β€”
Up days (14d)2β€”β€”
Up days (30d)4β€”β€”
Up days (60d)10β€”β€”
Up days (90d)15β€”β€”
Up days (all)15β€”β€”
Down days (24h)0β€”β€”
Down days (3d)2β€”β€”
Down days (7d)5β€”β€”
Down days (14d)6β€”β€”
Down days (30d)13β€”β€”
Down days (60d)20β€”β€”
Down days (90d)33β€”β€”
Down days (all)33β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (3d)0β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (7d)0β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (14d)25β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (30d)24β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (60d)33β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (90d)31β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (all)31β€”β€”
Up-day streak0.0dβ€”β€”

Trend

19/38 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
SMA (7)$4.89β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (7)-2.1%β€”β€”
SMA (14)$4.25β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (14)+12.8%β€”β€”
SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (7)$4.89β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (7)-2.1%β€”β€”
EMA (14)$4.25β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (14)+12.8%β€”β€”
EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (7)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (14)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (21)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (50)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (100)β€”β€”β€”
Trend slope (14d)+4.2%β€”β€”
Trend slope (30d)+2.4%
44
42
Trend slope (60d)+2.4%β€”β€”
Trend slope (90d)+1.5%β€”β€”
Trend slope (all)+1.5%β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (14d)0.64Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (30d)0.59Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (60d)0.62Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (90d)0.41Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (all)0.41Γ—β€”β€”
SMA 7/30 crossβ€”β€”β€”
Days since trend flip2.0dβ€”β€”

Volatility & risk

32/33 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return stdev (7d)+0.7%β€”β€”
Return stdev (14d)+13.6%β€”β€”
Return stdev (30d)+10.0%
20
18
Return stdev (60d)+23.7%β€”β€”
Return stdev (90d)+30.5%β€”β€”
Return stdev (all)+30.5%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (30d)+1.9%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (60d)+10.9%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (90d)+14.2%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (30d)+12.4%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (60d)+55.0%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (90d)+80.1%
83
77
Max drawdown (all)+80.1%β€”β€”
Current drawdown (90d)+29.1%
49
56
Current drawdown (all)+29.1%β€”β€”
Drawdown duration (90d)32dβ€”β€”
Drawdown duration (all)32dβ€”β€”
Sortino ratio (30d)1.00Γ—
75
75
Sortino ratio (90d)0.60Γ—β€”β€”
Return skew (30d)4.87β€”β€”
Return skew (90d)5.56β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (30d)24.17β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (90d)32.27β€”β€”
Largest up day (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Largest up day (14d)+62.9%β€”β€”
Largest up day (30d)+62.9%β€”β€”
Largest up day (60d)+317.3%β€”β€”
Largest up day (90d)+398.4%β€”β€”
Largest down day (7d)+1.6%β€”β€”
Largest down day (14d)+1.6%β€”β€”
Largest down day (30d)+6.8%β€”β€”
Largest down day (60d)+48.7%β€”β€”
Largest down day (90d)+65.5%β€”β€”

Liquidity

5/20 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Turnover %β€”β€”β€”
On-market %+1.4%
60
68
Days to clear listingsβ€”β€”β€”
Lifetime sales / dayneeds provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime salesβ€”β€”
Liquidity score13
63
66
Listings on book14β€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (7d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (14d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Bid-ask spread %+92.2%β€”β€”
Near-mid bid imbalanceβ€”β€”β€”
Bid-depth trend (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Bid-floor migration (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”

Supply & ownership

12/21 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Supply growth (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (14d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (30d)+0.0%
5
5
Supply growth (60d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (90d)+180.6%β€”β€”
Owner growth (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (14d)β€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (30d)β€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (60d)β€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (90d)β€”β€”β€”
Mint rate (7d)0β€”β€”
Mint rate (30d)0β€”β€”
Supply doubling timeβ€”β€”β€”
Copies per owner10.63Γ—
45
44
Top-1 holder share+4.2%
60
66
Top-10 holder share+12.1%
51
52
HHI (top-10)26.45β€”β€”
Whale count (β‰₯5)10β€”β€”
Absorption (30d)β€”β€”β€”
Absorption (60d)β€”β€”β€”
Absorption (90d)β€”β€”β€”

Lifecycle & value

17/18 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Age94dβ€”β€”
Days since fixation86dβ€”β€”
Days until leaving storen/s-86dβ€”β€”
Release-price multipleβ€”β€”β€”
Store-price ratio4.79Γ—β€”β€”
Fair-value residual-50.2%
25
20
Price per scarcity point0.08Γ—β€”β€”
Instant-sell discount+63.0%β€”β€”
Bid-floor backing$1.75β€”β€”
Accumulation score49β€”β€”
Market-relative 7d return-1.3%
47
35
Momentum pillar54
55
65
Scarcity pillar58β€”β€”
Liquidity pillar9β€”β€”
Value pillar59β€”β€”
Risk pillar40β€”β€”
Overall rating51
82
86
Data completeness+80.0%β€”β€”

Relative to market

9/9 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Beta vs market (14d)0.21Γ—β€”β€”
Beta vs market (30d)0.02Γ—
16
23
Beta vs market (90d)0.28Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (14d)0.06Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (30d)0.01Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (90d)0.03Γ—β€”β€”
Return vs market (14d)+9.1%β€”β€”
Return vs market (30d)-146.0%
27
24
Return vs market (90d)+128.4%β€”β€”

Events

12/15 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Spike days (30d)1
10
10
Spike days (60d)2β€”β€”
Spike days (90d)4β€”β€”
Dump days (30d)0
5
5
Dump days (60d)1β€”β€”
Dump days (90d)3β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (30d)-0.4%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (60d)-24.5%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (90d)-28.9%β€”β€”
Listing shocks (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Net spike bias (30d)1β€”β€”
Net spike bias (60d)1β€”β€”
Net spike bias (90d)1β€”β€”

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. β€œn/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.