SWAG Chainfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 258 values across 7 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 91%.

Overall rating

?Fixed supply

Insight Engine v2

35/ 100

Momentum41

Scarcity9

Liquidity29

Value40

Risk51

Recomputed each sync: last updated Jul 9, 10:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Bullish

Strong upward momentum !!!

Price up 16.8% in 24h: significant bullish movement.

6-hour dip !!

Down 8.8% in the last 6 hours: near-term weakness.

High supply !!

19,344 total supply: a common item, minimal scarcity premium.

Low scarcity score

Scarcity score 9/100: abundant and liquid.

Holders are holding !!

Only 1.0% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Illiquid

No sales in the last 24h; it may be hard to buy or sell at the quoted price.

Concentrated ownership

~15.2 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

The most notable feature here is the gap between price action and fair value: SWAG Chain is up 16.8% over 24 hours yet still down 5.2% over 7 days, and the model now reads it as trading 291.7% above fair value, a level that in this single-regime market has historically preceded fades rather than continuation. Liquidity is thin, with only 2 units traded in the last 24h against 15 Steam Market sales and 186 active listings, and the 28.7% bid/ask spread (best bid $3.08 versus $4.11 ask) underscores the gap buyers and sellers are pricing in. Supply is fixed at 19,344 units across 1,275 owners following the store delisting, but the scarcity score sits at just 9/100, and liquidity scores 29/100. With a 40/100 overall rating and a fresh spike sitting well above the model's valuation, this looks more like a moment to watch for a pullback than one to chase.

AI-generated from live market data · updated 6h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

108/113 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return (24h)	+16.8%	—	—
Return (3d)	+6.5%	—	—
Return (7d)	+11.4%	77	74
Return (14d)

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.

Trend

30/38 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
SMA (7)	$3.87	—	—
Price vs SMA (7)	+6.3%	—	—
SMA (14)	$3.97	—	—
Price vs SMA (14)	+3.5%	—	—
SMA (21)	$4.19	—	—
Price vs SMA (21)	-2.0%	—	—
SMA (30)	$4.37	—	—
Price vs SMA (30)	-5.9%	84	85
SMA (50)	$4.96	—	—
Price vs SMA (50)	-17.1%	—	—
SMA (90)	$8.83	—	—
Price vs SMA (90)	-53.5%	—	—
SMA (100)	—	—	—
Price vs SMA (100)	—	—	—
EMA (7)	$3.87	—	—
Price vs EMA (7)	+6.3%	—	—
EMA (14)	$3.97	—	—
Price vs EMA (14)	+3.5%	—	—
EMA (30)	$4.37	—	—
Price vs EMA (30)	-5.9%	—	—
RSI (7)	—	—	—
RSI (14)	—	—	—
RSI (21)	—	—	—
RSI (30)	—	—	—
RSI (50)	—	—	—
RSI (100)	—	—	—
Trend slope (14d)	-0.8%	—	—
Trend slope (30d)	-1.0%	78	73
Trend slope (60d)	-1.4%	—	—
Trend slope (90d)	-2.1%	—	—
Trend slope (all)	-2.0%	—	—
Trend fit R² (14d)	0.25×	—	—
Trend fit R² (30d)	0.72×	—	—
Trend fit R² (60d)	0.72×	—	—
Trend fit R² (90d)	0.82×	—	—
Trend fit R² (all)	0.84×	—	—
SMA 7/30 cross	-11.5%	77	71
Days since trend flip	0.0d	—	—

