Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 84%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Nov 2, 9:02 PM.
Price up 6.0% in 24h: a mild upward trend.
Only 0.5% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~14.9 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (1,136 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Average price up 58% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Up 12pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Trading 132% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.
The median sale price sits 56% above the best standing bid of $0.55; you could not actually sell there right now.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline number is valuation: at $0.89 the lowest ask sits 137.6% above the model's fair value, and the $0.59 median sale underlines the gap. The week's +58.2% move (and +11.5% against the market median, a 95th percentile 90d return) reads as fade-risk rather than continuation, since sharp spikes in this single-regime market have tended to unwind, and 95th percentile spike-day frequency over 30 days supports that volatility read. Execution is the other constraint: a 44.0% bid/ask spread against a $0.55 best bid, with liquidity scored 4/100, on a 1,136-unit supply. Overall grade D (30/100). With the premium and the spread both this wide, waiting for the move to settle may be the more defensible posture.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 4h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +6.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +11.2% | 75 | 78 |
| Return (14d) | +196.7% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +196.7% | 85 | 81 |
| Return (60d) | +256.0% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | +270.8% | 94 | 95 |
| Return (all) | -86.9% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +5.8% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +10.7% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +108.7% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +108.7% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +127.0% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | +131.1% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -203.2% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $0.86 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.89 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.98 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.98 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.98 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.98 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $0.98 | — | — |
| High (all) | $11.00 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $0.86 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.84 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.80 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.30 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.17 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.17 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.17 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.17 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $0.86 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.86 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.87 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.71 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.52 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.38 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.34 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $0.51 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $0.86 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.86 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.86 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.80 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.51 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.26 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.25 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.26 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +6.0% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +22.5% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +226.7% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +476.5% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +476.5% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +476.5% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +6370.6% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 82 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 85 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 85 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 85 | 79 | 83 |
| Position in range (all) | 6 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +3.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -9.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -9.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -9.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -9.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -9.2% | 80 | 86 |
| Distance from high (all) | -91.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +3.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +6.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +11.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +196.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +423.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +423.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +423.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +423.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +3.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +3.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +2.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +25.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +72.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +131.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +159.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | +73.0% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 7 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 9 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 14 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 24 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 36 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 9 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 20 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 28 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 51 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 67 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 58 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 41 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 46 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 41 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $0.87 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | +2.3% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | $0.71 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | +25.4% | — | — |
| SMA (21) | $0.60 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | +48.2% | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $0.87 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | +2.3% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | $0.71 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | +25.4% | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +5.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +6.1% | 94 | 95 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +3.0% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | +1.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.3% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.79× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.83× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.55× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.38× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.04× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 8.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +9.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +19.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +30.8% | 85 | 93 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +25.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +23.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +33.0% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +17.2% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +12.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +12.7% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +54.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +56.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +58.5% | 47 | 75 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +98.5% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +12.2% | 26 | 23 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +92.2% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 4.0d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 130d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.53× | 54 | 50 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.37× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.89 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 2.23 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 4.91 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 7.44 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +12.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +76.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +135.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +135.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +135.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +13.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +13.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +54.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +54.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +54.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | +0.1% | 41 | 21 |
| On-market % | +0.5% | 17 | 17 |
| Days to clear listings | 6.0d | 25 | 40 |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 5 | 18 | 13 |
| Listings on book | 6 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +47.2% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -69.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +2.4% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +10.3% | 78 | 73 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +23.9% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +43.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 1.17 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 3.66 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 212d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 14.95× | 88 | 95 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +1.1% | 13 | 20 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +5.1% | 12 | 17 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 3.67 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 3 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +132.0% | 79 | 55 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.02× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +38.2% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.17 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 29 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +11.7% | 75 | 78 |
| Momentum pillar | 50 | 47 | 40 |
| Scarcity pillar | 59 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 3 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 6 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 10 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 27 | 7 | 13 |
| Data completeness | +83.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 4.43× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.97× | 65 | 69 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 1.32× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.51× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.21× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.28× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +181.1% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +19.7% | 83 | 79 |
| Return vs market (90d) | +128.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 5 | 90 | 95 |
| Spike days (60d) | 7 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 12 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 50 |
| Dump days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 9 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -2.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 3 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.