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Back to Tactical Armour

Tactical Armourfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 86%.

Overall rating

?
Insight Engine v2
48/ 100
C
Momentum42
Scarcity63
Liquidity39
Value40
Risk56

Recomputed each sync: last updated Nov 14, 1:02 AM.

Signal narrative

Bullish
Low supply !!

282 total supply: a relatively rare item.

Holders are holding !!

Only 3.9% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Concentrated ownership

~12.3 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Deep drawdown

Down 100% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.

Outperforming the market !!

Up 12pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.

Above modelled fair value !!

Trading 153% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.

Market-wide fear

The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.

Signals are informational only: not financial advice.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

The dominant fact is valuation: Tactical Armour's $3.94 ask sits 148.9% above the model's fair value, which is hard to reconcile with a C grade and a 49/100 overall score. The supporting picture is thin liquidity, with a 30.7% bid/ask spread between the $3.94 ask and the $2.89 best standing bid, a $2.88 cumulative bid floor, and a liquidity score of 30/100. Scarcity is the genuine strength at 63/100 against 282 units in existence. The +3.7% week (a 12.9% edge over the market median) reads as a bounce inside a deep drawdown rather than a trend, given 5th-percentile marks for 90d return, position in range, and distance from high.

AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 9h ago Β· Not financial advice β€” automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

108/113 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Return (3d)-0.3%β€”β€”
Return (7d)+10.4%
84
89
Return (14d)+12.6%β€”β€”
Return (30d)-45.0%
6
5
Return (60d)-31.7%β€”β€”
Return (90d)-54.9%
5
5
Return (all)-93.2%β€”β€”
Log return (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Log return (3d)-0.3%β€”β€”
Log return (7d)+9.9%β€”β€”
Log return (14d)+11.8%β€”β€”
Log return (30d)-59.7%β€”β€”
Log return (60d)-38.1%β€”β€”
Log return (90d)-79.6%β€”β€”
Log return (all)-268.4%β€”β€”
High (24h)$3.94β€”β€”
High (3d)$3.95β€”β€”
High (7d)$3.95β€”β€”
High (14d)$3.95β€”β€”
High (30d)$7.16β€”β€”
High (60d)$7.16β€”β€”
High (90d)$1,745.95β€”β€”
High (all)$1,745.95β€”β€”
Low (24h)$3.94β€”β€”
Low (3d)$3.94β€”β€”
Low (7d)$3.57β€”β€”
Low (14d)$3.50β€”β€”
Low (30d)$3.49β€”β€”
Low (60d)$3.00β€”β€”
Low (90d)$3.00β€”β€”
Low (all)$3.00β€”β€”
Mean price (24h)$3.94β€”β€”
Mean price (3d)$3.94β€”β€”
Mean price (7d)$3.75β€”β€”
Mean price (14d)$3.67β€”β€”
Mean price (30d)$4.22β€”β€”
Mean price (60d)$4.22β€”β€”
Mean price (90d)$49.52β€”β€”
Mean price (all)$48.33β€”β€”
Median price (24h)$3.94β€”β€”
Median price (3d)$3.94β€”β€”
Median price (7d)$3.65β€”β€”
Median price (14d)$3.60β€”β€”
Median price (30d)$3.94β€”β€”
Median price (60d)$3.85β€”β€”
Median price (90d)$4.43β€”β€”
Median price (all)$4.73β€”β€”
Range % (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (3d)+0.3%β€”β€”
Range % (7d)+10.6%β€”β€”
Range % (14d)+12.9%β€”β€”
Range % (30d)+105.2%β€”β€”
Range % (60d)+138.7%β€”β€”
Range % (90d)+58098.3%β€”β€”
Range % (all)+58098.3%β€”β€”
Position in range (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (14d)98β€”β€”
Position in range (30d)12β€”β€”
Position in range (60d)23β€”β€”
Position in range (90d)0
5
5
Position in range (all)0β€”β€”
Distance from high (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (3d)-0.3%β€”β€”
Distance from high (7d)-0.3%β€”β€”
Distance from high (14d)-0.3%β€”β€”
Distance from high (30d)-45.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (60d)-45.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (90d)-99.8%
5
5
Distance from high (all)-99.8%β€”β€”
Distance from low (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (7d)+10.4%β€”β€”
Distance from low (14d)+12.6%β€”β€”
Distance from low (30d)+12.9%β€”β€”
Distance from low (60d)+31.3%β€”β€”
Distance from low (90d)+31.3%β€”β€”
Distance from low (all)+31.3%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (3d)-0.1%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (7d)+4.9%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (14d)+7.4%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (30d)-6.7%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (60d)-6.6%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (90d)-92.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (all)-91.8%β€”β€”
Up days (24h)0β€”β€”
Up days (3d)0β€”β€”
Up days (7d)2β€”β€”
Up days (14d)4β€”β€”
Up days (30d)7β€”β€”
Up days (60d)16β€”β€”
Up days (90d)23β€”β€”
Up days (all)24β€”β€”
Down days (24h)0β€”β€”
Down days (3d)1β€”β€”
Down days (7d)3β€”β€”
Down days (14d)5β€”β€”
Down days (30d)15β€”β€”
Down days (60d)27β€”β€”
Down days (90d)38β€”β€”
Down days (all)42β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (3d)0β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (7d)40β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (14d)44β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (30d)32β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (60d)37β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (90d)38β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (all)36β€”β€”
Up-day streak0.0dβ€”β€”

