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S&sboxskins.gg

The dedicated S&box cosmetics market tracker. Live prices, drops and supply for every sbox skin on the Steam Community Market.

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Not affiliated with Facepunch Studios or Valve Corporation. S&box is a trademark of Facepunch Studios. Market data may be delayed.

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Back to Tie (Black)

Tie (Black)full analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 80%.

Overall rating

?Fixed supply
Insight Engine v2
43/ 100
C
Momentum55
Scarcity60
Liquidity6
Value45
Risk39

Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 28, 10:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Bullish
Holders are holding !!

Only 0.9% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Concentrated ownership

~11.1 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Delisted from store !!

No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.

Overbought (RSI) !!

RSI 80: stretched to the upside and prone to a pullback.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Below modelled fair value !!

Trading 36% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.

Fixed supply

Supply is fixed (delisted Aug 3, 2026); every new owner must buy on the market.

Bids accumulating !!

Order-book support has been building (accumulation score 66/100), with bid depth, value and floor all rising over the past week.

Signals are informational only: not financial advice.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

The headline tension here is an order book that barely functions: a 116.2% bid/ask spread between a $5.92 lowest ask and a $1.57 best standing bid, against a $1.50 median sale price and a liquidity score of 6/100. That gap matters more than the +14.9% seven day move, which carries an overbought RSI flag and reads as fade risk rather than clean momentum. Supply is fixed at 1079 units after delisting, with 97 unique owners concentrated enough to trigger a warning, and 10 listings in the current observation. The model puts price 34.5% below fair value, but with a C grade and 39/100 on safety, the discount is compensation for thin two-sided interest.

AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 1d ago Β· Not financial advice β€” automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

108/113 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Return (3d)-0.5%β€”β€”
Return (7d)-0.7%
60
50
Return (14d)+68.1%β€”β€”
Return (30d)+119.3%
62
60
Return (60d)+196.5%β€”β€”
Return (90d)+309.7%
95
90
Return (all)+309.7%β€”β€”
Log return (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Log return (3d)-0.5%β€”β€”
Log return (7d)-0.7%β€”β€”
Log return (14d)+51.9%β€”β€”
Log return (30d)+78.5%β€”β€”
Log return (60d)+108.7%β€”β€”
Log return (90d)+141.0%β€”β€”
Log return (all)+141.0%β€”β€”
High (24h)$5.90β€”β€”
High (3d)$5.93β€”β€”
High (7d)$5.94β€”β€”
High (14d)$6.04β€”β€”
High (30d)$6.04β€”β€”
High (60d)$6.37β€”β€”
High (90d)$6.37β€”β€”
High (all)$6.37β€”β€”
Low (24h)$5.90β€”β€”
Low (3d)$5.90β€”β€”
Low (7d)$5.90β€”β€”
Low (14d)$3.51β€”β€”
Low (30d)$2.48β€”β€”
Low (60d)$1.99β€”β€”
Low (90d)$1.23β€”β€”
Low (all)$1.23β€”β€”
Mean price (24h)$5.90β€”β€”
Mean price (3d)$5.92β€”β€”
Mean price (7d)$5.93β€”β€”
Mean price (14d)$5.78β€”β€”
Mean price (30d)$4.36β€”β€”
Mean price (60d)$3.99β€”β€”
Mean price (90d)$3.29β€”β€”
Mean price (all)$3.29β€”β€”
Median price (24h)$5.90β€”β€”
Median price (3d)$5.92β€”β€”
Median price (7d)$5.93β€”β€”
Median price (14d)$5.93β€”β€”
Median price (30d)$5.89β€”β€”
Median price (60d)$2.78β€”β€”
Median price (90d)$2.67β€”β€”
Median price (all)$2.67β€”β€”
Range % (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (3d)+0.5%β€”β€”
Range % (7d)+0.7%β€”β€”
Range % (14d)+72.1%β€”β€”
Range % (30d)+143.5%β€”β€”
Range % (60d)+220.1%β€”β€”
Range % (90d)+417.9%β€”β€”
Range % (all)+417.9%β€”β€”
Position in range (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (14d)94β€”β€”
Position in range (30d)96β€”β€”
Position in range (60d)89β€”β€”
Position in range (90d)91
86
82
Position in range (all)91β€”β€”
Distance from high (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (3d)-0.5%β€”β€”
Distance from high (7d)-0.7%β€”β€”
Distance from high (14d)-2.3%β€”β€”
Distance from high (30d)-2.3%β€”β€”
Distance from high (60d)-7.4%β€”β€”
Distance from high (90d)-7.4%
79
75
Distance from high (all)-7.4%β€”β€”
Distance from low (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (14d)+68.1%β€”β€”
Distance from low (30d)+137.9%β€”β€”
Distance from low (60d)+196.5%β€”β€”
Distance from low (90d)+379.7%β€”β€”
Distance from low (all)+379.7%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (3d)-0.3%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (7d)-0.4%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (14d)+2.1%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (30d)+35.2%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (60d)+47.7%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (90d)+79.1%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (all)+79.1%β€”β€”
Up days (24h)0β€”β€”
Up days (3d)0β€”β€”
Up days (7d)0β€”β€”
Up days (14d)4β€”β€”
Up days (30d)7β€”β€”
Up days (60d)11β€”β€”
Up days (90d)17β€”β€”
Up days (all)17β€”β€”
Down days (24h)0β€”β€”
Down days (3d)2β€”β€”
Down days (7d)3β€”β€”
Down days (14d)6β€”β€”
Down days (30d)12β€”β€”
Down days (60d)23β€”β€”
Down days (90d)33β€”β€”
Down days (all)33β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (3d)0β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (7d)0β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (14d)40β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (30d)37β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (60d)32β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (90d)34β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (all)34β€”β€”
Up-day streak0.0dβ€”β€”

