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The dedicated S&box cosmetics market tracker. Live prices, drops and supply for every sbox skin on the Steam Community Market.

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Back to Sweatband Purple

Sweatband Purplefull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 76%.

Overall rating

?Fresh drop
Insight Engine v2
47/ 100
C†
Momentum46
Scarcity59
Liquidity37
Value68
Risk28

Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 18, 4:02 AM.

Signal narrative

Neutral
Early supply reading

348 units so far, but the drop is still active β€” today's count understates final supply.

Holders are holding !!

Only 4.3% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Concentrated ownership

~12.4 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Item drop !!

A random in-game drop (348 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.

Weekly downtrend !!

Average price down 20% over the past week versus the prior week.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Deep drawdown

Down 84% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.

Fresh drop

Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.

Phantom price !!

The listed price sits 44% above the best standing bid of $2.21; you could not actually sell there right now.

Market-wide fear

The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.

Signals are informational only: not financial advice.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

Sweatband Purple has fallen 20.1% over seven days, yet it still beats the market median by 4.7%, which in this single-regime market reads more as a possible recovery setup than a broken trend. The $2.80 lowest ask sits below the $3.18 median sale and right at the fair-value model (-0.0%), though a 7.2% drop over six hours suggests selling has not fully settled. The structure is thin: 28 owners hold 347 units, 15 listings are active, the bid/ask spread is 19.2% with the best bid at $2.31, and absorption ranks in the 5th percentile. With spike days in the 90th percentile, any entry near $2.80 might come with a volatile path.

AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 12h ago Β· Not financial advice β€” automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

101/113 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return (24h)-0.4%β€”β€”
Return (3d)-0.4%β€”β€”
Return (7d)-0.2%
75
75
Return (14d)-19.1%β€”β€”
Return (30d)-31.4%
28
29
Return (60d)-23.3%β€”β€”
Return (90d)-83.0%
22
20
Return (all)-83.0%β€”β€”
Log return (24h)-0.4%β€”β€”
Log return (3d)-0.4%β€”β€”
Log return (7d)-0.2%β€”β€”
Log return (14d)-21.2%β€”β€”
Log return (30d)-37.6%β€”β€”
Log return (60d)-26.5%β€”β€”
Log return (90d)-177.0%β€”β€”
Log return (all)-177.0%β€”β€”
High (24h)β€”β€”β€”
High (3d)$2.81β€”β€”
High (7d)$2.81β€”β€”
High (14d)$3.46β€”β€”
High (30d)$4.51β€”β€”
High (60d)$5.03β€”β€”
High (90d)$17.80β€”β€”
High (all)$17.80β€”β€”
Low (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Low (3d)$2.80β€”β€”
Low (7d)$2.80β€”β€”
Low (14d)$2.80β€”β€”
Low (30d)$2.80β€”β€”
Low (60d)$2.13β€”β€”
Low (90d)$2.13β€”β€”
Low (all)$2.13β€”β€”
Mean price (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Mean price (3d)$2.80β€”β€”
Mean price (7d)$2.80β€”β€”
Mean price (14d)$2.98β€”β€”
Mean price (30d)$3.26β€”β€”
Mean price (60d)$3.35β€”β€”
Mean price (90d)$4.37β€”β€”
Mean price (all)$4.37β€”β€”
Median price (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Median price (3d)$2.80β€”β€”
Median price (7d)$2.80β€”β€”
Median price (14d)$2.90β€”β€”
Median price (30d)$3.00β€”β€”
Median price (60d)$3.30β€”β€”
Median price (90d)$3.47β€”β€”
Median price (all)$3.47β€”β€”
Range % (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (3d)+0.4%β€”β€”
Range % (7d)+0.4%β€”β€”
Range % (14d)+23.6%β€”β€”
Range % (30d)+61.1%β€”β€”
Range % (60d)+136.2%β€”β€”
Range % (90d)+735.7%β€”β€”
Range % (all)+735.7%β€”β€”
Position in range (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (14d)0β€”β€”
Position in range (30d)0β€”β€”
Position in range (60d)23β€”β€”
Position in range (90d)4
46
47
Position in range (all)4β€”β€”
Distance from high (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Distance from high (3d)-0.4%β€”β€”
Distance from high (7d)-0.4%β€”β€”
Distance from high (14d)-19.1%β€”β€”
Distance from high (30d)-37.9%β€”β€”
Distance from high (60d)-44.3%β€”β€”
Distance from high (90d)-84.3%
25
23
Distance from high (all)-84.3%β€”β€”
Distance from low (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Distance from low (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (14d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (30d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (60d)+31.5%β€”β€”
Distance from low (90d)+31.5%β€”β€”
Distance from low (all)+31.5%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs mean (3d)-0.2%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (7d)-0.2%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (14d)-6.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (30d)-14.1%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (60d)-16.5%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (90d)-36.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (all)-36.0%β€”β€”
Up days (24h)0β€”β€”
Up days (3d)0β€”β€”
Up days (7d)1β€”β€”
Up days (14d)3β€”β€”
Up days (30d)7β€”β€”
Up days (60d)15β€”β€”
Up days (90d)23β€”β€”
Up days (all)23β€”β€”
Down days (24h)0β€”β€”
Down days (3d)1β€”β€”
Down days (7d)2β€”β€”
Down days (14d)6β€”β€”
Down days (30d)11β€”β€”
Down days (60d)29β€”β€”
Down days (90d)44β€”β€”
Down days (all)44β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (3d)0β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (7d)33β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (14d)33β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (30d)39β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (60d)34β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (90d)34β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (all)34β€”β€”
Up-day streak0.0dβ€”β€”

