Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 78%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 9, 12:02 AM.
8,363 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Scarcity score 17/100: abundant and liquid.
Only 1.6% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~11.5 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Trading 59% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The standout number is the 58.9% discount to modelled fair value, which pairs with a value score of 78 and a price that has not moved in 24h or 6h, holding at $0.65 against a $1.50 original store price. Supply is now fixed at 8363 units following delisting, and 30d supply growth sits in the 5th percentile, but scarcity remains weak at 17/100 with 133 active sell listings against 729 unique owners. Liquidity is thin at 30/100 and the 13.1% spread (best bid $0.57) makes exits costly. The 90d max drawdown in the 5th percentile and -1.2% over 7d, or +4.3% against the market median, describe a quiet floor rather than a turn, and the concentrated ownership warning plus market-wide fear argue for patience over conviction here.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 9h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +0.8% | 76 | 76 |
| Return (14d) | +3.2% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -22.6% | 46 | 47 |
| Return (60d) | -18.8% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -5.8% | 80 | 86 |
| Return (all) | -86.9% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +0.8% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +3.1% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -25.6% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -20.8% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -6.0% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -203.1% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.65 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.66 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.66 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.84 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.85 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $0.88 | — | — |
| High (all) | $7.14 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.65 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.60 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.60 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.60 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.58 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.58 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.58 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.65 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.63 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.64 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.67 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.72 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.74 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $1.80 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.65 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.65 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.64 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.65 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.70 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.74 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.88 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +10.0% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +10.0% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +40.0% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +46.6% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +51.7% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1130.2% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 83 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 21 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 26 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 23 | 65 | 69 |
| Position in range (all) | 1 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -1.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -1.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -22.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -23.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -26.1% | 89 | 91 |
| Distance from high (all) | -90.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +8.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +8.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +8.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +12.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +12.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +12.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +2.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +2.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -2.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -9.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -12.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -64.0% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 9 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 17 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 46 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 8 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 14 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 24 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 88 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 39 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 41 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 34 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -0.8% | 50 | 52 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.04× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.52× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.51× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.16× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.69× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +6.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +4.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +5.5% | 11 | 10 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +8.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +7.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +11.0% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +5.2% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +7.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +6.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +28.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +31.8% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +34.1% | 5 | 5 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +91.9% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +26.1% | 11 | 9 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +90.9% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 62d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 163d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.18× | 25 | 24 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.03× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | -0.72 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 1.96 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 3.55 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 15.08 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +10.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +10.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +10.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +44.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +44.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +7.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +7.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +16.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +27.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +27.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +1.6% | 49 | 51 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 15 | 49 | 51 |
| Listings on book | 133 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +13.1% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | 1.00× | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | -44.7% | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -6.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | -0.4% | 11 | 11 |
| Owner growth (60d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 11.47× | 54 | 56 |
| Top-1 holder share | +2.9% | 47 | 40 |
| Top-10 holder share | +15.7% | 62 | 51 |
| HHI (top-10) | 28.49 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | -0.4% | 29 | 30 |
| Absorption (60d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 222d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.44× | 39 | 43 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.43× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -58.9% | 18 | 22 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.04× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +12.3% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.57 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 33 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +4.3% | 76 | 76 |
| Momentum pillar | 50 | 44 | 42 |
| Scarcity pillar | 17 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 30 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 78 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 61 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 52 | 75 | 75 |
| Data completeness | +77.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.33× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.09× | 40 | 37 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.10× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.31× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.07× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.07× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +7.0% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -7.0% | 48 | 49 |
| Return vs market (90d) | +14.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Spike days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 3 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Dump days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 3 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | — | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -2.4% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -1.6% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 0 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.