Trend

26/38 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
SMA (7)$3.75β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (7)+4.9%β€”β€”
SMA (14)$3.67β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (14)+7.4%β€”β€”
SMA (21)$3.84β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (21)+2.6%β€”β€”
SMA (30)$4.22β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (30)-6.7%
47
39
SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (7)$3.75β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (7)+4.9%β€”β€”
EMA (14)$3.67β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (14)+7.4%β€”β€”
EMA (30)$4.22β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (30)-6.7%β€”β€”
RSI (7)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (14)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (21)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (50)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (100)β€”β€”β€”
Trend slope (14d)+0.7%β€”β€”
Trend slope (30d)-1.7%
18
9
Trend slope (60d)-0.4%β€”β€”
Trend slope (90d)-5.0%β€”β€”
Trend slope (all)-4.1%β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (14d)0.52Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (30d)0.51Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (60d)0.10Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (90d)0.04Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (all)0.03Γ—β€”β€”
SMA 7/30 cross-11.1%
29
24
Days since trend flip5.0dβ€”β€”

Volatility & risk

33/33 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return stdev (7d)+3.8%β€”β€”
Return stdev (14d)+3.2%β€”β€”
Return stdev (30d)+10.1%
43
43
Return stdev (60d)+10.5%β€”β€”
Return stdev (90d)+84.3%β€”β€”
Return stdev (all)+83.6%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (30d)+8.2%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (60d)+7.1%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (90d)+19.8%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (30d)+51.3%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (60d)+51.3%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (90d)+99.8%
95
95
Max drawdown (all)+99.8%β€”β€”
Current drawdown (90d)+99.8%
95
95
Current drawdown (all)+99.8%β€”β€”
Drawdown duration (90d)76dβ€”β€”
Drawdown duration (all)76dβ€”β€”
Sortino ratio (30d)-0.19Γ—
19
13
Sortino ratio (90d)16.24Γ—β€”β€”
Return skew (30d)-0.08β€”β€”
Return skew (90d)8.83β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (30d)2.49β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (90d)77.99β€”β€”
Largest up day (7d)+9.4%β€”β€”
Largest up day (14d)+9.4%β€”β€”
Largest up day (30d)+22.3%β€”β€”
Largest up day (60d)+30.7%β€”β€”
Largest up day (90d)+25258.8%β€”β€”
Largest down day (7d)+0.8%β€”β€”
Largest down day (14d)+3.2%β€”β€”
Largest down day (30d)+27.7%β€”β€”
Largest down day (60d)+27.7%β€”β€”
Largest down day (90d)+99.0%β€”β€”

Liquidity

6/20 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Turnover %β€”β€”β€”
On-market %+3.9%
92
91
Days to clear listingsβ€”β€”β€”
Lifetime sales / dayneeds provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime salesβ€”β€”
Liquidity score32
93
93
Listings on book11β€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (7d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (14d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Bid-ask spread %+17.7%β€”β€”
Near-mid bid imbalance0.33Γ—β€”β€”
Bid-depth trend (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Bid-floor migration (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”

Supply & ownership

13/21 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Supply growth (7d)+1.1%β€”β€”
Supply growth (14d)+2.2%β€”β€”
Supply growth (30d)+22.1%
91
91
Supply growth (60d)+108.9%β€”β€”
Supply growth (90d)+432.1%β€”β€”
Owner growth (7d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (14d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (30d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (60d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”
Owner growth (90d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”
Mint rate (7d)0.5β€”β€”
Mint rate (30d)1.76β€”β€”
Supply doubling time104dβ€”β€”
Copies per ownern/s12.26Γ—
62
63
Top-1 holder sharen/s+0.4%
5
5
Top-10 holder sharen/s+3.5%
5
5
HHI (top-10)n/s1.26β€”β€”
Whale count (β‰₯5)n/s0β€”β€”
Absorption (30d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”
Absorption (60d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”
Absorption (90d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”

Lifecycle & value

14/18 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Age103dβ€”β€”
Days since fixationn/sβ€”β€”β€”
Days until leaving storen/sβ€”β€”β€”
Release-price multipleβ€”β€”β€”
Store-price ratioβ€”β€”β€”
Fair-value residual+152.5%
83
87
Price per scarcity point0.06Γ—β€”β€”
Instant-sell discount+16.2%β€”β€”
Bid-floor backing$2.88β€”β€”
Accumulation score33β€”β€”
Market-relative 7d return+12.3%
84
89
Momentum pillar42
12
7
Scarcity pillar63β€”β€”
Liquidity pillar39β€”β€”
Value pillar40β€”β€”
Risk pillar56β€”β€”
Overall rating52
82
82
Data completeness+85.7%β€”β€”

Relative to market

9/9 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Beta vs market (14d)0.32Γ—β€”β€”
Beta vs market (30d)-0.55Γ—
9
10
Beta vs market (90d)-11.75Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (14d)0.33Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (30d)-0.25Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (90d)-0.02Γ—β€”β€”
Return vs market (14d)+16.2%β€”β€”
Return vs market (30d)-87.1%
6
5
Return vs market (90d)-187.4%β€”β€”

Events

12/15 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Spike days (30d)2
75
75
Spike days (60d)5β€”β€”
Spike days (90d)9β€”β€”
Dump days (30d)3
90
90
Dump days (60d)4β€”β€”
Dump days (90d)10β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (30d)-9.4%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (60d)+0.7%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (90d)+0.3%β€”β€”
Listing shocks (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Net spike bias (30d)-1β€”β€”
Net spike bias (60d)1β€”β€”
Net spike bias (90d)-1β€”β€”

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. β€œn/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.