Volatility & risk

33/33 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return stdev (7d)	+15.5%	—	—
Return stdev (14d)	+10.5%	—	—
Return stdev (30d)	+7.9%	20	30
Return stdev (60d)	+8.9%	—	—
Return stdev (90d)	+8.5%	—	—
Return stdev (all)	+8.5%	—	—
Downside deviation (30d)	+4.2%	—	—
Downside deviation (60d)	+4.5%	—	—
Downside deviation (90d)	+5.5%	—	—
Max drawdown (30d)	+29.1%	—	—
Max drawdown (60d)	+66.2%	—	—
Max drawdown (90d)	+81.3%	31	31
Max drawdown (all)	+85.8%	—	—
Current drawdown (90d)	+78.1%	30	32
Current drawdown (all)	+83.3%	—	—
Drawdown duration (90d)	89d	—	—
Drawdown duration (all)	93d	—	—
Sortino ratio (30d)	-0.08×	77	69
Sortino ratio (90d)	-0.24×	—	—
Return skew (30d)	0.77	—	—
Return skew (90d)	1.02	—	—
Excess kurtosis (30d)	0.88	—	—
Excess kurtosis (90d)	4.47	—	—
Largest up day (7d)	+19.7%	—	—
Largest up day (14d)	+19.7%	—	—
Largest up day (30d)	+19.7%	—	—
Largest up day (60d)	+37.9%	—	—
Largest up day (90d)	+37.9%	—	—
Largest down day (7d)	+16.7%	—	—
Largest down day (14d)	+16.7%	—	—
Largest down day (30d)	+16.7%	—	—
Largest down day (60d)	+16.9%	—	—
Largest down day (90d)	+20.4%	—	—

Liquidity

11/20 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Turnover %	+0.0%	5	5
On-market %	+1.0%	25	28
Days to clear listings	—	—	—
Lifetime sales / day	189.87	—	—
Liquidity score	23	39	41
Listings on book	191	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Listings trend (7d)	+1.1%	—	—
Listings trend (14d)	-18.8%	—	—
Listings trend (30d)	-30.9%	5	8
Listings trend (60d)	-16.2%	—	—
Bid-ask spread %	+20.1%	—	—
Near-mid bid imbalance	—	—	—
Bid-depth trend (7d)	—	—	—
Bid-floor migration (7d)	+5.3%	—	—

Supply & ownership

20/21 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Supply growth (7d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (14d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (30d)	-0.0%	23	31
Supply growth (60d)	-0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (90d)	+82.8%	—	—
Owner growth (7d)	-0.2%	—	—
Owner growth (14d)	-0.6%	—	—
Owner growth (30d)	-0.1%	23	31
Owner growth (60d)	+13.7%	—	—
Owner growth (90d)	+147.6%	—	—
Mint rate (7d)	0	—	—
Mint rate (30d)	-0.07	—	—
Supply doubling time	—	—	—
Copies per owner	15.17×	80	75
Top-1 holder share	+0.8%	14	10
Top-10 holder share	+4.3%	16	10
HHI (top-10)	2.05	—	—
Whale count (≥5)	10	—	—
Absorption (30d)	-0.1%	36	46
Absorption (60d)	+13.7%	—	—
Absorption (90d)	+64.8%	—	—

Lifecycle & value

16/18 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Age	102d	—	—
Days since fixation	—	—	—
Days until leaving storen/s	—	—	—
Release-price multiple	0.27×	18	19
Store-price ratio	0.27×	—	—
Fair-value residual	+291.7%	89	88
Price per scarcity point	0.46×	—	—
Instant-sell discount	+25.1%	—	—
Bid-floor backing	$3.00	—	—
Accumulation score	57	—	—
Market-relative 7d return	+21.8%	79	79
Momentum pillar	41	33	37
Scarcity pillar	9	—	—
Liquidity pillar	29	—	—
Value pillar	40	—	—
Risk pillar	51	—	—
Overall rating	40	22	25
Data completeness	+90.6%	—	—

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Spike days (30d)	2	75	50
Spike days (60d)	4	—	—
Spike days (90d)	4	—	—
Dump days (30d)	1	25	25
Dump days (60d)	3	—	—
Dump days (90d)	7	—	—
Post-spike reversion (30d)	-7.9%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (60d)	-10.1%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (90d)	-10.1%	—	—
Listing shocks (30d)	0	—	—
Listing shocks (60d)	2	—	—
Listing shocks (90d)	3	—	—
Net spike bias (30d)	1	—	—
Net spike bias (60d)	1	—	—
Net spike bias (90d)	-3	—	—