Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 84%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Nov 3, 5:02 PM.
Only 0.5% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~10.8 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (550 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Average price up 159% over the past week versus the prior week.
RSI 79: stretched to the upside and prone to a pullback.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 84% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Up 132pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Trading 68% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.
The median sale price sits 569% above the best standing bid of $0.16; you could not actually sell there right now.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline number is a 158.8% seven-day gain, 95th percentile for weekly return, but in this single-regime market sharp spikes have tended to fade, so that reads as fade-risk rather than continuation, and the overbought RSI signal supports the caution. The more pressing issue is structural: the median sale price of $1.07 sits 569% above the best standing bid of $0.16, with a 147.5% bid/ask spread and a liquidity score of 5/100 on a current observation of one sale in 24h across three listings. The -68.2% discount to modelled fair value and 550 total units are genuinely supportive, but with a fresh drop and a C grade (43/100), the displayed floor is thinly defended.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 1h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +1.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +130.4% | 95 | 95 |
| Return (14d) | +171.8% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +457.9% | 95 | 95 |
| Return (60d) | +360.9% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | +125.5% | 81 | 86 |
| Return (all) | -96.8% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +0.9% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +83.5% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +100.0% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +171.9% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +152.8% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | +81.3% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -344.5% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $1.06 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $1.06 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $1.06 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $1.06 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $1.06 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $1.06 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $6.62 | — | — |
| High (all) | $33.21 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $1.06 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $1.05 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.41 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.29 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.16 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.16 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.16 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.16 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $1.06 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $1.06 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.88 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.61 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.34 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.49 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $0.85 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $1.06 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $1.06 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $1.06 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.40 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.31 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.30 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.32 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +1.0% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +158.5% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +265.5% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +562.5% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +562.5% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +4037.5% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +20656.3% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 100 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 100 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 100 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 14 | 11 | 13 |
| Position in range (all) | 3 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -84.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Distance from high (all) | -96.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +1.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +158.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +265.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +562.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +562.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +562.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +562.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +20.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +73.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +152.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +210.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +114.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | +25.1% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 7 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 12 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 15 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 29 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 9 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 19 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 36 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 52 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 100 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 44 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 44 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 39 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 29 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 36 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $0.88 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | +20.5% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | $0.61 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | +73.8% | — | — |
| SMA (21) | $0.51 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | +106.3% | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $0.88 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | +20.5% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | $0.61 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | +73.8% | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +11.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +7.0% | 95 | 95 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +2.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -2.4% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.70× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.64× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.34× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.05× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.05× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 6.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +40.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +29.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +23.7% | 74 | 76 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +22.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +44.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +54.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +6.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +9.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +16.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +38.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +57.9% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +97.6% | 95 | 95 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +99.5% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +84.0% | 95 | 95 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +96.8% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 84d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 130d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 1.43× | 90 | 90 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 1.59× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 3.28 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 8.73 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 12.27 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 77.36 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +158.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +158.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +158.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +158.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +2035.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +10.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +21.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +21.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +42.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +76.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | +0.2% | 76 | 82 |
| On-market % | +0.5% | 18 | 18 |
| Days to clear listings | 3.0d | 5 | 5 |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 7 | 35 | 33 |
| Listings on book | 3 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +147.5% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +6.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +1.1% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +4.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +11.6% | 82 | 89 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +24.4% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +57.6% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 1.97 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 190d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 10.78× | 46 | 47 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +2.7% | 44 | 38 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +8.0% | 31 | 25 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 13.02 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 2 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -67.7% | 13 | 14 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.02× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +84.9% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.16 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 54 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +131.8% | 95 | 95 |
| Momentum pillar | 29 | 9 | 9 |
| Scarcity pillar | 64 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 5 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 85 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 11 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 43 | 54 | 51 |
| Data completeness | +83.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 5.96× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.67× | 53 | 46 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 6.53× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.35× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.15× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.17× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +172.5% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +306.1% | 95 | 95 |
| Return vs market (90d) | +1.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 4 | 83 | 90 |
| Spike days (60d) | 7 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 10 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Dump days (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 13 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +10.2% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +7.9% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -2.2% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -3 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.