Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 80%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 3:02 PM.
Price up 10.4% in 24h: significant bullish movement.
4,774 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Only 0.8% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~11.3 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 47% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading 183% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 73% above the best standing bid of $4.57; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The most notable figure here is valuation: at a $6.04 lowest ask the helmet is trading 182.8% above the model's fair value, well clear of its $4.50 original store price. The order book supports that caution, with a 27.7% bid/ask spread, a best standing bid of just $4.57, and the listed price floating 73% above that bid. The +10.4% 24h move reads as fade-risk rather than continuation in this single-regime market, particularly with 7d flat at -0.5%. Supply is fixed at 4,774 units post-delisting, but 38 active listings and a liquidity score of 15/100 thin out exits, and top-10 holder share sits in the 95th percentile. Overall grade: C, 40/100.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 8m ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +10.4% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +10.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -4.0% | 49 | 55 |
| Return (14d) | -5.0% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -25.1% | 43 | 44 |
| Return (60d) | -35.2% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -47.0% | 39 | 44 |
| Return (all) | -88.5% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +9.9% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +9.5% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -4.1% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -5.2% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -28.9% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -43.4% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -63.5% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -216.7% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $6.04 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $6.04 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $6.29 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $6.36 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $8.06 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $9.32 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $11.40 | — | — |
| High (all) | $63.19 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $6.04 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $5.47 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $5.47 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $4.94 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $4.94 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $4.94 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $4.94 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $4.94 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $6.04 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $5.67 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $5.75 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $5.75 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $6.46 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $7.46 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $8.27 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $19.44 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $6.04 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $5.49 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $5.61 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $5.61 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $6.48 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $7.96 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $8.60 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $11.43 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +10.4% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +15.0% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +28.7% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +63.2% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +88.7% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +130.8% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1179.1% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 77 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 35 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 25 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 17 | 56 | 60 |
| Position in range (all) | 2 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -4.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -5.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -25.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -35.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -47.0% | 65 | 67 |
| Distance from high (all) | -90.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +10.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +10.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +22.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +22.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +22.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +22.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +22.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +6.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +5.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +5.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -6.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -19.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -27.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -68.9% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 10 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 39 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 6 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 17 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 39 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 51 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 107 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 25 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 19 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 11 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 16 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 27 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -1.6% | 36 | 31 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -1.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.02× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.74× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.74× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.81× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.69× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +7.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +10.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +7.0% | 19 | 18 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +10.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +9.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +12.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +4.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +6.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +6.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +38.7% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +47.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +56.7% | 30 | 29 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +92.2% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +47.0% | 35 | 33 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +90.4% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 89d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 164d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.19× | 24 | 22 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.06× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 0.99 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 2.38 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 5.07 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 19.69 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +10.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +22.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +22.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +59.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +59.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +10.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +17.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +17.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +37.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +37.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +0.8% | 17 | 18 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 8 | 17 | 18 |
| Listings on book | 38 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +27.7% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -2.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +1.2% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +1.2% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +0.7% | 32 | 39 |
| Owner growth (60d) | +1.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | +1.2% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 11.31× | 53 | 55 |
| Top-1 holder share | +15.1% | 95 | 95 |
| Top-10 holder share | +30.2% | 95 | 91 |
| HHI (top-10) | 305.46 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +0.7% | 53 | 55 |
| Absorption (60d) | +1.0% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | +1.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 317d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 1.35× | 75 | 75 |
| Store-price ratio | 1.34× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +182.8% | 82 | 82 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.21× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +24.3% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $4.57 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 48 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -0.4% | 49 | 55 |
| Momentum pillar | 55 | 63 | 59 |
| Scarcity pillar | 29 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 15 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 33 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 31 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 40 | 23 | 19 |
| Data completeness | +80.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.62× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.27× | 47 | 47 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.04× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.21× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.15× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.02× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -4.7% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -10.1% | 43 | 44 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -32.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Spike days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Dump days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 3 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -1.1% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.