Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 85%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Nov 14, 4:02 AM.
Price up 6.5% in 24h: a mild upward trend.
313 total supply: a relatively rare item.
Only 2.9% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~15.7 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 68% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading 236% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
The median sale price sits 61% above the best standing bid of $2.35; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline number here is the gap between displayed price and real demand: the $4.64 ask and $3.79 median sale sit against a best standing bid of $1.35, a 109.8% bid/ask spread, with the median running 181% above that bid. The model reads the item 214% above fair value, and a liquidity score of 19/100 across 10 current listings offers little to absorb a repricing. The +14.9% week still lagged the market median by 4.1%, and the 90d return sits in the 5th percentile despite a 95th-percentile 30d cohort rank. Scarcity (63/100, 312 units) is the genuine support; the phantom price argues against treating this week's move as momentum.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 12h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +6.5% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +6.2% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +4.9% | 79 | 79 |
| Return (14d) | +23.5% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +130.8% | 91 | 95 |
| Return (60d) | +85.0% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -65.4% | 5 | 5 |
| Return (all) | -93.4% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +6.3% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +6.0% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +4.8% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +21.1% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +83.7% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +61.5% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -106.0% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -272.0% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $4.60 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $4.65 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $4.72 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $5.25 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $5.91 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $5.91 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $14.27 | — | — |
| High (all) | $75.00 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $4.60 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $4.60 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $4.37 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $3.65 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $2.14 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $1.29 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $1.29 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $1.29 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $4.60 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $4.63 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $4.63 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $4.38 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $4.64 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $3.52 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $5.34 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $7.78 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $4.60 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $4.64 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $4.65 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $4.62 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $4.68 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $3.68 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $4.57 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $4.68 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +1.1% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +8.0% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +43.8% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +176.2% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +358.1% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +1005.8% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +5714.0% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 59 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 65 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 72 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 26 | 24 | 29 |
| Position in range (all) | 4 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +7.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +6.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | +4.7% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -5.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -16.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -16.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -65.4% | 15 | 19 |
| Distance from high (all) | -93.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +7.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +7.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +13.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +35.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +130.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +282.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +282.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +282.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +7.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +6.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +6.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +12.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +6.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +40.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -7.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -36.5% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 9 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 18 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 24 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 25 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 7 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 17 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 28 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 48 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 54 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 40 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 36 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 35 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 39 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 32 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $4.63 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | +6.7% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | $4.38 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | +12.8% | — | — |
| SMA (21) | $4.60 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | +7.4% | — | — |
| SMA (30) | $4.64 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | +6.4% | 79 | 83 |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $4.63 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | +6.7% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | $4.38 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | +12.8% | — | — |
| EMA (30) | $4.64 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | +6.4% | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +1.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -0.0% | 58 | 68 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +1.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -1.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -2.8% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.36× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.00× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.50× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.18× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.27× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | -0.3% | 64 | 74 |
| Days since trend flip | 2.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +4.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +11.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +15.3% | 62 | 64 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +14.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +25.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +26.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +6.2% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +7.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +13.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +38.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +57.8% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +91.0% | 94 | 95 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +98.3% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +67.8% | 87 | 84 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +93.9% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 89d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 96d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.63× | 80 | 87 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.16× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.48 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 3.6 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 1.58 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 17.63 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +6.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +43.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +47.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +47.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +174.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +7.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +8.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +19.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +26.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +54.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +2.9% | 83 | 83 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 25 | 85 | 84 |
| Listings on book | 9 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +64.7% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +50.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +2.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +3.7% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +20.9% | 91 | 91 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +105.3% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +524.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 1.86 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 109d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 15.65× | 90 | 87 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +1.0% | 9 | 5 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +4.8% | 11 | 7 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 2.76 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 0 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 103d | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +235.6% | 91 | 91 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.08× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +52.4% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $1.65 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 63 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +6.8% | 79 | 79 |
| Momentum pillar | 49 | 26 | 31 |
| Scarcity pillar | 63 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 17 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 30 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 32 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 43 | 49 | 45 |
| Data completeness | +85.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 1.27× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 1.48× | 87 | 84 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.32× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.32× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.38× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.06× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +18.9% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +73.2% | 90 | 94 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -199.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 5 | 95 | 95 |
| Spike days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 8 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Dump days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 11 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +16.6% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +13.6% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +5.4% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -3 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.