Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 82%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Nov 2, 8:02 PM.
411 units so far, but the drop is still active — today's count understates final supply.
Only 3.2% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~12.1 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (411 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Average price down 22% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 40% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
24pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.
Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.
The median sale price sits 85% above the best standing bid of $2.02; you could not actually sell there right now.
Order-book support has been building (accumulation score 66/100), with bid depth, value and floor all rising over the past week.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
Sweatband Purple has given back 22.5% over the past week, which puts it in the 5th percentile for both raw and market-relative 7d return, yet the momentum pillar sits at the 95th percentile because in this single-regime market sharp drops have historically tended to recover, so the decline reads as a possible recovery setup rather than a trend to extrapolate. The caution is structural: the bid/ask spread is 39%, the median sale of $3.73 sits 85% above the best standing bid of $2.02, and the cumulative bid floor is $1.26. With liquidity at 20/100, risk/safety at 16/100, and 411 units in existence against a fresh-drop lifecycle, the $3.00 ask is exactly at model fair value, so any edge here comes from where the real bids are, not the displayed price.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 4h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -21.3% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -24.8% | 8 | 10 |
| Return (14d) | -37.0% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +17.6% | 26 | 28 |
| Return (60d) | -26.7% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -8.8% | 31 | 31 |
| Return (all) | -81.7% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -23.9% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -28.5% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -46.2% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +16.3% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -31.0% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -9.2% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -170.1% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $3.00 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $3.81 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $3.99 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $4.88 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $4.88 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $4.88 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $5.03 | — | — |
| High (all) | $17.80 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $3.00 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $3.00 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $3.00 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $3.00 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $1.66 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $1.66 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $1.66 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $1.66 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $3.00 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $3.27 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $3.65 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $4.18 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $3.62 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $3.20 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $3.23 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $3.99 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $3.00 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $3.00 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $3.86 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $4.19 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $3.94 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $2.82 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $2.91 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $3.38 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +27.0% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +33.0% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +62.7% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +194.0% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +194.0% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +203.0% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +972.3% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 42 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 42 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 40 | 33 | 40 |
| Position in range (all) | 8 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -21.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -24.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -38.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -38.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -38.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -40.4% | 38 | 43 |
| Distance from high (all) | -83.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +80.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +80.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +80.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +80.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -8.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -17.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -28.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -17.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -6.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -7.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -24.7% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 5 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 9 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 18 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 29 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 4 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 8 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 12 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 28 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 40 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 65 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 11 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 29 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 24 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 31 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 31 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $3.65 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | -17.7% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | $4.18 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | -28.2% | — | — |
| SMA (21) | $4.04 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | -25.7% | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $3.65 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | -17.7% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | $4.18 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | -28.2% | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -3.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +2.2% | 51 | 56 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +0.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.86× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.26× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.19× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.04× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.16× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 8.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +9.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +6.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +18.0% | 53 | 53 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +14.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +16.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +16.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +10.0% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +8.1% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +9.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +38.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +59.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +67.0% | 64 | 63 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +90.7% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +40.4% | 63 | 59 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +83.1% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 80d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 126d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.24× | 26 | 30 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.16× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 2.42 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 2.58 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 6.93 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 8.83 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +3.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +69.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +69.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +94.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +21.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +21.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +32.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +32.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +32.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +3.2% | 91 | 92 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 27 | 92 | 91 |
| Listings on book | 13 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +39.0% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -16.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +2.5% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +10.5% | 78 | 85 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +28.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +46.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0.17 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 1.34 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 209d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 12.09× | 62 | 62 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +2.7% | 43 | 37 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +10.9% | 45 | 38 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 17.35 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 3 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +0.0% | 50 | 55 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.05× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +32.7% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $1.26 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 66 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -24.4% | 8 | 10 |
| Momentum pillar | 66 | 95 | 95 |
| Scarcity pillar | 60 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 20 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 54 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 16 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 45 | 65 | 64 |
| Data completeness | +82.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.98× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 1.27× | 76 | 68 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 1.00× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.44× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.49× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.31× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -42.6% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -140.0% | 27 | 29 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -138.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 50 | 50 |
| Spike days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 8 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Dump days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 8 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -1.3% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 0 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.