Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 77%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 13, 11:02 PM.
Price down 47.8% in 24h: significant selling pressure.
Only 1.5% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~12.1 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Average price up 109% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 52% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
49pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.
Trading 39% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed (delisted Aug 3, 2026); every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 46% above the best standing bid of $2.08; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline figure on Tie (Black) is the gap between its $5.80 lowest ask and a best standing bid of just $2.08, a phantom price sitting 179% above real bids with a 37.2% spread. The 7d gain of 197.5% looks dramatic, yet it still trails the market median by 5.6%, and with RSI flagged overbought, this spike reads as fade-risk rather than continuation. Supply is fixed at 1079 units after delisting, but only 89 owners hold them, and a liquidity score of 12/100 against 16 active listings points to thin exit depth. With the ask also 15% above the model's fair value, waiting for a narrower spread might offer a more measured entry.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 8h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -47.8% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -47.8% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -52.4% | 5 | 5 |
| Return (14d) | +45.0% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +55.0% | 91 | 88 |
| Return (60d) | +110.4% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Return (all) | +110.4% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -64.9% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -64.9% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -74.3% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +37.1% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +43.8% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +74.4% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (all) | +74.4% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $3.03 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $5.80 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $6.37 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $6.37 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $6.37 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $6.37 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $6.37 | — | — |
| High (all) | $6.37 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $3.03 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $3.03 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $3.03 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $2.07 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $1.72 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $1.23 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $1.23 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $1.23 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $3.03 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $4.88 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $5.44 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $4.70 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $3.14 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $2.73 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $2.73 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $2.73 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $3.03 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $5.80 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $5.80 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $5.80 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $1.99 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $1.98 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $1.98 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $1.98 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +91.4% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +110.2% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +207.7% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +270.3% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +417.9% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +417.9% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +417.9% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 22 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 28 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 35 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 35 | 91 | 90 |
| Position in range (all) | 35 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -47.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -52.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -52.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -52.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -52.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -52.4% | 74 | 69 |
| Distance from high (all) | -52.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +46.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +76.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +146.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +146.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +146.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -37.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -44.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -35.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -3.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +10.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +10.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | +10.9% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 6 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 9 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 9 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 9 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 6 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 14 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 14 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 14 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 39 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 39 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 39 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +5.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +6.0% | 95 | 95 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +4.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | +4.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | +4.1% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.21× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.55× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.49× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.49× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.49× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +28.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +42.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +26.9% | 82 | 84 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +25.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +25.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +25.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +18.1% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +13.0% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +13.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +52.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +52.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +52.4% | 15 | 15 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +52.4% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +52.4% | 26 | 31 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +52.4% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 8.0d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 8.0d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.35× | 78 | 77 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.47× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 4.34 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 4.19 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 20.74 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 20.68 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +199.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +199.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +199.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +199.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +47.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +47.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +47.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +47.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +47.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +1.5% | 45 | 43 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 14 | 45 | 43 |
| Listings on book | 16 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +37.2% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +17.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | -1.1% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | -1.1% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +0.0% | 41 | 42 |
| Owner growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 12.12× | 60 | 62 |
| Top-1 holder share | +3.0% | 48 | 51 |
| Top-10 holder share | +12.9% | 53 | 55 |
| HHI (top-10) | 22.96 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +0.0% | 61 | 68 |
| Absorption (60d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 49d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | 41d | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | -41d | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | 3.03× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -39.0% | 31 | 30 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.05× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +31.4% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $2.08 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 63 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -48.5% | 5 | 5 |
| Momentum pillar | 67 | 88 | 87 |
| Scarcity pillar | 57 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 12 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 68 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 31 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 53 | 72 | 65 |
| Data completeness | +76.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -1.29× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.06× | 40 | 44 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.45× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.09× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.01× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.05× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +21.6% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +44.9% | 91 | 88 |
| Return vs market (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 1 | 50 | 50 |
| Dump days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 2 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 2 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.