Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 76%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 18, 4:02 AM.
348 units so far, but the drop is still active β today's count understates final supply.
Only 4.3% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~12.4 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (348 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Average price down 20% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 84% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.
The listed price sits 44% above the best standing bid of $2.21; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
Sweatband Purple has fallen 20.1% over seven days, yet it still beats the market median by 4.7%, which in this single-regime market reads more as a possible recovery setup than a broken trend. The $2.80 lowest ask sits below the $3.18 median sale and right at the fair-value model (-0.0%), though a 7.2% drop over six hours suggests selling has not fully settled. The structure is thin: 28 owners hold 347 units, 15 listings are active, the bid/ask spread is 19.2% with the best bid at $2.31, and absorption ranks in the 5th percentile. With spike days in the 90th percentile, any entry near $2.80 might come with a volatile path.
AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 12h ago Β· Not financial advice β automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -0.4% | β | β |
| Return (3d) | -0.4% | β | β |
| Return (7d) | -0.2% | 75 | 75 |
| Return (14d) | -19.1% | β | β |
| Return (30d) | -31.4% | 28 | 29 |
| Return (60d) | -23.3% | β | β |
| Return (90d) | -83.0% | 22 | 20 |
| Return (all) | -83.0% | β | β |
| Log return (24h) | -0.4% | β | β |
| Log return (3d) | -0.4% | β | β |
| Log return (7d) | -0.2% | β | β |
| Log return (14d) | -21.2% | β | β |
| Log return (30d) | -37.6% | β | β |
| Log return (60d) | -26.5% | β | β |
| Log return (90d) | -177.0% | β | β |
| Log return (all) | -177.0% | β | β |
| High (24h) | β | β | β |
| High (3d) | $2.81 | β | β |
| High (7d) | $2.81 | β | β |
| High (14d) | $3.46 | β | β |
| High (30d) | $4.51 | β | β |
| High (60d) | $5.03 | β | β |
| High (90d) | $17.80 | β | β |
| High (all) | $17.80 | β | β |
| Low (24h) | β | β | β |
| Low (3d) | $2.80 | β | β |
| Low (7d) | $2.80 | β | β |
| Low (14d) | $2.80 | β | β |
| Low (30d) | $2.80 | β | β |
| Low (60d) | $2.13 | β | β |
| Low (90d) | $2.13 | β | β |
| Low (all) | $2.13 | β | β |
| Mean price (24h) | β | β | β |
| Mean price (3d) | $2.80 | β | β |
| Mean price (7d) | $2.80 | β | β |
| Mean price (14d) | $2.98 | β | β |
| Mean price (30d) | $3.26 | β | β |
| Mean price (60d) | $3.35 | β | β |
| Mean price (90d) | $4.37 | β | β |
| Mean price (all) | $4.37 | β | β |
| Median price (24h) | β | β | β |
| Median price (3d) | $2.80 | β | β |
| Median price (7d) | $2.80 | β | β |
| Median price (14d) | $2.90 | β | β |
| Median price (30d) | $3.00 | β | β |
| Median price (60d) | $3.30 | β | β |
| Median price (90d) | $3.47 | β | β |
| Median price (all) | $3.47 | β | β |
| Range % (24h) | β | β | β |
| Range % (3d) | +0.4% | β | β |
| Range % (7d) | +0.4% | β | β |
| Range % (14d) | +23.6% | β | β |
| Range % (30d) | +61.1% | β | β |
| Range % (60d) | +136.2% | β | β |
| Range % (90d) | +735.7% | β | β |
| Range % (all) | +735.7% | β | β |
| Position in range (24h) | β | β | β |
| Position in range (3d) | β | β | β |
| Position in range (7d) | β | β | β |
| Position in range (14d) | 0 | β | β |
| Position in range (30d) | 0 | β | β |
| Position in range (60d) | 23 | β | β |
| Position in range (90d) | 4 | 46 | 47 |
| Position in range (all) | 4 | β | β |
| Distance from high (24h) | β | β | β |
| Distance from high (3d) | -0.4% | β | β |
| Distance from high (7d) | -0.4% | β | β |
| Distance from high (14d) | -19.1% | β | β |
| Distance from high (30d) | -37.9% | β | β |
| Distance from high (60d) | -44.3% | β | β |
| Distance from high (90d) | -84.3% | 25 | 23 |
| Distance from high (all) | -84.3% | β | β |
| Distance from low (24h) | β | β | β |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | β | β |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | β | β |
| Distance from low (14d) | +0.0% | β | β |
| Distance from low (30d) | +0.0% | β | β |
| Distance from low (60d) | +31.5% | β | β |
| Distance from low (90d) | +31.5% | β | β |
| Distance from low (all) | +31.5% | β | β |
