Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 82%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 29, 5:02 PM.
Price down 22.7% in 24h: significant selling pressure.
241 units so far, but the drop is still active — today's count understates final supply.
Only 2.5% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~8.6 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (241 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Graded legendary: top-tier rarity that collectors seek.
Average price up 141% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Up 218pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Trading 135% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The gap between the $18.80 lowest ask and the $5.97 median sale price is the dominant fact here, and it shows up again in a 91.6% bid/ask spread against a best standing bid of $6.99. The 7d move of +141.1% (95th percentile, +217.8% versus the market median) sits alongside a 24h decline of 22.7%, and in this single-regime market sharp spikes have tended to fade, which is why the momentum pillar scores 23/100 at the 5th percentile. With the ask 131.3% above modelled fair value, a liquidity score of 15/100, 6 active listings observed and 241 units in existence on a fresh drop, the overall grade is D at 27/100. Bids accumulating at a $6.00 cumulative floor is the one constructive detail; patience near that floor may matter more than the headline weekly return.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 2h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -22.7% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -23.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +214.4% | 95 | 95 |
| Return (14d) | +317.8% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +192.2% | 81 | 87 |
| Return (60d) | +153.0% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | +66.2% | 66 | 73 |
| Return (all) | -95.3% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -25.8% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -26.2% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +114.5% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +143.0% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +107.2% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +92.8% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | +50.8% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -305.8% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $18.80 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $24.43 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $24.43 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $24.43 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $24.43 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $24.43 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $24.43 | — | — |
| High (all) | $400.00 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $18.80 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $18.80 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $5.98 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $4.50 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $4.01 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $4.01 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $4.01 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $4.01 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $18.80 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $22.52 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $14.85 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $10.51 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $7.99 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $7.88 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $7.41 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $21.25 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $18.80 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $24.33 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $12.23 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $6.33 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $6.02 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $6.26 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $6.05 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $7.12 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +29.9% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +308.5% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +442.9% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +510.0% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +510.0% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +510.0% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +9887.5% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 72 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 72 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 72 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 72 | 67 | 76 |
| Position in range (all) | 4 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -23.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -23.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -23.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -23.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -23.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -23.0% | 59 | 64 |
| Distance from high (all) | -95.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +214.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +317.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +369.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +369.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +369.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +369.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -16.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +26.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +78.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +135.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +138.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +153.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -11.5% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 7 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 11 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 15 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 21 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 14 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 23 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 36 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 73 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 32 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 29 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 22 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $14.85 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | +26.6% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | $10.51 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | +78.9% | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $14.85 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | +26.6% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | $10.51 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | +78.9% | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +12.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +5.2% | 86 | 90 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +1.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -3.0% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.65× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.39× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.05× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.04× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.15× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 4.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +41.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +30.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +21.8% | 64 | 67 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +28.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +22.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +30.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +6.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +12.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +10.7% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +37.8% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +82.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +82.5% | 85 | 86 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +99.0% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +23.0% | 42 | 36 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +95.3% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 2.0d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 133d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 1.00× | 76 | 76 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.36× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 2.73 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 4.35 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 7.2 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 23.71 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +104.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +104.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +104.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +207.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +207.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +22.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +22.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +22.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +49.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +49.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +2.5% | 82 | 81 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 22 | 81 | 81 |
| Listings on book | 6 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +91.6% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +83.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +1.3% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +3.4% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +9.5% | 76 | 83 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +23.6% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +42.6% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0.5 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0.72 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 228d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 8.61× | 25 | 25 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +3.7% | 56 | 52 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +13.7% | 56 | 51 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 28.06 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 3 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +134.7% | 80 | 81 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.28× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +62.8% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $6.00 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 52 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +218.1% | 95 | 95 |
| Momentum pillar | 23 | 5 | 5 |
| Scarcity pillar | 66 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 15 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 11 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 28 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 27 | 7 | 5 |
| Data completeness | +82.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -1.47× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.60× | 5 | 5 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.25× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.18× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.16× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.05× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +269.3% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +8.1% | 81 | 89 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -53.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 4 | 75 | 83 |
| Spike days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 7 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Dump days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 7 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -4.6% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -11.5% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -8.8% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 0 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.