Trend

11/38 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (7)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (14)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (21)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (50)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (100)β€”β€”β€”
Trend slope (14d)-2.1%β€”β€”
Trend slope (30d)-1.3%
29
30
Trend slope (60d)-0.3%β€”β€”
Trend slope (90d)-1.8%β€”β€”
Trend slope (all)-1.8%β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (14d)0.75Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (30d)0.28Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (60d)0.06Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (90d)0.28Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (all)0.28Γ—β€”β€”
SMA 7/30 crossβ€”β€”β€”
Days since trend flip10dβ€”β€”

Volatility & risk

33/33 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return stdev (7d)+0.3%β€”β€”
Return stdev (14d)+4.1%β€”β€”
Return stdev (30d)+11.1%
46
47
Return stdev (60d)+16.6%β€”β€”
Return stdev (90d)+17.6%β€”β€”
Return stdev (all)+17.6%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (30d)+8.3%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (60d)+8.5%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (90d)+10.7%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (30d)+37.9%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (60d)+54.3%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (90d)+88.0%
74
77
Max drawdown (all)+88.0%β€”β€”
Current drawdown (90d)+84.3%
75
77
Current drawdown (all)+84.3%β€”β€”
Drawdown duration (90d)80dβ€”β€”
Drawdown duration (all)80dβ€”β€”
Sortino ratio (30d)-0.13Γ—
35
38
Sortino ratio (90d)-0.08Γ—β€”β€”
Return skew (30d)1.07β€”β€”
Return skew (90d)2.01β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (30d)5.2β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (90d)10.23β€”β€”
Largest up day (7d)+0.4%β€”β€”
Largest up day (14d)+0.5%β€”β€”
Largest up day (30d)+34.6%β€”β€”
Largest up day (60d)+94.2%β€”β€”
Largest up day (90d)+94.2%β€”β€”
Largest down day (7d)+0.4%β€”β€”
Largest down day (14d)+11.3%β€”β€”
Largest down day (30d)+26.8%β€”β€”
Largest down day (60d)+26.8%β€”β€”
Largest down day (90d)+53.7%β€”β€”

Liquidity

5/20 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Turnover %β€”β€”β€”
On-market %+4.3%
81
80
Days to clear listingsβ€”β€”β€”
Lifetime sales / dayneeds provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime salesβ€”β€”
Liquidity score35
82
81
Listings on book15β€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (7d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (14d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Bid-ask spread %+23.6%β€”β€”
Near-mid bid imbalanceβ€”β€”β€”
Bid-depth trend (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Bid-floor migration (7d)-65.8%β€”β€”

Supply & ownership

17/21 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Supply growth (7d)+4.2%β€”β€”
Supply growth (14d)+8.1%β€”β€”
Supply growth (30d)+16.8%
80
86
Supply growth (60d)β€”β€”β€”
Supply growth (90d)+3755.6%β€”β€”
Owner growth (7d)n/s+0.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (14d)n/s+0.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (30d)n/s+3.7%
67
75
Owner growth (60d)n/s+33.3%β€”β€”
Owner growth (90d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”
Mint rate (7d)2.33β€”β€”
Mint rate (30d)1.72β€”β€”
Supply doubling time134dβ€”β€”
Copies per ownern/s12.43Γ—
65
63
Top-1 holder sharen/s+3.2%
50
46
Top-10 holder sharen/s+12.6%
52
44
HHI (top-10)n/s23.95β€”β€”
Whale count (β‰₯5)n/s3β€”β€”
Absorption (30d)n/s-13.1%
7
5
Absorption (60d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”
Absorption (90d)n/sβ€”β€”β€”

Lifecycle & value

13/18 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Ageneeds a release dateβ€”β€”
Days since fixationn/sβ€”β€”β€”
Days until leaving storen/sβ€”β€”β€”
Release-price multipleβ€”β€”β€”
Store-price ratioβ€”β€”β€”
Fair-value residual+0.0%
52
53
Price per scarcity point0.05Γ—β€”β€”
Instant-sell discount+21.1%β€”β€”
Bid-floor backing$0.80β€”β€”
Accumulation score54β€”β€”
Market-relative 7d return+7.8%
75
75
Momentum pillar46
18
19
Scarcity pillar59β€”β€”
Liquidity pillar37β€”β€”
Value pillar68β€”β€”
Risk pillar28β€”β€”
Overall rating49
51
53
Data completeness+75.7%β€”β€”

Relative to market

9/9 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Beta vs market (14d)-0.35Γ—β€”β€”
Beta vs market (30d)-0.29Γ—
24
22
Beta vs market (90d)0.40Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (14d)-0.54Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (30d)-0.13Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (90d)0.15Γ—β€”β€”
Return vs market (14d)-21.6%β€”β€”
Return vs market (30d)-34.8%
27
28
Return vs market (90d)-54.2%β€”β€”

Events

12/15 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Spike days (30d)2
75
75
Spike days (60d)6β€”β€”
Spike days (90d)8β€”β€”
Dump days (30d)2
63
63
Dump days (60d)6β€”β€”
Dump days (90d)10β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (30d)-4.7%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (60d)-1.7%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (90d)-1.2%β€”β€”
Listing shocks (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Net spike bias (30d)0β€”β€”
Net spike bias (60d)0β€”β€”
Net spike bias (90d)-2β€”β€”

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. β€œn/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.