Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 76%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 20, 8:02 AM.
Up 159.3% in the last 6 hours and accelerating.
Only 2.7% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~14.9 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (971 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Average price down 20% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 98% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
14pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.
Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The 159.3% six-hour move is the loudest number here, but it sits inside a 7d decline of 20.0% and a return stdev in the 95th percentile of the cohort, so it reads as noise in a volatile fresh drop rather than a trend to chase. The weekly drawdown is the more interesting part: in this single-regime market sharp drops have tended to recover, and the item lags the market median by 17.1% over the same week. Structure is thin, with 26 listings, 65 owners across 966 units (copies per owner in the 95th percentile), and a 22.2% spread between the $0.16 bid and $0.20 ask. At 4.2% above model fair value, the entry is not a discount.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 17h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -20.0% | 24 | 26 |
| Return (14d) | +5.3% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -20.0% | 46 | 30 |
| Return (60d) | -47.4% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -97.1% | 10 | 11 |
| Return (all) | -97.1% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -22.3% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +5.1% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -22.3% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -64.2% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -352.5% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -352.5% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.25 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.39 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.40 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.41 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $11.00 | — | — |
| High (all) | $11.00 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.19 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.19 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.19 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.19 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.19 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.27 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.26 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.26 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.55 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $0.55 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.25 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.25 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.25 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.25 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +25.0% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +105.3% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +110.5% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +115.8% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +5689.5% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +5689.5% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 5 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 5 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 0 | 16 | 26 |
| Position in range (all) | 0 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -20.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -48.7% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -50.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -51.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -98.2% | 8 | 7 |
| Distance from high (all) | -98.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +5.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +5.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +5.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +5.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +5.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -11.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -25.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -23.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -23.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -63.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -63.7% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 5 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 15 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 23 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 23 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 6 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 11 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 22 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 40 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 40 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 14 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 31 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 41 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 37 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 37 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -4.5% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +0.0% | 62 | 45 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -3.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -3.4% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.35× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.00× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.01× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.11× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.11× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 5.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +5.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +25.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +22.5% | 81 | 95 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +19.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +35.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +35.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +11.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +11.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +17.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +52.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +53.7% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +98.3% | 91 | 93 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +98.3% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +98.2% | 92 | 93 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +98.2% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 86d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 86d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.15× | 67 | 60 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.06× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 2.59 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 2.58 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 9.18 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 12.96 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +105.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +105.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +105.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +189.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +13.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +29.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +37.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +37.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +89.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +2.7% | 71 | 76 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 23 | 71 | 76 |
| Listings on book | 26 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +22.2% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | -100.0% | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -30.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +2.1% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +4.6% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +12.1% | 77 | 77 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +37.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +547.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | -4.4% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | +1.6% | 57 | 41 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | +18.2% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | +400.0% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 3.33 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 3.62 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 182d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 14.94× | 86 | 95 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +1.3% | 22 | 32 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +4.4% | 10 | 26 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 3.15 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 2 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | -10.6% | 10 | 5 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | -18.8% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | -147.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +3.7% | 53 | 33 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.00× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +20.0% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.16 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 22 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -14.2% | 24 | 26 |
| Momentum pillar | 62 | 82 | 75 |
| Scarcity pillar | 48 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 30 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 69 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 40 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 55 | 73 | 77 |
| Data completeness | +75.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 3.37× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 2.19× | 93 | 94 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 1.22× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.48× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.36× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.21× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +7.3% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -22.1% | 46 | 37 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -58.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 3 | 90 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 7 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 11 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 3 | 75 | 95 |
| Dump days (60d) | 8 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 16 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +0.7% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -0.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -12.7% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -5 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.