Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 80%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 18, 10:02 PM.
2,424 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Only 0.7% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~13.3 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Average price down 24% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 79% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading 26% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 47% above the best standing bid of $1.43; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The 45.5% 24h jump sits inside a 7d decline of 24.3%, and in this single-regime market sharp spikes have tended to fade rather than extend, so the move reads as fade-risk. The order book supports that caution: the best standing bid is $1.43 against a $2.11 ask, a 38.4% spread that leaves the listed price floating 47% above real demand, with a liquidity score of 6/100 and only 18 active listings. Against that, supply is fixed at 2424 units after delisting, ownership is concentrated among 182 holders, and the model puts the item 26.8% below fair value. Grade C overall at 49/100, with risk at 28/100. Patience around the bid side may matter more than the headline print.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 7h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +24.4% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -1.9% | 73 | 73 |
| Return (14d) | -15.9% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -2.3% | 67 | 75 |
| Return (60d) | -23.2% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -78.9% | 26 | 24 |
| Return (all) | -78.9% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +21.8% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -1.9% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -17.3% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -2.4% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -26.3% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -155.7% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -155.7% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $2.10 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $2.10 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $2.13 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $2.49 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $2.69 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $2.73 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $9.91 | — | — |
| High (all) | $9.91 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $2.10 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $1.45 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $1.45 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $1.45 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $1.45 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $1.45 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $1.45 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $1.45 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $2.10 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $1.74 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $1.83 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $2.09 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $2.29 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $2.43 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $2.64 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $2.64 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $2.10 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $1.68 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $1.82 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $2.13 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $2.39 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $2.55 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $2.58 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $2.58 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +44.8% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +46.9% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +71.4% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +85.5% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +88.3% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +583.6% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +583.6% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 63 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 52 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 51 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 8 | 58 | 59 |
| Position in range (all) | 8 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -1.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -15.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -22.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -23.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -78.9% | 32 | 31 |
| Distance from high (all) | -78.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +44.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +44.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +44.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +44.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +44.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +44.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +44.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +19.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +14.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -8.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -14.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -21.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -21.0% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 5 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 10 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 18 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 18 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 4 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 9 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 15 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 29 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 46 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 46 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 20 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 10 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 25 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 26 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 28 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 28 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -4.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -0.8% | 41 | 46 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.70× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.19× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.39× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.18× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.18× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 16d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +21.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +14.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +9.7% | 37 | 39 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +8.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +13.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +13.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +4.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +4.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +10.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +46.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +46.9% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +85.4% | 69 | 73 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +85.4% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +78.8% | 67 | 69 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +78.8% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 87d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 87d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.09× | 60 | 66 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.11× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 2.92 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | -0.07 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 11.57 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 7.87 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +44.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +44.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +44.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +44.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +44.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +13.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +13.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +13.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +18.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +55.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +0.7% | 11 | 13 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 7 | 11 | 13 |
| Listings on book | 18 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +38.4% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -12.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +75.8% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | -2.2% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | -2.2% | 5 | 5 |
| Owner growth (60d) | -2.7% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | +50.4% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 13.32× | 76 | 71 |
| Top-1 holder share | +6.2% | 77 | 76 |
| Top-10 holder share | +23.4% | 84 | 81 |
| HHI (top-10) | 78.34 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | -2.2% | 23 | 22 |
| Absorption (60d) | -2.7% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | -25.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 94d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 1.05× | 66 | 66 |
| Store-price ratio | 1.04× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -25.9% | 39 | 42 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.04× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +31.6% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $1.43 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 47 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +7.9% | 73 | 73 |
| Momentum pillar | 54 | 37 | 39 |
| Scarcity pillar | 48 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 6 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 75 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 28 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 49 | 47 | 46 |
| Data completeness | +80.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.08× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.13× | 32 | 31 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.21× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.03× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.05× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.12× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -17.7% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -5.0% | 68 | 76 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -36.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Spike days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 5 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Dump days (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 5 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | — | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -2.7% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 0 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.