Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 77%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 14, 12:02 PM.
Price up 3.7% in 24h: a mild upward trend.
Only 1.1% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~11.5 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Down 74% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Up 11pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Trading 64% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed (delisted Aug 3, 2026); every new owner must buy on the market.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
Tie (Green) is trading well below its model, with the $1.88 ask sitting 64.0% under modelled fair value, and it has beaten the market median by 13.9% over the past week on a 5.6% gain. Supply is fixed at 1,010 units following delisting, with 30-day supply growth in the 5th percentile. Execution is the weaker side. Only 11 listings are active, liquidity scores 21/100, and the best standing bid of $1.32 leaves the ask 42% above real demand across a 21.0% spread. With just 88 unique owners and market-wide fear flagged, the headline discount may prove harder to capture than the model implies.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 21h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +3.7% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -10.1% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -0.6% | 74 | 73 |
| Return (14d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -18.8% | 47 | 46 |
| Return (60d) | +29.0% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Return (all) | +29.0% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +3.6% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -10.7% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -20.8% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +25.5% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (all) | +25.5% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $1.69 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $1.88 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $1.88 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $1.88 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $2.08 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $6.38 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $6.38 | — | — |
| High (all) | $6.38 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $1.69 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $1.63 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $1.63 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $1.63 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $1.63 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $1.27 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $1.27 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $1.27 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $1.69 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $1.73 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $1.78 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $1.75 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $1.76 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $1.84 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $1.84 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $1.84 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $1.69 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $1.69 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $1.79 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $1.70 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $1.70 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $1.70 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $1.70 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $1.70 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +15.3% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +15.3% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +15.3% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +27.6% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +402.4% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +402.4% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +402.4% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 24 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 13 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 8 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 8 | 60 | 62 |
| Position in range (all) | 8 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -10.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -10.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -10.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -18.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -73.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -73.5% | 41 | 42 |
| Distance from high (all) | -73.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +3.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +3.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +3.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +3.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +33.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +33.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +33.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -2.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -4.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -3.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -3.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -8.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -8.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -8.3% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 8 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 7 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 15 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 15 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 15 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 67 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 60 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 36 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 35 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 35 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 35 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -0.4% | 52 | 52 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.04× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.11× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.04× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.04× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.04× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +8.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +6.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +4.8% | 11 | 10 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +35.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +35.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +35.0% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +5.1% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +16.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +16.9% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +21.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +80.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +80.1% | 61 | 59 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +80.1% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +73.5% | 58 | 58 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +73.5% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 40d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 40d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.16× | 32 | 34 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.56× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | -0.68 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 5.37 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 3.35 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 30.49 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +10.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +10.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +10.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +398.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +398.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +13.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +13.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +13.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +65.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +65.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +1.1% | 26 | 27 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 10 | 26 | 27 |
| Listings on book | 11 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +24.6% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +11.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +1.1% | 56 | 53 |
| Owner growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 11.48× | 52 | 52 |
| Top-1 holder share | +4.2% | 60 | 63 |
| Top-10 holder share | +11.6% | 49 | 50 |
| HHI (top-10) | 25.5 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +1.1% | 79 | 79 |
| Absorption (60d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 50d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | 42d | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | -42d | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | 1.69× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -64.4% | 17 | 14 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.03× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +21.9% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $1.32 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 50 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +10.5% | 74 | 73 |
| Momentum pillar | 53 | 46 | 43 |
| Scarcity pillar | 60 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 19 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 86 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 54 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 61 | 87 | 80 |
| Data completeness | +76.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -0.32× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.16× | 33 | 38 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 1.41× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.33× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.17× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.10× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -10.5% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -24.1% | 47 | 46 |
| Return vs market (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Spike days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 2 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Dump days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 2 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | — | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -33.2% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -33.2% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 0 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.