Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 80%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Nov 4, 4:02 AM.
222 total supply: a relatively rare item.
Only 2.7% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~6.9 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Graded legendary: top-tier rarity that collectors seek.
Average price down 17% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 45% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading 55% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
Order-book support has been building (accumulation score 95/100), with bid depth, value and floor all rising over the past week.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline tension here is pricing, not supply: the lowest ask of $16.71 sits twice the $8.35 median sale price, with a 51.8% bid/ask spread against a best standing bid of $9.85, while the fair-value model still reads the item 55.7% below modelled value. Supply is fixed at 222 units post-delisting, and scarcity scores 78/100, but liquidity is 14/100 and the 90d return ranks in the 6th percentile of its cohort, with 7d down 12.8%. The pack flags both concentrated ownership and high volatility. Anyone weighing the -55.7% value signal would be doing so against an ask the recent median does not yet support.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 12h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -1.9% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -3.7% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -3.9% | 46 | 59 |
| Return (14d) | -45.2% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +125.9% | 73 | 65 |
| Return (60d) | +10.9% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -22.5% | 20 | 6 |
| Return (all) | -87.9% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -1.9% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -3.8% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -4.0% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -60.2% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +81.5% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +10.3% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -25.5% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -211.6% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $16.42 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $17.05 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $17.09 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $29.99 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $29.99 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $29.99 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $29.99 | — | — |
| High (all) | $136.22 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $16.42 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $16.42 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $16.42 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $16.42 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $7.26 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $7.26 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $7.26 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $7.26 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $16.42 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $16.73 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $16.92 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $18.63 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $13.68 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $12.77 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $13.23 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $17.69 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $16.42 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $16.73 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $17.05 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $17.13 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $11.50 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $11.46 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $11.64 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $14.81 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +3.8% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +4.1% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +82.6% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +313.1% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +313.1% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +313.1% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1776.3% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 40 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 40 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 40 | 40 | 27 |
| Position in range (all) | 7 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -3.7% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -3.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -45.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -45.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -45.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -45.2% | 34 | 28 |
| Distance from high (all) | -87.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +126.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +126.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +126.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +126.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -1.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -3.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -11.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +20.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +28.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +24.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -7.2% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 14 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 21 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 36 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 8 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 9 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 24 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 38 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 64 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 47 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 37 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 36 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 36 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $16.92 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | -3.0% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | $18.63 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | -11.9% | — | — |
| SMA (21) | $15.97 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | +2.8% | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $16.92 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | -3.0% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | $18.63 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | -11.9% | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -3.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +3.5% | 80 | 80 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +0.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.0% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.1% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.44× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.51× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.11× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.00× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.19× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 8.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +0.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +10.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +20.3% | 63 | 51 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +16.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +16.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +19.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +10.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +8.2% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +8.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +45.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +59.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +65.7% | 63 | 92 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +94.7% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +45.2% | 66 | 72 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +87.9% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 13d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 132d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.54× | 55 | 50 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.14× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 4.68 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 5.3 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 23.86 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 37.51 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +160.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +160.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +160.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +1.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +29.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +29.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +29.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +33.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +2.7% | 87 | 90 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 24 | 89 | 90 |
| Listings on book | 6 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +51.6% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +42.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +1.8% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +5.7% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +13.3% | 84 | 95 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +25.4% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +49.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0.67 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0.9 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 167d | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 6.94× | 14 | 12 |
| Top-1 holder share | +1.4% | 19 | 31 |
| Top-10 holder share | +7.2% | 27 | 50 |
| HHI (top-10) | 6.09 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 0 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (60d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -55.1% | 20 | 12 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.21× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +40.0% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $9.85 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 95 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -1.6% | 46 | 59 |
| Momentum pillar | 55 | 62 | 56 |
| Scarcity pillar | 78 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 17 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 70 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 42 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 59 | 94 | 95 |
| Data completeness | +79.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.69× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.12× | 20 | 17 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.38× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.21× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.03× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.11× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -41.0% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -7.0% | 73 | 65 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -140.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 3 | 75 | 50 |
| Spike days (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 8 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 50 |
| Dump days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 7 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -5.6% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -3.2% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -3.2% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.