Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 80%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 6:02 PM.
Up 17.1% in the last 6 hours and accelerating.
14,672 total supply: a common item, minimal scarcity premium.
Scarcity score 12/100: abundant and liquid.
Only 1.8% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~19.2 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 53% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
17pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.
Trading 64% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The standout number is the 64.2% discount to modelled fair value, which drives a value score of 88/100 against an overall grade of C. Supply is fixed at 14,672 units following the store delisting, and 30-day supply growth sits in the 5th percentile, but scarcity still scores 12/100 because only 763 owners hold those copies, placing copies per owner in the 95th percentile and flagging concentrated ownership. The +17.1% move over six hours arrives against a flat 24h and a 7d decline of 9.1%, so it reads as noise rather than a trend, particularly with an 18.2% spread between the $0.35 bid and $0.42 ask and liquidity at 28/100. Patience near the bid floor looks more defensible than chasing the six-hour print.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 3h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -14.3% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -20.8% | 18 | 25 |
| Return (14d) | -12.5% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -23.6% | 45 | 46 |
| Return (60d) | -41.7% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -14.3% | 77 | 80 |
| Return (all) | -87.6% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -15.4% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -23.3% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -13.4% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -27.0% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -53.9% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -15.4% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -208.7% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $0.42 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.49 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.53 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.55 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.66 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.89 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $0.89 | — | — |
| High (all) | $4.86 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.40 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.40 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.40 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.44 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.47 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.50 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.53 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.54 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.56 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $1.20 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.49 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.49 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.54 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.54 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.55 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.70 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +16.7% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +26.2% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +31.0% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +56.0% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +122.5% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +122.5% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1115.0% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 4 | 31 | 29 |
| Position in range (all) | 0 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -14.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -20.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -23.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -35.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -52.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -52.8% | 56 | 56 |
| Distance from high (all) | -91.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +5.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +5.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +5.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -5.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -11.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -15.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -20.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -22.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -24.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -65.1% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 5 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 12 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 20 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 49 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 12 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 22 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 32 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 90 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 40 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 29 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 35 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 35 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -0.6% | 56 | 59 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.31× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.15× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.11× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.04× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.61× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 3.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +6.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +6.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +10.4% | 39 | 39 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +16.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +16.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +13.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +6.0% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +10.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +9.8% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +35.9% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +55.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +55.1% | 27 | 25 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +91.8% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +52.8% | 44 | 44 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +91.4% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 44d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 180d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.10× | 38 | 36 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.12× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 2.11 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 2.1 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 7.9 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 9.41 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +12.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +40.9% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +93.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +93.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +14.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +14.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +17.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +38.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +38.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +1.8% | 54 | 56 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 16 | 55 | 57 |
| Listings on book | 261 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +18.2% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | 0.93× | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -16.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +0.7% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +0.1% | 26 | 28 |
| Owner growth (60d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 19.23× | 95 | 92 |
| Top-1 holder share | +6.5% | 79 | 76 |
| Top-10 holder share | +22.7% | 82 | 79 |
| HHI (top-10) | 76.05 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +0.1% | 46 | 47 |
| Absorption (60d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 222d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.42× | 39 | 42 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.42× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -64.2% | 15 | 18 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.03× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +16.7% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.35 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 37 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -17.2% | 18 | 25 |
| Momentum pillar | 50 | 44 | 43 |
| Scarcity pillar | 12 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 28 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 88 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 51 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 51 | 69 | 69 |
| Data completeness | +80.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.40× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -1.38× | 5 | 5 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.20× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.22× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.53× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.07× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -10.4% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -7.2% | 45 | 47 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -4.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Spike days (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 11 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 50 | 50 |
| Dump days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 9 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -8.4% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -16.4% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -7.6% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 2 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.