Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 76%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 16, 2:02 AM.
Up 84.2% in the last 6 hours and accelerating.
Only 2.0% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~12.7 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 83% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
11pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.
Trading 93% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 60% above the best standing bid of $0.15; you could not actually sell there right now.
Order-book support has been building (accumulation score 79/100), with bid depth, value and floor all rising over the past week.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline move is an 84.2% surge over six hours (36.0% over 24h), but the contrarian read treats this as fade-risk. The order book supports that caution: the listed price floats 60% above the best standing bid of $0.15, the spread is 77.6%, and the median sale is $0.24 against a $0.34 ask. Over seven days the item is down 6.9%, lagging the market median by 16.6%. The model prices it 93.0% below fair value, and supply is fixed at 950 units across 75 owners. However, a liquidity score of 12/100 and a safety score of 30/100 suggest that discount may be hard to realize, so waiting for the spike to settle might offer a cleaner entry.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 11h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +36.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -22.7% | 21 | 22 |
| Return (14d) | -38.2% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +70.0% | 93 | 94 |
| Return (60d) | +13.3% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -82.6% | 23 | 20 |
| Return (all) | -95.2% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +30.7% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -25.8% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -48.1% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +53.1% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +12.5% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -174.7% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -303.5% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.34 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.44 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.55 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.55 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.55 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $1.95 | — | — |
| High (all) | $7.07 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.25 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.25 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.25 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.30 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.33 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.39 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.32 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.32 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $0.53 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.30 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.35 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.39 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.28 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.28 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.33 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.34 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +36.0% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +76.0% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +120.0% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +175.0% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +175.0% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +875.0% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +3435.0% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 30 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 40 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 40 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 8 | 58 | 57 |
| Position in range (all) | 2 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -22.7% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -38.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -38.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -38.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -82.6% | 27 | 26 |
| Distance from high (all) | -95.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +36.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +36.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +36.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +70.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +70.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +70.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +70.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +15.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +1.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -12.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +4.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +7.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -19.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -36.3% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 14 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 22 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 22 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 8 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 12 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 25 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 45 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 47 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 100 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 25 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 20 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 40 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 36 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 32 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -5.0% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +1.9% | 83 | 86 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -1.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -2.6% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.66× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.20× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.00× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.33× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.17× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 5.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +23.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +17.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +25.2% | 80 | 79 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +24.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +24.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +25.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +7.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +11.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +12.9% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +54.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +63.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +89.7% | 75 | 79 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +97.2% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +82.6% | 73 | 75 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +95.2% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 88d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 90d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.80× | 91 | 90 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.08× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 3.68 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 2.85 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 15.43 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 13.3 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +36.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +36.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +161.9% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +161.9% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +161.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +28.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +28.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +28.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +50.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +50.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +2.0% | 60 | 59 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 18 | 60 | 60 |
| Listings on book | 19 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +46.2% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +1.8% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +5.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +11.9% | 78 | 82 |
| Supply growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +203.5% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +2.7% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +5.6% | 75 | 77 |
| Owner growth (60d) | +17.2% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | +200.0% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 2.83 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 3.48 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 185d | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 12.69× | 69 | 65 |
| Top-1 holder share | +1.1% | 13 | 9 |
| Top-10 holder share | +3.7% | 5 | 5 |
| HHI (top-10) | 1.93 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 1 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | -6.3% | 12 | 9 |
| Absorption (60d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | -3.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -92.8% | 5 | 5 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.01× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +55.9% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.15 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 79 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -11.5% | 21 | 22 |
| Momentum pillar | 43 | 17 | 14 |
| Scarcity pillar | 56 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 13 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 95 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 30 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 54 | 67 | 67 |
| Data completeness | +76.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -0.77× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 1.13× | 87 | 86 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.31× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.21× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.14× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.08× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -42.6% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +72.4% | 93 | 94 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -46.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 4 | 95 | 95 |
| Spike days (60d) | 8 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 11 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 63 | 67 |
| Dump days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 14 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -2.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -10.7% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -10.5% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -3 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.