Trend

19/38 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
SMA (7)$5.93β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (7)-0.4%β€”β€”
SMA (14)$5.78β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (14)+2.1%β€”β€”
SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (7)$5.93β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (7)-0.4%β€”β€”
EMA (14)$5.78β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (14)+2.1%β€”β€”
EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (7)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (14)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (21)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (50)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (100)β€”β€”β€”
Trend slope (14d)+1.1%β€”β€”
Trend slope (30d)+4.6%
80
80
Trend slope (60d)+1.0%β€”β€”
Trend slope (90d)+1.6%β€”β€”
Trend slope (all)+1.6%β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (14d)0.16Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (30d)0.75Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (60d)0.12Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (90d)0.41Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (all)0.41Γ—β€”β€”
SMA 7/30 crossβ€”β€”β€”
Days since trend flip0.0dβ€”β€”

Volatility & risk

32/33 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return stdev (7d)+0.1%β€”β€”
Return stdev (14d)+15.0%β€”β€”
Return stdev (30d)+12.6%
24
24
Return stdev (60d)+20.6%β€”β€”
Return stdev (90d)+19.0%β€”β€”
Return stdev (all)+19.0%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (30d)+1.2%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (60d)+9.9%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (90d)+9.2%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (30d)+7.8%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (60d)+61.1%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (90d)+61.1%
50
48
Max drawdown (all)+61.1%β€”β€”
Current drawdown (90d)+7.4%
20
25
Current drawdown (all)+7.4%β€”β€”
Drawdown duration (90d)53dβ€”β€”
Drawdown duration (all)53dβ€”β€”
Sortino ratio (30d)3.62Γ—
95
95
Sortino ratio (90d)0.46Γ—β€”β€”
Return skew (30d)3.72β€”β€”
Return skew (90d)5.28β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (30d)14.09β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (90d)34.39β€”β€”
Largest up day (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Largest up day (14d)+71.2%β€”β€”
Largest up day (30d)+71.2%β€”β€”
Largest up day (60d)+199.1%β€”β€”
Largest up day (90d)+199.1%β€”β€”
Largest down day (7d)+0.3%β€”β€”
Largest down day (14d)+1.7%β€”β€”
Largest down day (30d)+3.7%β€”β€”
Largest down day (60d)+47.8%β€”β€”
Largest down day (90d)+47.8%β€”β€”

Liquidity

5/20 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Turnover %β€”β€”β€”
On-market %+0.9%
42
47
Days to clear listingsβ€”β€”β€”
Lifetime sales / dayneeds provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime salesβ€”β€”
Liquidity score9
48
50
Listings on book10β€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (7d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (14d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Bid-ask spread %+83.3%β€”β€”
Near-mid bid imbalanceβ€”β€”β€”
Bid-depth trend (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Bid-floor migration (7d)+60.9%β€”β€”

Supply & ownership

12/21 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Supply growth (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (14d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (30d)+0.0%
5
5
Supply growth (60d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (90d)+148.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (14d)β€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (30d)β€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (60d)β€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (90d)β€”β€”β€”
Mint rate (7d)0β€”β€”
Mint rate (30d)0β€”β€”
Supply doubling timeβ€”β€”β€”
Copies per owner11.12Γ—
50
49
Top-1 holder share+3.0%
48
53
Top-10 holder share+16.1%
64
70
HHI (top-10)32.47β€”β€”
Whale count (β‰₯5)10β€”β€”
Absorption (30d)β€”β€”β€”
Absorption (60d)β€”β€”β€”
Absorption (90d)β€”β€”β€”

Lifecycle & value

17/18 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Age94dβ€”β€”
Days since fixation86dβ€”β€”
Days until leaving storen/s-86dβ€”β€”
Release-price multipleβ€”β€”β€”
Store-price ratio5.90Γ—β€”β€”
Fair-value residual-36.1%
31
26
Price per scarcity point0.10Γ—β€”β€”
Instant-sell discount+58.8%β€”β€”
Bid-floor backing$2.43β€”β€”
Accumulation score66β€”β€”
Market-relative 7d return+2.5%
60
50
Momentum pillar55
59
70
Scarcity pillar60β€”β€”
Liquidity pillar6β€”β€”
Value pillar45β€”β€”
Risk pillar39β€”β€”
Overall rating48
74
76
Data completeness+80.0%β€”β€”

Relative to market

9/9 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Beta vs market (14d)1.00Γ—β€”β€”
Beta vs market (30d)0.51Γ—
43
50
Beta vs market (90d)0.24Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (14d)0.26Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (30d)0.26Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (90d)0.05Γ—β€”β€”
Return vs market (14d)+12.4%β€”β€”
Return vs market (30d)-58.4%
63
61
Return vs market (90d)+179.4%β€”β€”

Events

12/15 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Spike days (30d)2
25
33
Spike days (60d)3β€”β€”
Spike days (90d)6β€”β€”
Dump days (30d)0
5
5
Dump days (60d)1β€”β€”
Dump days (90d)2β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (30d)+35.9%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (60d)+23.9%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (90d)+11.3%β€”β€”
Listing shocks (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Net spike bias (30d)2β€”β€”
Net spike bias (60d)2β€”β€”
Net spike bias (90d)4β€”β€”

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. β€œn/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.