Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 75%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 18, 6:02 AM.
Price down 17.2% in 24h: significant selling pressure.
Down 10.0% in the last 6 hours: near-term weakness.
471 units so far, but the drop is still active — today's count understates final supply.
~10.2 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (471 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Average price up 30% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 99% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
17pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.
Trading 83% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.
The listed price sits 117% above the best standing bid of $0.12; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
Sweatband White screens as deeply cheap, trading 83.4% below the fair-value model at a $0.24 lowest ask, but the order book tempers that read. The best standing bid is only $0.12, leaving a 66.7% spread and a listed price 117% above real bids. The 7-day gain of 30.4% is already unwinding, with the price down 17.2% over 24h and 10.0% over 6h, consistent with the contrarian view that spikes in this market tend to fade. Ownership is concentrated among 46 owners of 471 units, and the safety score is 23/100. Despite a 95/100 value score, support this thin suggests waiting for bids to firm may be worth considering.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 15h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -17.2% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -17.2% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -25.0% | 18 | 24 |
| Return (14d) | +4.3% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -60.7% | 5 | 5 |
| Return (60d) | -40.0% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -99.3% | 5 | 5 |
| Return (all) | -99.3% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -18.9% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -18.9% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -28.8% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +4.3% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -93.3% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -51.1% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -493.0% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -493.0% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.29 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.32 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.38 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.61 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $6.62 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $33.21 | — | — |
| High (all) | $33.21 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.21 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.27 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.29 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.29 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.32 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.58 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $1.11 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $1.11 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.27 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.31 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.30 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.28 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.41 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.38 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.38 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +20.8% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +33.3% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +81.0% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +238.9% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +3577.8% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +18350.0% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +18350.0% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 18 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 14 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 0 | 19 | 25 |
| Position in range (all) | 0 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -17.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -25.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -36.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -60.7% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -96.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -99.3% | 5 | 5 |
| Distance from high (all) | -99.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +14.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +33.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +33.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +33.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +33.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -9.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -18.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -17.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -25.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -58.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -78.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -78.4% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 9 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 18 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 18 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 6 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 14 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 28 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 39 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 39 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 14 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 13 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 24 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 32 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 32 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +1.7% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -2.9% | 9 | 10 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -1.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -3.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -3.9% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.06× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.25× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.02× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.06× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.06× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +8.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +23.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +21.5% | 77 | 76 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +51.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +65.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +65.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +11.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +18.1% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +24.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +70.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +97.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +99.5% | 95 | 95 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +99.5% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +99.3% | 95 | 95 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +99.3% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 83d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 83d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.13× | 35 | 38 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 1.18× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 2.19 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 7.69 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 6.64 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 62.43 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +81.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +81.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +2035.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +2035.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +17.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +17.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +42.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +76.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +94.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +8.7% | 94 | 94 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 58 | 95 | 94 |
| Listings on book | 41 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +66.7% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +3.3% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +6.6% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +16.6% | 80 | 86 |
| Supply growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +2373.7% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | -2.1% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | -2.1% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | +2.2% | 59 | 65 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | +43.8% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | +4500.0% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 2.5 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 2.31 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 135d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 10.24× | 40 | 40 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +1.9% | 32 | 29 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +6.2% | 23 | 17 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 6.18 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 1 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | -14.4% | 6 | 5 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | +2126.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -83.4% | 5 | 5 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.01× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +50.0% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.12 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 50 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -17.1% | 18 | 24 |
| Momentum pillar | 43 | 11 | 10 |
| Scarcity pillar | 42 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 41 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 95 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 23 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 52 | 59 | 61 |
| Data completeness | +75.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 2.27× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 3.04× | 95 | 95 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 4.64× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.43× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.55× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.13× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +1.9% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -64.1% | 5 | 5 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -70.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 9 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 5 | 95 | 95 |
| Dump days (60d) | 11 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 17 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -13.1% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -20.1% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -5 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -8 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.