Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 76%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 19, 4:02 AM.
Only 1.5% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~12.7 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (1,052 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Average price up 52% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 93% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading 55% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.
The listed price sits 293% above the best standing bid of $0.15; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The +78.1% week is the headline, and it reads as fade-risk rather than a trend to extend: in this single-regime market sharp spikes have tended to unwind, and the 24h print is already -4.7% against a +7.5% six-hour bounce. The bigger problem is the order book. The $0.41 ask sits 293% above the best standing bid of $0.15, a 90.9% spread, with liquidity scored at 12/100 and just 19 live listings against 1051 units held by 83 owners. Value screens well at 85/100 with price 56.5% below the model's fair value and below the $0.59 median sale, but the overall C grade and 13/100 safety score reflect a fresh drop where exit pricing is unproven.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 13h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -2.4% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -2.4% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -7.0% | 48 | 73 |
| Return (14d) | +70.2% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +60.0% | 95 | 95 |
| Return (60d) | -20.0% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -93.1% | 13 | 26 |
| Return (all) | -93.1% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -2.5% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -2.5% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -7.2% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +53.2% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +47.0% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -22.3% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -267.5% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -267.5% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.41 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.43 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.50 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.50 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.50 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $5.81 | — | — |
| High (all) | $5.81 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.40 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.40 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.16 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.16 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.16 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.41 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.39 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.30 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.32 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.49 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $0.49 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.41 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.43 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.43 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.26 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.27 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.41 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.41 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +2.5% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +7.5% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +117.4% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +150.0% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +212.5% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +3528.1% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +3528.1% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 63 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 67 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 71 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 4 | 46 | 56 |
| Position in range (all) | 4 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -2.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -7.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -20.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -20.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -20.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -93.1% | 15 | 25 |
| Distance from high (all) | -93.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +73.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +100.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +150.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +150.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +150.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -5.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +2.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +32.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +25.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -18.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -18.3% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 18 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 18 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 10 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 22 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 37 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 37 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 17 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 29 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 27 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +3.7% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +3.5% | 95 | 95 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -2.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -2.2% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.24× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.61× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.06× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.16× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.16× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +1.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +27.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +18.2% | 71 | 72 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +15.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +25.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +25.2% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +5.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +7.1% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +14.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +20.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +68.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +97.2% | 89 | 81 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +97.2% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +93.1% | 85 | 75 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +93.1% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 86d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 86d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.70× | 93 | 95 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.06× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 4.15 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 1.84 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 18.64 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 13.95 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +117.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +117.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +117.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +117.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +3.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +14.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +14.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +33.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +81.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +1.5% | 45 | 34 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 14 | 45 | 34 |
| Listings on book | 16 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +92.9% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -44.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +2.8% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +6.7% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +12.5% | 78 | 81 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +36.7% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +672.8% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | -1.2% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | +3.8% | 66 | 55 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | +22.1% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | +654.5% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 4.83 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 4.03 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 176d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 12.67× | 68 | 84 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +0.5% | 5 | 5 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +2.4% | 5 | 6 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 0.68 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 1 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | -8.8% | 10 | 5 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | -14.6% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | -18.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -54.9% | 22 | 14 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.01× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +62.5% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.15 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 31 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -1.1% | 48 | 73 |
| Momentum pillar | 53 | 36 | 16 |
| Scarcity pillar | 53 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 10 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 85 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 12 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 51 | 54 | 57 |
| Data completeness | +75.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 3.18× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 2.33× | 95 | 95 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.19× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.48× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.41× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.06× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +65.9% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +53.4% | 95 | 95 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -54.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 50 |
| Spike days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 7 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Dump days (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 8 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -7.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -4.7% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -3.7% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.