Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 81%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Nov 3, 7:02 PM.
Only 0.8% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~13.6 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Average price down 20% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Trading 71% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The median sale price sits 172% above the best standing bid of $0.18; you could not actually sell there right now.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The dominant fact here is the order book, not the price: a 94.1% bid/ask spread with the median sale at $0.49 sitting 172% above the best standing bid of $0.18, and a cumulative bid floor of just $0.16. That phantom-price structure, paired with a liquidity score of 6/100 and only 2 sales against 8 active listings in the current observation, means the $0.50 ask is thinly supported. The constructive side is real but slower moving: supply is fixed at 1,005 units post-delisting, and the model reads the item 71.1% below fair value (5th percentile for residual in its cohort). The 7d decline of 19.6% still outperformed the market median by 3.1%, and in this single-regime market sharp drops have tended to recover, so this reads as a recovery setup rather than a breakdown. At 49/100 overall and 29/100 on safety, anyone working this one would want to price against the bid side rather than the display.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 3h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +35.1% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +2.0% | 68 | 76 |
| Return (14d) | -13.8% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +150.0% | 78 | 73 |
| Return (60d) | +85.2% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | +72.4% | 70 | 62 |
| Return (all) | -93.7% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +30.1% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +2.0% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -14.8% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +91.6% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +61.6% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | +54.5% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -275.7% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $0.50 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.50 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.50 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.59 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.59 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.59 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $0.59 | — | — |
| High (all) | $7.88 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $0.50 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.37 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.25 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.25 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.19 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $0.50 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.41 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.47 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.38 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.31 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.29 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $0.39 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $0.50 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.37 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.49 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.49 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.35 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.26 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.27 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.26 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +35.1% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +100.0% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +136.0% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +210.5% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +227.8% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +227.8% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +4277.8% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 74 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 78 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 78 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 78 | 74 | 72 |
| Position in range (all) | 4 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -15.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -15.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -15.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -15.3% | 74 | 70 |
| Distance from high (all) | -93.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +35.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +100.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +100.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +163.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +177.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +177.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +177.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +21.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +18.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +5.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +32.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +63.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +72.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | +29.8% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 5 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 11 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 16 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 21 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 32 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 9 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 18 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 23 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 47 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 100 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 67 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 55 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 47 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 48 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 41 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | +18.2% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | $0.47 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | +5.4% | — | — |
| SMA (21) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | +19.3% | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | +18.2% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | $0.47 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | +5.4% | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -3.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +2.7% | 70 | 56 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +2.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | +1.0% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.48× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.40× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.53× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.31× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.04× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 7.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +37.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +25.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +24.2% | 75 | 69 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +20.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +19.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +22.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +14.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +11.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +12.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +57.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +57.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +57.6% | 44 | 68 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +97.7% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +15.3% | 28 | 30 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +93.7% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 12d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 132d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.46× | 48 | 43 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.22× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.92 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 2.04 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 6.29 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 8.29 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +48.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +48.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +107.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +107.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +107.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +49.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +49.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +49.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +49.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +49.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | +0.1% | 65 | 50 |
| On-market % | +0.8% | 33 | 31 |
| Days to clear listings | 8.0d | 10 | 23 |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 6 | 29 | 23 |
| Listings on book | 8 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +94.1% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +2.9% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +10.0% | 80 | 75 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +26.1% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +45.9% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0.5 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 3.14 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 219d | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 13.58× | 78 | 88 |
| Top-1 holder share | +1.0% | 9 | 12 |
| Top-10 holder share | +4.9% | 10 | 13 |
| HHI (top-10) | 2.84 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 5 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (60d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -71.0% | 10 | 5 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.01× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +64.0% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.16 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 50 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +3.4% | 68 | 76 |
| Momentum pillar | 52 | 50 | 50 |
| Scarcity pillar | 62 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 4 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 60 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 28 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 49 | 76 | 86 |
| Data completeness | +81.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -4.23× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.28× | 30 | 28 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.22× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.49× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.08× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.07× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -12.8% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -1.0% | 77 | 73 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -51.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 4 | 83 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 8 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 50 |
| Dump days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 6 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -2.3% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -1.7% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 2 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.