| Price vs mean (24h) | β | β | β |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -0.2% | β | β |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -0.2% | β | β |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -6.0% | β | β |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -14.1% | β | β |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -16.5% | β | β |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -36.0% | β | β |
| Price vs mean (all) | -36.0% | β | β |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | β | β |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | β | β |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | β | β |
| Up days (14d) | 3 | β | β |
| Up days (30d) | 7 | β | β |
| Up days (60d) | 15 | β | β |
| Up days (90d) | 23 | β | β |
| Up days (all) | 23 | β | β |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | β | β |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | β | β |
| Down days (7d) | 2 | β | β |
| Down days (14d) | 6 | β | β |
| Down days (30d) | 11 | β | β |
| Down days (60d) | 29 | β | β |
| Down days (90d) | 44 | β | β |
| Down days (all) | 44 | β | β |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | β | β | β |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | β | β |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 33 | β | β |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 33 | β | β |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 39 | β | β |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 34 | β | β |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 34 | β | β |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 34 | β | β |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | β | β |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | β | β | β |
| Price vs SMA (7) | β | β | β |
| SMA (14) | β | β | β |
| Price vs SMA (14) | β | β | β |
| SMA (21) | β | β | β |
| Price vs SMA (21) | β | β | β |
| SMA (30) | β | β | β |
| Price vs SMA (30) | β | β | β |
| SMA (50) | β | β | β |
| Price vs SMA (50) | β | β | β |
| SMA (90) | β | β | β |
| Price vs SMA (90) | β | β | β |
| SMA (100) | β | β | β |
| Price vs SMA (100) | β | β | β |
| EMA (7) | β | β | β |
| Price vs EMA (7) | β | β | β |
| EMA (14) | β | β | β |
| Price vs EMA (14) | β | β | β |
| EMA (30) | β | β | β |
| Price vs EMA (30) | β | β | β |
| RSI (7) | β | β | β |
| RSI (14) | β | β | β |
| RSI (21) | β | β | β |
| RSI (30) | β | β | β |
| RSI (50) | β | β | β |
| RSI (100) | β | β | β |
| Trend slope (14d) | -2.1% | β | β |
| Trend slope (30d) | -1.3% | 29 | 30 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.3% | β | β |
| Trend slope (90d) | -1.8% | β | β |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.8% | β | β |
| Trend fit RΒ² (14d) | 0.75Γ | β | β |
| Trend fit RΒ² (30d) | 0.28Γ | β | β |
| Trend fit RΒ² (60d) | 0.06Γ | β | β |
| Trend fit RΒ² (90d) | 0.28Γ | β | β |
| Trend fit RΒ² (all) | 0.28Γ | β | β |
| SMA 7/30 cross | β | β | β |
| Days since trend flip | 10d | β | β |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +0.3% | β | β |
| Return stdev (14d) | +4.1% | β | β |
| Return stdev (30d) | +11.1% | 46 | 47 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +16.6% | β | β |
| Return stdev (90d) | +17.6% | β | β |
| Return stdev (all) | +17.6% | β | β |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +8.3% | β | β |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +8.5% | β | β |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +10.7% | β | β |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +37.9% | β | β |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +54.3% | β | β |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +88.0% | 74 | 77 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +88.0% | β | β |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +84.3% | 75 | 77 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +84.3% | β | β |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 80d | β | β |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 80d | β | β |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.13Γ | 35 | 38 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.08Γ | β | β |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.07 | β | β |
| Return skew (90d) | 2.01 | β | β |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 5.2 | β | β |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 10.23 | β | β |
| Largest up day (7d) | +0.4% | β | β |
| Largest up day (14d) | +0.5% | β | β |
| Largest up day (30d) | +34.6% | β | β |
| Largest up day (60d) | +94.2% | β | β |
| Largest up day (90d) | +94.2% | β | β |
| Largest down day (7d) | +0.4% | β | β |
| Largest down day (14d) | +11.3% | β | β |
| Largest down day (30d) | +26.8% | β | β |
| Largest down day (60d) | +26.8% | β | β |
