Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 82%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 28, 9:02 PM.
34 units so far, but the drop is still active — today's count understates final supply.
~5.7 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (34 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Graded exotic: top-tier rarity that collectors seek.
Average price up 18% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 44% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
21pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.
Trading 52% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.
The median sale price sits 107% above the best standing bid of $60.20; you could not actually sell there right now.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The order book is the story here: a 97.6% bid/ask spread, with the $175.00 ask and $124.77 median sale sitting against a best standing bid of just $60.20 and a cumulative bid floor of $37.21, which puts the median 107% above real demand. That phantom-price gap matters more than the +17.7% weekly gain, and in this single-regime market sharp spikes have tended to fade rather than extend, so the recent move reads as fade-risk. The model marks the item 52.4% below fair value, but with only 34 units in existence, a 48/100 liquidity score and a 26/100 safety score, a price transacted near the ask would be negotiated, not discovered.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 6h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -40.2% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -24.3% | 15 | 21 |
| Return (14d) | -36.7% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -0.8% | 8 | 9 |
| Return (60d) | -42.3% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -16.0% | 30 | 34 |
| Return (all) | -78.6% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -51.4% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -27.8% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -45.7% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -54.9% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -17.5% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -154.3% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $175.00 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $292.68 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $294.45 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $294.45 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $294.45 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $303.04 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $311.60 | — | — |
| High (all) | $818.48 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $175.00 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $175.00 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $175.00 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $124.12 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $87.05 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $67.66 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $67.66 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $67.66 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $175.00 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $214.23 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $250.51 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $231.64 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $177.04 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $216.52 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $211.92 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $226.92 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $175.00 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $175.00 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $292.68 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $230.78 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $164.30 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $219.27 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $191.78 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $208.44 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +67.2% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +68.3% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +137.2% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +238.3% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +347.9% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +360.5% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1109.7% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 30 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 42 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 46 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 44 | 39 | 45 |
| Position in range (all) | 14 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -40.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -40.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -40.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -40.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -42.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -43.8% | 31 | 34 |
| Distance from high (all) | -78.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +41.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +101.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +158.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +158.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +158.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -18.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -30.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -24.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -19.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -17.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -22.9% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 10 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 17 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 23 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 32 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 9 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 22 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 38 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 65 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 44 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 53 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 44 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $250.51 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | -30.1% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | $231.64 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | -24.5% | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $250.51 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | -30.1% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | $231.64 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | -24.5% | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +3.5% | 63 | 67 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.00× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.46× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.18× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.01× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.08× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +24.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +27.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +28.3% | 79 | 80 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +35.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +31.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +27.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +13.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +19.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +15.9% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +55.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +77.7% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +78.3% | 80 | 81 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +91.7% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +43.8% | 68 | 67 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +78.6% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 63d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 130d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.32× | 27 | 29 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.34× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 2.21 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 5.21 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 6.04 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 34.32 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +27.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +85.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +127.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +339.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +339.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +40.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +40.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +40.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +77.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +77.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +11.8% | 95 | 95 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 69 | 95 | 95 |
| Listings on book | 4 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +97.6% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +1.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +6.3% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +9.7% | 76 | 82 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +9.7% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +17.2% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0.1 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 225d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 5.67× | 6 | 5 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +5.9% | 75 | 72 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +20.6% | 77 | 75 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 77.85 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 0 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -52.5% | 23 | 26 |
| Price per scarcity point | 2.69× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +65.6% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $37.21 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 51 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -21.2% | 15 | 21 |
| Momentum pillar | 63 | 88 | 85 |
| Scarcity pillar | 65 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 48 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 68 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 26 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 59 | 95 | 95 |
| Data completeness | +82.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -1.03× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.94× | 61 | 54 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 1.21× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.17× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.21× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.17× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -92.4% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -178.5% | 5 | 5 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -151.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 5 | 95 | 95 |
| Spike days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 10 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 6 | 95 | 95 |
| Dump days (60d) | 9 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 13 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -0.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -1.9% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -3 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.