Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 80%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 30, 1:02 PM.
Only 0.9% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~12.7 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 92% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading 45% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 51% above the best standing bid of $0.99; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline number here is the order book, not the price: a 71.8% bid/ask spread with the lowest ask at $2.10 against a best standing bid of $0.99, leaving the listed price 51% above any real demand. That phantom-price gap, plus a liquidity score of 6/100 and just 13 active listings, means the $2.10 figure should be treated as aspirational rather than transactable, with the $1.49 median sale the more honest reference. Supply is genuinely fixed at 1432 units across 112 owners (concentrated, 5th percentile owner growth), and the model reads the item 45.9% cheap, but the 27/100 safety score and 9th percentile 90d return argue for patience near the bid.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 22h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +0.0% | 65 | 64 |
| Return (14d) | +41.6% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -32.6% | 29 | 30 |
| Return (60d) | -2.1% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -92.2% | 10 | 8 |
| Return (all) | -92.2% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +34.8% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -39.4% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -2.1% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -254.7% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -254.7% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $2.11 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $2.11 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $2.11 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $2.11 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $3.14 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $17.17 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $26.94 | — | — |
| High (all) | $26.94 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $2.11 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $2.10 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $2.10 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $1.38 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $1.38 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $1.38 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $1.38 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $1.38 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $2.11 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $2.11 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $2.11 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $1.82 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $2.32 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $2.96 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $3.10 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $3.10 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $2.11 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $2.11 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $2.11 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $1.95 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $2.11 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $2.12 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $2.24 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $2.24 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +52.9% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +127.5% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +1144.6% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +1852.2% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1852.2% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 100 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 41 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 3 | 33 | 31 |
| Position in range (all) | 3 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -32.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -87.7% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -92.2% | 13 | 12 |
| Distance from high (all) | -92.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +52.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +52.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +52.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +52.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +52.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +16.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -9.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -28.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -32.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -32.0% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 5 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 9 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 11 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 11 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 13 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 31 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 50 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 57 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 28 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 23 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 18 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 18 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +5.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -3.1% | 19 | 14 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.80× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.58× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.01× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.02× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.02× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 4.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +8.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +9.6% | 34 | 30 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +40.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +37.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +37.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +7.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +14.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +17.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +56.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +92.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +94.9% | 88 | 88 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +94.9% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +92.2% | 87 | 88 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +92.2% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 86d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 86d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.18× | 26 | 22 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.46× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 0.24 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 8.32 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 1.49 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 71.47 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +20.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +20.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +887.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +887.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +7.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +20.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +78.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +78.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +0.9% | 23 | 24 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 9 | 23 | 24 |
| Listings on book | 13 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +72.3% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +287.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.9% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +0.9% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | -1.7% | 5 | 5 |
| Owner growth (60d) | -2.6% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | +135.4% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 12.67× | 65 | 63 |
| Top-1 holder share | +5.4% | 72 | 68 |
| Top-10 holder share | +18.8% | 73 | 69 |
| HHI (top-10) | 55.87 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | -1.7% | 29 | 24 |
| Absorption (60d) | -2.6% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | -151.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 93d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 1.42× | 78 | 76 |
| Store-price ratio | 1.41× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -45.4% | 28 | 29 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.04× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +53.1% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.99 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 50 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +0.7% | 65 | 64 |
| Momentum pillar | 56 | 65 | 69 |
| Scarcity pillar | 56 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 6 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 83 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 27 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 53 | 75 | 79 |
| Data completeness | +80.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.73× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.12× | 31 | 28 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.35× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.24× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.06× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.02× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +54.5% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -21.7% | 29 | 32 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -60.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 6 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 50 | 50 |
| Dump days (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 9 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +8.6% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +1.6% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -3 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.