Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 84%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Nov 4, 5:02 PM.
Only 1.2% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~12.7 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (1,278 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Trading 74% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.
The median sale price sits 43% above the best standing bid of $0.21; you could not actually sell there right now.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline here is structural, not directional: the order book shows a 76.5% bid/ask spread, with the best standing bid at $0.21 against a $0.47 lowest ask, leaving the $0.46 median sale price 119% above the highest real bid. That phantom-price gap reframes the apparently deep discount to the fair-value model, 75.2% below (a 5th-percentile residual within its cohort), since the displayed floor is not supported by live demand. Liquidity scores 4 of 100 on one recorded sale in the current 24h observation and 13 active listings across 1,277 units. The 7d move of +11.3% still trails the market median by 1.1%, and risk/safety sits at 10 of 100 for this fresh common drop.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 1d ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -2.1% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -4.2% | 47 | 59 |
| Return (14d) | +9.5% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +76.9% | 57 | 46 |
| Return (60d) | +95.7% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | +64.3% | 66 | 55 |
| Return (all) | -92.1% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -2.2% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -4.3% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +9.1% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +57.1% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +67.2% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | +49.6% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -253.5% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $0.46 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.47 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.48 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.48 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.48 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.50 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $0.50 | — | — |
| High (all) | $5.81 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $0.46 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.46 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.46 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.26 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.16 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.16 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $0.46 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.46 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.47 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.46 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.38 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.35 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.31 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $0.44 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $0.46 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.46 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.47 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.46 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.41 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.35 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.27 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.40 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +2.2% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +4.3% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +14.3% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +84.6% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +150.0% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +212.5% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +3528.1% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 67 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 91 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 87 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 88 | 86 | 95 |
| Position in range (all) | 5 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -2.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -4.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -4.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -4.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -8.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -8.0% | 87 | 95 |
| Distance from high (all) | -92.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +9.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +76.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +130.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +187.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +187.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -0.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -1.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +1.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +20.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +31.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +47.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | +4.8% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 13 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 19 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 30 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 7 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 17 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 26 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 49 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 25 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 43 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 53 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 43 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 42 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $0.47 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | -1.8% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | $0.46 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | +1.0% | — | — |
| SMA (21) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | +10.2% | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $0.47 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | -1.8% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | $0.46 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | +1.0% | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +0.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +2.5% | 70 | 56 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +0.7% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | +0.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.48× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.86× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.15× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.38× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.09× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +1.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +4.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +8.8% | 17 | 12 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +16.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +15.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +21.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +4.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +8.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +8.8% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +23.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +60.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +60.0% | 50 | 77 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +97.2% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +8.0% | 15 | 5 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +92.1% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 56d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 133d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.54× | 54 | 50 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.22× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.15 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 3.54 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 2 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 20.24 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +2.2% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +10.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +30.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +117.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +117.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +2.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +5.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +14.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +27.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +33.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | +0.2% | 76 | — |
| On-market % | +1.2% | 50 | 47 |
| Days to clear listings | 7.5d | 11 | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 9 | 44 | 42 |
| Listings on book | 15 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +74.6% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +5.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +2.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +9.5% | 77 | 75 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +29.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +43.8% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0.83 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 3.83 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 229d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 12.65× | 69 | 73 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +0.4% | 5 | 5 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +2.5% | 5 | 5 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 0.72 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 3 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -74.4% | 8 | 5 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.01× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +54.3% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.21 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 54 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -1.3% | 47 | 59 |
| Momentum pillar | 53 | 50 | 32 |
| Scarcity pillar | 53 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 6 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 57 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 11 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 42 | 47 | 61 |
| Data completeness | +83.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -0.04× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.00× | 14 | 7 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.43× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.03× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.00× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.14× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +15.8% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -51.0% | 56 | 50 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -48.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 3 | 75 | 50 |
| Spike days (60d) | 7 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 9 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Dump days (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 6 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +3.2% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -2.9% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -2.2% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 3 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.