Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 75%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 28, 12:02 AM.
Price down 25.2% in 24h: significant selling pressure.
256 total supply: a relatively rare item.
~16.0 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
Average price down 34% over the past week versus the prior week.
RSI 26: beaten down and due for a potential bounce.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 83% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
27pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.
Trading 58% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
The listed price sits 43% above the best standing bid of $0.60; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The 24h gain of 35.3% sits inside a 7d decline of 26.5%, and in this single-regime market sharp spikes have more often faded than extended, so the bounce reads as fade-risk rather than a trend. The order book supports that caution: the $1.15 ask stands 92% above the best bid of $0.60, a 57.1% spread, with the cumulative bid floor down at $0.23. The model puts the listed price 78.9% above fair value. Supply is genuinely thin at 252 units across 16 owners (scarcity 59/100), but liquidity scores just 34/100 against 17 active listings. With oversold and deep-drawdown signals also firing, the cheaper path may be waiting for the ask to converge toward standing bids.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 8h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -25.2% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -29.5% | 10 | 9 |
| Return (14d) | -55.3% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -30.6% | 25 | 27 |
| Return (60d) | -82.8% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -82.8% | 16 | 15 |
| Return (all) | -82.8% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -29.1% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -35.0% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -80.6% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -36.6% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -175.8% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -175.8% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -175.8% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.86 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $1.22 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $1.92 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $1.98 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $4.99 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $4.99 | — | — |
| High (all) | $4.99 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.86 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.85 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.85 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.85 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.77 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.77 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.77 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.86 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $1.02 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $1.46 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $1.66 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $1.78 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $1.78 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $1.78 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.86 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $1.01 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $1.55 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $1.79 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $1.73 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $1.73 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $1.73 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | — | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +43.5% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +126.5% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +132.9% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +548.1% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +548.1% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +548.1% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 1 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 2 | 28 | 28 |
| Position in range (all) | 2 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -29.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -55.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -56.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -82.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -82.8% | 21 | 18 |
| Distance from high (all) | -82.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +1.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +1.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +1.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +11.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +11.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +11.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -15.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -41.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -48.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -51.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -51.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -51.8% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 7 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 11 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 11 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 11 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 8 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 15 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 23 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 23 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 23 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 20 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 32 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 32 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 32 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 32 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -8.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -1.6% | 39 | 39 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -1.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -1.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.8% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.89× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.27× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.18× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.18× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.18× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 9.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +36.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +18.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +15.6% | 60 | 60 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +21.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +21.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +21.1% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +10.0% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +14.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +14.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +57.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +84.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +84.6% | 76 | 78 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +84.6% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +82.8% | 79 | 82 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +82.8% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 45d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 45d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.04× | 43 | 42 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.17× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 0.67 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 0.53 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 1.46 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 2.62 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +35.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +35.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +37.9% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +61.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +61.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +30.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +30.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +30.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +48.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +48.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +7.0% | 90 | 93 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 50 | 90 | 93 |
| Listings on book | 18 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +35.6% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -64.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +9.6% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +29.4% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +105.7% | 95 | 95 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +4920.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +4920.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | +6.7% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | +14.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | +77.8% | 95 | 95 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 3.67 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 4.45 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 29d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 16.00× | 90 | 86 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +0.4% | 5 | 5 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +3.9% | 6 | 5 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 1.53 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 0 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | -28.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 55d | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +58.5% | 66 | 66 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.01× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +30.2% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.23 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 28 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -27.2% | 10 | 9 |
| Momentum pillar | 59 | 76 | 76 |
| Scarcity pillar | 59 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 39 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 52 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 39 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 45 | 47 | 46 |
| Data completeness | +74.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -1.87× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.64× | 71 | 66 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.24× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.37× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.18× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.05× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -50.5% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -38.9% | 23 | 25 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -83.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 50 |
| Spike days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 3 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 3 | 75 | 75 |
| Dump days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 6 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -12.6% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -4.1% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -4.1% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -3 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.