Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 77%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 16, 1:02 AM.
Only 1.7% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~6.0 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (116 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Trading within 5% of its lowest recorded price.
RSI 22: beaten down and due for a potential bounce.
Down 66% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
11pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.
Trading 300% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 65% above the best standing bid of $16.76; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The Hotdog Costume presents a split picture: it sits at the 5th percentile of its 90-day range with oversold and deep-drawdown signals firing, yet the fair-value model places it 300.0% above modelled value, a 95th-percentile residual. The slide is measurable, with a 5.3% loss over 7 days that trails the market median by 12.2%. The order book tempers any recovery read, since the $21.33 ask carries a 24.1% spread to a $16.74 best bid, and the phantom-price flag shows listings floating 65% above that bid. With a liquidity score of 23 and 209 owners across 1,247 units, the drawdown may resemble a setup, though waiting for bids to firm could be the more measured approach.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 10h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -3.5% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -22.3% | 22 | 27 |
| Return (14d) | -20.9% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -24.1% | 40 | 26 |
| Return (60d) | -42.2% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -65.5% | 47 | 67 |
| Return (all) | -78.6% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -3.6% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -25.2% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -23.4% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -27.6% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -54.7% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -106.4% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -154.0% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $22.13 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $27.53 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $27.98 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $28.13 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $51.58 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $61.89 | — | — |
| High (all) | $99.62 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $21.33 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $21.33 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $21.33 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $21.33 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $21.33 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $21.33 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $21.33 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $21.73 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $25.24 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $26.19 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $26.84 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $31.80 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $35.41 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $37.48 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $21.73 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $26.50 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $27.05 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $27.16 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $29.66 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $34.50 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $34.98 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +3.8% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +29.1% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +31.2% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +31.9% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +141.8% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +190.2% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +367.0% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Position in range (all) | 0 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -3.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -22.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -23.7% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -24.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -58.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -65.5% | 52 | 64 |
| Distance from high (all) | -78.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -1.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -15.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -18.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -20.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -32.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -39.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -43.0% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 15 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 24 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 24 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 6 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 12 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 28 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 48 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 52 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 25 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 40 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 40 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 35 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 32 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -1.5% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -0.5% | 48 | 25 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -1.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.1% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.39× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.35× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.68× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.63× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.56× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 2.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +6.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +5.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +3.7% | 5 | 5 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +8.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +7.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +7.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +3.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +5.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +5.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +24.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +58.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +65.5% | 37 | 24 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +78.6% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +65.5% | 48 | 35 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +78.6% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 88d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 92d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.29× | 19 | 9 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.21× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | -2.15 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 1.44 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 6.55 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 8.17 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +3.9% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +3.9% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +37.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +37.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +13.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +13.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +13.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +23.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +23.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +1.7% | 53 | 51 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 15 | 53 | 51 |
| Listings on book | 21 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +24.1% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -5.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | -1.9% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | -1.9% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | -0.5% | 20 | 19 |
| Owner growth (60d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | +10.6% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 5.97× | 7 | 7 |
| Top-1 holder share | +3.1% | 49 | 74 |
| Top-10 holder share | +12.1% | 50 | 63 |
| HHI (top-10) | 19.49 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | -0.5% | 45 | 46 |
| Absorption (60d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | +10.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 101d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.43× | 36 | 22 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.43× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +300.0% | 95 | 95 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.41× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +21.5% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $15.93 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 46 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -11.0% | 22 | 27 |
| Momentum pillar | 65 | 80 | 75 |
| Scarcity pillar | 52 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 23 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 40 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 44 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 52 | 60 | 75 |
| Data completeness | +77.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.29× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.14× | 52 | 34 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.08× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.29× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.18× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.07× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -25.4% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -21.8% | 40 | 26 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -29.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Spike days (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 2 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Dump days (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 1 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | — | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -10.8% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -7.2% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.