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S&sboxskins.gg

The dedicated S&box cosmetics market tracker. Live prices, drops and supply for every sbox skin on the Steam Community Market.

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Not affiliated with Facepunch Studios or Valve Corporation. S&box is a trademark of Facepunch Studios. Market data may be delayed.

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Back to The Quacker Cap

The Quacker Capfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 71%.

Overall rating

?Fixed supply
Insight Engine v2
48/ 100
C
Momentum51
Scarcity65
Liquidity11
Value57
Risk48

Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 8:02 AM.

Signal narrative

Bullish
Holders are holding !!

Only 0.8% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Concentrated ownership

~11.1 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Delisted from store !!

No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.

Deep drawdown

Down 52% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.

Holder base widening

Unique owners up 9% this week; new holders are arriving.

Fixed supply

Supply is fixed (delisted Aug 31, 2026); every new owner must buy on the market.

Market-wide fear

The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.

Signals are informational only: not financial advice.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

The most notable number here is the 33.2% bid/ask spread: the lowest ask sits at $6.69 while the best standing bid is only $4.80, across just 7 active listings and a liquidity score of 11/100. That thinness explains how a +10.2% week (and +14.3% against the market median) pushed the price 20.6% above the fair-value model, so the recent strength reads more as fade risk than a trend worth chasing. The structural case is steadier: supply is fixed at 831 units post-delisting, 30d supply growth sits in the 5th percentile, and the holder base is widening from 75 owners, though that concentration remains a flagged warning. Overall grade: C, 53/100.

AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 17h ago Β· Not financial advice β€” automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

94/113 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return (24h)-0.5%β€”β€”
Return (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Return (7d)-0.6%
69
71
Return (14d)+11.5%β€”β€”
Return (30d)+11.2%
84
90
Return (60d)-51.7%β€”β€”
Return (90d)β€”β€”β€”
Return (all)-51.7%β€”β€”
Log return (24h)-0.5%β€”β€”
Log return (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Log return (7d)-0.6%β€”β€”
Log return (14d)+10.9%β€”β€”
Log return (30d)+10.6%β€”β€”
Log return (60d)-72.8%β€”β€”
Log return (90d)β€”β€”β€”
Log return (all)-72.8%β€”β€”
High (24h)β€”β€”β€”
High (3d)$6.69β€”β€”
High (7d)$6.73β€”β€”
High (14d)$6.73β€”β€”
High (30d)$6.73β€”β€”
High (60d)$13.85β€”β€”
High (90d)$13.85β€”β€”
High (all)$13.85β€”β€”
Low (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Low (3d)$6.69β€”β€”
Low (7d)$6.69β€”β€”
Low (14d)$5.99β€”β€”
Low (30d)$5.10β€”β€”
Low (60d)$5.10β€”β€”
Low (90d)$5.10β€”β€”
Low (all)$5.10β€”β€”
Mean price (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Mean price (3d)$6.69β€”β€”
Mean price (7d)$6.71β€”β€”
Mean price (14d)$6.24β€”β€”
Mean price (30d)$5.85β€”β€”
Mean price (60d)$6.67β€”β€”
Mean price (90d)$6.67β€”β€”
Mean price (all)$6.67β€”β€”
Median price (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Median price (3d)$6.69β€”β€”
Median price (7d)$6.72β€”β€”
Median price (14d)$6.00β€”β€”
Median price (30d)$6.00β€”β€”
Median price (60d)$6.00β€”β€”
Median price (90d)$6.00β€”β€”
Median price (all)$6.00β€”β€”
Range % (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (7d)+0.6%β€”β€”
Range % (14d)+12.4%β€”β€”
Range % (30d)+32.0%β€”β€”
Range % (60d)+171.6%β€”β€”
Range % (90d)+171.6%β€”β€”
Range % (all)+171.6%β€”β€”
Position in range (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (14d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (30d)98β€”β€”
Position in range (60d)18β€”β€”
Position in range (90d)18
58
61
Position in range (all)18β€”β€”
Distance from high (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Distance from high (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (7d)-0.6%β€”β€”
Distance from high (14d)-0.6%β€”β€”
Distance from high (30d)-0.6%β€”β€”
Distance from high (60d)-51.7%β€”β€”
Distance from high (90d)-51.7%
58
59
Distance from high (all)-51.7%β€”β€”
Distance from low (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Distance from low (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (14d)+11.7%β€”β€”
Distance from low (30d)+31.2%β€”β€”
Distance from low (60d)+31.2%β€”β€”
Distance from low (90d)+31.2%β€”β€”
Distance from low (all)+31.2%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs mean (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (7d)-0.3%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (14d)+7.3%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (30d)+14.4%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (60d)+0.3%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (90d)+0.3%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (all)+0.3%β€”β€”
Up days (24h)0β€”β€”
Up days (3d)0β€”β€”
Up days (7d)0β€”β€”
Up days (14d)2β€”β€”
Up days (30d)6β€”β€”
Up days (60d)7β€”β€”
Up days (90d)7β€”β€”
Up days (all)7β€”β€”
Down days (24h)0β€”β€”
Down days (3d)0β€”β€”
Down days (7d)2β€”β€”
Down days (14d)3β€”β€”
Down days (30d)9β€”β€”
Down days (60d)14β€”β€”
Down days (90d)14β€”β€”
Down days (all)14β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (7d)0β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (14d)40β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (30d)40β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (60d)33β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (90d)33β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (all)33β€”β€”
Up-day streak0.0dβ€”β€”