| Largest down day (90d) | +53.7% | β | β |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | β | β | β |
| On-market % | +4.3% | 81 | 80 |
| Days to clear listings | β | β | β |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | β | β |
| Liquidity score | 35 | 82 | 81 |
| Listings on book | 15 | β | β |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | β | β |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | β | β |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | β | β |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | β | β |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | β | β |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | β | β |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | β | β |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | β | β |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | β | β |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | β | β |
| Bid-ask spread % | +23.6% | β | β |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | β | β | β |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | β | β | β |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -65.8% | β | β |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +4.2% | β | β |
| Supply growth (14d) | +8.1% | β | β |
| Supply growth (30d) | +16.8% | 80 | 86 |
| Supply growth (60d) | β | β | β |
| Supply growth (90d) | +3755.6% | β | β |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | +0.0% | β | β |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | +0.0% | β | β |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | +3.7% | 67 | 75 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | +33.3% | β | β |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | β | β | β |
| Mint rate (7d) | 2.33 | β | β |
| Mint rate (30d) | 1.72 | β | β |
| Supply doubling time | 134d | β | β |
| Copies per ownern/s | 12.43Γ | 65 | 63 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +3.2% | 50 | 46 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +12.6% | 52 | 44 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 23.95 | β | β |
| Whale count (β₯5)n/s | 3 | β | β |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | -13.1% | 7 | 5 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | β | β | β |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | β | β | β |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | β | β |
| Days since fixationn/s | β | β | β |
| Days until leaving storen/s | β | β | β |
| Release-price multiple | β | β | β |
| Store-price ratio | β | β | β |
| Fair-value residual | +0.0% | 52 | 53 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.05Γ | β | β |
| Instant-sell discount | +21.1% | β | β |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.80 | β | β |
| Accumulation score | 54 | β | β |
| Market-relative 7d return | +7.8% | 75 | 75 |
| Momentum pillar | 46 | 18 | 19 |
| Scarcity pillar | 59 | β | β |
| Liquidity pillar | 37 | β | β |
| Value pillar | 68 | β | β |
| Risk pillar | 28 | β | β |
| Overall rating | 49 | 51 | 53 |
| Data completeness | +75.7% | β | β |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -0.35Γ | β | β |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.29Γ | 24 | 22 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.40Γ | β | β |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.54Γ | β | β |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.13Γ | β | β |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.15Γ | β | β |
| Return vs market (14d) | -21.6% | β | β |
| Return vs market (30d) | -34.8% | 27 | 28 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -54.2% | β | β |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 6 | β | β |
| Spike days (90d) | 8 | β | β |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 63 | 63 |
| Dump days (60d) | 6 | β | β |
| Dump days (90d) | 10 | β | β |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -4.7% | β | β |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -1.7% | β | β |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -1.2% | β | β |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | β | β |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | β | β |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | β | β |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 0 | β | β |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 0 | β | β |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -2 | β | β |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. βn/sβ marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.