Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 74%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 26, 7:02 PM.
Only 2.0% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~8.0 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Average price up 41% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 42% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Up 19pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Trading 104% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed (delisted Aug 10, 2026); every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 116% above the best standing bid of $5.78; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The order book is the dominant fact here: the best standing bid sits at $5.78 against a $12.51 ask, a 73.5% spread that leaves the listed price floating 116% above any real buyer. That phantom structure pairs with a +104.7% premium to modelled fair value and a liquidity score of 13/100 across just 12 active listings. The +40.5% week (95th percentile on 90d return, 91st on 30d trend slope) reads as fade-risk rather than continuation in this single-regime market. Fixed supply is genuine (601 units, 5th percentile supply growth, delisted), but 75 owners means concentrated ownership. With the ask more than double both the bid and fair value, waiting for convergence is worth considering.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 4h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -1.7% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +17.2% | 83 | 85 |
| Return (14d) | +56.6% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +20.1% | 75 | 64 |
| Return (60d) | +36.9% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | +36.9% | 95 | 95 |
| Return (all) | +36.9% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -1.7% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +15.9% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +44.8% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +18.3% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +31.4% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | +31.4% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | +31.4% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $12.51 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $15.87 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $15.87 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $15.87 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $21.41 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $21.41 | — | — |
| High (all) | $21.41 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $12.51 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $10.67 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $7.99 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $7.99 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $7.99 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $7.99 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $7.99 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $12.51 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $12.90 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $10.80 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $9.99 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $10.98 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $10.98 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $10.98 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $12.51 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $12.73 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $10.67 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $9.29 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $9.39 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $9.39 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $9.39 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | — | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +48.7% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +98.6% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +98.6% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +168.0% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +168.0% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +168.0% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 57 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 57 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 34 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 34 | 90 | 80 |
| Position in range (all) | 34 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -21.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -21.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -21.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -41.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -41.6% | 81 | 74 |
| Distance from high (all) | -41.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +17.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +56.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +56.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +56.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +56.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +56.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -3.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +15.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +25.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +13.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +13.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | +13.9% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 11 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 14 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 14 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 14 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 7 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 18 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 18 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 18 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 57 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 61 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 44 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 44 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 44 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +5.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +1.3% | 91 | 90 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.68× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.28× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.11× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.11× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.11× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 7.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +25.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +16.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +12.3% | 50 | 50 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +20.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +20.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +20.1% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +8.1% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +9.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +9.7% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +23.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +62.7% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +62.7% | 39 | 39 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +62.7% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +41.6% | 19 | 25 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +41.6% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 45d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 45d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.19× | 63 | 60 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.33× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.99 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 3.53 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 6.16 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 16.35 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +48.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +48.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +48.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +134.2% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +134.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +19.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +19.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +19.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +24.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +24.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +2.0% | 55 | 53 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 18 | 56 | 53 |
| Listings on book | 12 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +73.5% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -0.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | -2.6% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +0.0% | 50 | 50 |
| Owner growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 8.01× | 20 | 21 |
| Top-1 holder share | +2.5% | 41 | 53 |
| Top-10 holder share | +14.5% | 60 | 64 |
| HHI (top-10) | 25.17 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 9 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +0.0% | 75 | 75 |
| Absorption (60d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 55d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | 47d | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | -47d | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | 2.27× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +104.4% | 77 | 81 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.19× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +53.8% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $5.78 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 50 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +18.7% | 83 | 85 |
| Momentum pillar | 41 | 20 | 19 |
| Scarcity pillar | 65 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 13 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 27 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 30 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 41 | 27 | 27 |
| Data completeness | +74.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 2.14× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.35× | 59 | 67 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 1.99× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.48× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.11× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.33× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +71.7% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +11.8% | 75 | 65 |
| Return vs market (90d) | +36.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 5 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 50 |
| Dump days (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 5 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -9.8% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -4.1% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -4.1% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 0 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.