Trend

11/38 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (7)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (14)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (21)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (50)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (100)β€”β€”β€”
Trend slope (14d)+1.7%β€”β€”
Trend slope (30d)+0.5%
79
82
Trend slope (60d)-1.8%β€”β€”
Trend slope (90d)-1.8%β€”β€”
Trend slope (all)-1.8%β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (14d)0.67Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (30d)0.24Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (60d)0.26Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (90d)0.26Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (all)0.26Γ—β€”β€”
SMA 7/30 crossβ€”β€”β€”
Days since trend flip16dβ€”β€”

Volatility & risk

31/33 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return stdev (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Return stdev (14d)+4.1%β€”β€”
Return stdev (30d)+5.2%
9
8
Return stdev (60d)+13.9%β€”β€”
Return stdev (90d)+13.9%β€”β€”
Return stdev (all)+13.9%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (30d)+4.4%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (60d)+13.3%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (90d)+13.3%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (30d)+15.2%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (60d)+63.2%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (90d)+63.2%
45
49
Max drawdown (all)+63.2%β€”β€”
Current drawdown (90d)+51.7%
42
41
Current drawdown (all)+51.7%β€”β€”
Drawdown duration (90d)36dβ€”β€”
Drawdown duration (all)36dβ€”β€”
Sortino ratio (30d)0.13Γ—
76
78
Sortino ratio (90d)-0.11Γ—β€”β€”
Return skew (30d)0.37β€”β€”
Return skew (90d)-2.84β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (30d)3.81β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (90d)12.88β€”β€”
Largest up day (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Largest up day (14d)+12.2%β€”β€”
Largest up day (30d)+13.5%β€”β€”
Largest up day (60d)+16.5%β€”β€”
Largest up day (90d)+16.5%β€”β€”
Largest down day (7d)+0.4%β€”β€”
Largest down day (14d)+0.4%β€”β€”
Largest down day (30d)+13.7%β€”β€”
Largest down day (60d)+50.1%β€”β€”
Largest down day (90d)+50.1%β€”β€”

Liquidity

5/20 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Turnover %β€”β€”β€”
On-market %+0.8%
20
20
Days to clear listingsβ€”β€”β€”
Lifetime sales / dayneeds provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime salesβ€”β€”
Liquidity score8
20
20
Listings on book7β€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (7d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (14d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Bid-ask spread %+32.8%β€”β€”
Near-mid bid imbalanceβ€”β€”β€”
Bid-depth trend (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Bid-floor migration (7d)+14.9%β€”β€”

Supply & ownership

14/21 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Supply growth (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (14d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (30d)+0.0%
5
5
Supply growth (60d)β€”β€”β€”
Supply growth (90d)β€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (7d)+8.7%β€”β€”
Owner growth (14d)+13.6%β€”β€”
Owner growth (30d)+13.6%
78
78
Owner growth (60d)β€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (90d)β€”β€”β€”
Mint rate (7d)0β€”β€”
Mint rate (30d)0β€”β€”
Supply doubling timeβ€”β€”β€”
Copies per owner11.08Γ—
50
52
Top-1 holder share+7.7%
84
80
Top-10 holder share+26.6%
90
85
HHI (top-10)125.77β€”β€”
Whale count (β‰₯5)10β€”β€”
Absorption (30d)+13.6%
92
90
Absorption (60d)β€”β€”β€”
Absorption (90d)β€”β€”β€”

Lifecycle & value

17/18 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Age50dβ€”β€”
Days since fixation37dβ€”β€”
Days until leaving storen/s-37dβ€”β€”
Release-price multipleβ€”β€”β€”
Store-price ratio1.67Γ—β€”β€”
Fair-value residual+20.3%
54
55
Price per scarcity point0.10Γ—β€”β€”
Instant-sell discount+28.4%β€”β€”
Bid-floor backing$4.79β€”β€”
Accumulation score40β€”β€”
Market-relative 7d return+2.0%
69
71
Momentum pillar51
53
51
Scarcity pillar65β€”β€”
Liquidity pillar11β€”β€”
Value pillar57β€”β€”
Risk pillar48β€”β€”
Overall rating53
77
77
Data completeness+71.3%β€”β€”

Relative to market

8/9 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Beta vs market (14d)0.35Γ—β€”β€”
Beta vs market (30d)0.34Γ—
52
51
Beta vs market (90d)0.17Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (14d)0.35Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (30d)0.27Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (90d)0.07Γ—β€”β€”
Return vs market (14d)+6.7%β€”β€”
Return vs market (30d)+21.8%
82
88
Return vs market (90d)β€”β€”β€”

Events

11/15 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Spike days (30d)0
5
5
Spike days (60d)1β€”β€”
Spike days (90d)1β€”β€”
Dump days (30d)0
5
5
Dump days (60d)1β€”β€”
Dump days (90d)1β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (30d)β€”β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (60d)-0.3%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (90d)-0.3%β€”β€”
Listing shocks (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Net spike bias (30d)0β€”β€”
Net spike bias (60d)0β€”β€”
Net spike bias (90d)0β€”β€”

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. β€œn/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.