Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 86%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Nov 15, 6:02 AM.
Price up 12.8% in 24h: significant bullish movement.
271 total supply: a relatively rare item.
Only 3.0% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~14.3 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 95% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Up 15pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Trading 226% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The widest gap in this pack is between the $7.74 lowest ask and the $2.20 median sale price, a 75.5% bid/ask spread with the best standing bid at just $2.22 and the cumulative bid floor at $1.88. The +54.2% 24h and +57.6% 6h moves put 7d return at the 95th percentile, yet 90d return and position in range both sit at the 5th percentile, and the 7d change is still -13.1%. In this single-regime market sharp spikes have tended to fade, so that surge reads as fade-risk. With the ask 300% above modelled fair value, one sale in 24h, and a liquidity score of 16/100, patience may be better rewarded than chasing. Grade C, 42/100.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 14h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +12.8% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +10.1% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +13.1% | 91 | 91 |
| Return (14d) | -29.2% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +53.9% | 78 | 71 |
| Return (60d) | +17.1% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -94.9% | 5 | 5 |
| Return (all) | -95.2% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +12.1% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +9.7% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +12.3% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -34.6% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +43.1% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +15.8% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -297.2% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -303.8% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $5.54 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $5.54 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $7.32 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $7.83 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $7.83 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $7.83 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $108.24 | — | — |
| High (all) | $115.64 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $5.54 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $4.91 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $4.90 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $4.90 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $3.60 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $1.50 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $1.50 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $1.50 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $5.54 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $5.16 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $6.04 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $6.25 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $5.29 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $4.12 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $8.77 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $12.63 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $5.54 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $5.03 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $5.54 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $6.41 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $5.01 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $4.00 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $4.82 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $4.91 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +12.8% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +49.4% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +59.8% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +117.5% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +422.0% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +7116.0% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +7609.3% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 22 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 46 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 64 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| Position in range (all) | 4 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -24.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -29.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -29.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -29.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -94.9% | 5 | 5 |
| Distance from high (all) | -95.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +12.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +13.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +13.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +53.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +269.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +269.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +269.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +7.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -8.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -11.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +4.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +34.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -36.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -56.1% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 12 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 18 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 24 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 26 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 7 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 12 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 25 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 42 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 43 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 40 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 36 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 42 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 36 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $6.04 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | -8.3% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | $6.25 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | -11.4% | — | — |
| SMA (21) | $5.87 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | -5.6% | — | — |
| SMA (30) | $5.29 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | +4.8% | 77 | 75 |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $6.04 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | -8.3% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | $6.25 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | -11.4% | — | — |
| EMA (30) | $5.29 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | +4.8% | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -2.0% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +1.9% | 89 | 80 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +2.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -3.5% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -4.4% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.19× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.39× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.56× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.15× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.24× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | +14.3% | 88 | 82 |
| Days since trend flip | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +25.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +23.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +17.5% | 71 | 68 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +17.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +24.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +24.1% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +12.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +10.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +15.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +37.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +68.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +98.6% | 95 | 95 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +98.7% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +94.9% | 95 | 95 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +95.2% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 89d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 93d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.24× | 64 | 54 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.08× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 0.73 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 0.5 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 1.79 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 2.61 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +49.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +49.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +49.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +75.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +75.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +31.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +31.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +31.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +31.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +68.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | +0.4% | 91 | 80 |
| On-market % | +3.0% | 86 | 85 |
| Days to clear listings | 8.0d | 22 | 31 |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 21 | 79 | 80 |
| Listings on book | 8 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +85.6% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +2.3% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +5.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +18.3% | 90 | 90 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +103.8% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +561.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 1.45 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 123d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 14.26× | 81 | 83 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +0.4% | 5 | 5 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +3.7% | 5 | 6 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 1.36 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 0 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 104d | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +226.2% | 91 | 94 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.09× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +59.9% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $1.88 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 51 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +15.1% | 91 | 91 |
| Momentum pillar | 36 | 7 | 5 |
| Scarcity pillar | 65 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 14 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 39 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 42 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 45 | 58 | 61 |
| Data completeness | +86.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 1.95× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.42× | 65 | 66 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.30× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.28× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.08× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.08× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -26.5% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +30.7% | 78 | 71 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -227.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 4 | 95 | 90 |
| Spike days (60d) | 7 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 11 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 3 | 90 | 90 |
| Dump days (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 12 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -6.6% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +4.5% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +2.9% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.